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 The Sharenet Daily 
Thursday, 17 December 2015 - 20:00
Top News
SA Business
Company News
Company Results
World Markets (Spot Prices)
JSE Today
JSE Trading Statistics
Major Moves
Index Summary
Latest Consensus Changes / Results Expected
Recent Dividends / Ex Div
Upcoming AGMs
Stock Exchange News Service (SENS)

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Seed Weekly - Let's Recap on 2015

We’ve had a roller coaster year when looking at global news which has inevitably been followed by volatility in most markets.
The major highs and lows for 2015 were:

• Twelve Killed in Terrorist Attack at Newspaper in Paris (7 Jan)
• German Jetliner Carrying 150 Passengers Crashes (24 Mar)
• Australia win Cricket World Cup (29 Mar)
• The Duchess of Cambridge Gives Birth to a Girl (2 May)
• Cruise Ship Capsizes on River in China (1 Jun)
• Germany Backs Third Bailout for Greece (19 Aug)
• New Pre-Human Species Is Revealed Homo Naledi (10 Sep)
• China Ends One-Child Policy After Decades (29 Oct)
• Russian Airliner Crashes in Egypt – investigation shows bombed by ISIS (31 Oct)
• New Zealand defend Rugby World Cup (31 Oct)
• Three Coordinated Attacks by ISIS Kill 130 in Paris (13 Nov)
• At least 27 Are Killed in Mali Hotel Attack (20 Nov)
• Russian Warplane Is Shot Down in Turkey (24 Nov)

The bloody civil war in Syria, which has given rise to ISIS fanatics, dominated headlines continuously with world leaders including President Obama, Francois Hollande of France as well as Vladimir Putin of Russia all vowing for the fight against terrorism and ISIS.

In the first six months the US market was relatively stable, showing solid month on month returns. With any small pull back in the market investors saw buying opportunities which pushed prices higher. The first major pullback happened in August when there was a big sell off after the Chinese market collapse.

Looking ahead the big news from US will be the announcement from the Feds chair Janet Yellen to or not to raise interest rates. This will be the first rate hike since pre financial crisis (2008) and it is highly expected after no rate hike happened in September. With US firms creating jobs at a rapid pace and GDP expanding it has become clear that they believe consumers and investors can withstand a modest increase.

Year to date for the broad US markets performance is relatively flat with the S&P 500 up 0.2%*.

China had a massive rally mid-year followed by a spectacular collapse. Enthusiastic individual investors inflated the stock market with investments in stocks often bought with borrowed money. This exceeded the rate of their economic growth as well as the profits of the companies invested in. As markets came to realise this, investors faced margin calls and started selling off stocks. Despite government intervention (closing the markets on certain days) the Shanghai stock market fell around 30% in three weeks with the biggest fall happening on Monday 24 August. This was known as “Black Monday” around the globe, with most markets being affected.

The graph below illustrates price volatility in the Chinese market (red line) relative to the JSE All Share (orange line) for the last year:

Shanghai CSI 300 Year to date return is 6.6%*.

Europe is looking to expand their quantitative easing of monetary policy. European equities mostly outperformed their developed market peers and it seems that investors remained stoic amid global security concerns. The broad based recovery remains on track with the ECB still boosting its stimulus package.
Year to date returns: German DAX gained 3.4%* with the STOXX All Europe up 5.1%* but the UK FTSE 100 is down 6.0%*.

Below is a table from BCA giving their recommended regional allocation to equity for the next 3 – 12 month investment horizon. It is very clear that, according to BCA, one needs to steer clear of all Emerging Markets (a rating of 1 is minimum with 5 being maximum.) Very noticeable is the fact that, of all the EM countries, South Africa is the least attractive.

The year to date return of the MSCI Emerging Markets index makes for ugly reading, down 17.6%* while the MSCI African index is down 22.5%*.

On the local front, the Rand weakened over the last two weeks to some of its worst levels ever. Two global ratings agencies downgraded SA’s debt to just above junk status. Statements from Standard & Poor’s and Fitch listed similar reasons for the country’s economic woes: government policies that are denting business confidence and state funding that will strain the budget of Zuma’s administration.

Adding insult to injury was the sacking of finance minister Nene only to be replaced by an unknown in David Van Rooyen. Zuma then decided to recall Pravin Gordhan to the position leaving Van Rooyen on the job for only four days. This “blunder’’ by Zuma cost SA equity markets around R 171bn.

The rand has depreciated to the US dollar by more than 30% this year alone and reached its weakest level of R16.04 before strengthening somewhat after announcement of Gordhan being reinstated as finance minister. Currently ZARUSD sits at R15.13.

No major news from Eskom’s side in 2015 with regards to the power supply, but analysts warned that having no load shedding might be only delaying the inevitable and that we could still face serious power outages for as long as the next three to five years.

On the agricultural side El Nino is affecting the SA farmers as there are severe droughts and water restrictions have been implemented in all major cities in SA.

Some good news for SA is that the oil price is currently trading at $36 per barrel and as we are net importers of oil we should see some decline in the petrol price. The low oil price did have an effect on SA inflation as CPI sits at 4.8% (November 2015) compared to 5.8% a year ago.

Our unemployment rate is unchanged at over 25%.

Similarly to the global trends, local markets were very volatile with the Resource sector struggling the most, losing more than 40% of its value:

Amidst all the doom and gloom at Seed we had a great year. On the fund side with the biggest news was that we launched a new fund in June – the Seed Income Fund.

Our Multi Asset Funds (Seed Stable and Seed Balanced Fund) have performed ahead of many peers and the equity and bond markets. As multi managers we know that in these times of market jitters and increased volatility by sticking to our process and philosophy we will deliver consistent returns.

As long term investors we are excited for what 2016 will bring and we want to make use of this opportunity to thank all our clients for their loyal support. Have a wonderful holiday and a blessed Christmas. We look forward to a 2016 where SA will hopefully bring back some gold medals in the Rio Summer Olympics.

Kind regards,

Renier Hugo

*All returns as at 14 December unless otherwise indicated

Tel +27 21 914 4966
Fax +27 21 914 4912
Email info@seedinvestments.co.za

Seed is hiring: Visit the Seed Analytics LinkedIn profile to view vacancies.


Thu, 17 Dec 2015
Top News
Local markets The JSE All Share closed 2.64% higher on Thursday with financial shares leading gains. Investors around the world reacted positively to the US Federal Reserve’s 0.25% rate hike.  Full story

South Africa's MTN Group said on Thursday it would challenge in a Lagos court a fine imposed by Nigeria's telecoms regulator for failing to cut off unregistered users. MTN was handed a $5.2 billion fine in October, prompting weeks of lobbying that led to the penalty being reduced b  Full story
Delegates from Libya's warring factions signed a U.N.-brokered agreement on Thursday to form a national unity government, a deal that Western powers hope will bring stability and help to combat a growing Islamic State presence.  Full story
Gunfire clattered constantly and smoke rose on Thursday from two towns in southeast Turkey and President Tayyip Erdogan said Kurdish militants would be "annihilated" in an intensifying urban battle that has killed 25 Kurdish militants in two days.  Full story
The U.N. High Commissioner for Human Rights accused Burundi's authorities on Thursday of dragging the country towards full-blown civil war and called for travel bans and asset freezes targeting key officials to try to halt the bloodshed.  Full story
SA Business
South Africa's MTN Group this week paid 75 billion CFA francs ($124 million) to extend its operating licence in Ivory Coast, it said.. . .  Full story
South Africa's currency weakened on Thursday after the United States central bank raised its key lending rate, while Moody's decision to change its outlook on Pretoria's credit rating to negative also. . .  Full story
Yields on South African government bonds fell on Thursday as calm returned to the local markets following the appointment of Pravin Gordhan as finance minister, overshadowing the effect of a U.S.. . .  Full story

South African stocks rose to a more than one-week high on Thursday after the United States raised interest rates for the first time in nearly a decade, but a stronger dollar weighed on the battered rand.. . .  Full story
Company News
Shareholders are advised that Ms Nettie Wilhelmina (Nettie) Moffatt has tendered her resignation as Group Company Secretary and will step down. . .  Full story
Shareholders are advised that Ellies expects that its loss per share (˘LPS÷) for the six months ended 31 October 2015 will. . .  Full story
Sasfin Holdings shareholders (˘Shareholders÷) are hereby advised that Sasfin Holdings, through its wholly owned subsidiary Sasfin Bank Limited (˘Sasfin÷) has entered. . .  Full story
Shareholders are referred to the announcement released on the Stock Exchange News Service on 1 December 2015 in which it was. . .  Full story

Vashnee Mahadeo has resigned as company secretary of Astrapak with effect from 18 December 2015. Salome Ratlhagane has been appointed as. . .  Full story
Shareholders are referred to the renewal of cautionary announcement released by the company on SENS on 5 November 2015 and are. . .  Full story
CoAL (the "company") confirmed that the South African Competition Commission has unconditionally approved CoAL 's acquisition of Universal CoAL plc ("Universal"). . .  Full story
Sentula shareholders are referred to the cautionary announcement issued on the Stock Exchange News Service (˘SENS÷) on 25 November 2015, in. . .  Full story
World Markets (Spot Prices)
NameTimeRPMove% Move
JSE Overall17:0549706.291277.522.64%
JSE Top 4017:0044927.071225.462.80%
JSE Gold17:00999.48-20.12-1.97%
JSE Financial17:0540234.991335.223.43%
JSE Industrial17:0078637.652013.802.63%
JSE Indust 2517:0071310.041884.812.71%
JSE Resource17:0023432.91157.010.67%
DJ Futures19:3817631.00-104.00-0.59%
DJ Ind19:5817562.85-186.24-1.05%
SP 50019:582047.97-25.10-1.21%
FTSE 10017:256112.5351.340.85%
All Ords07:405150.6071.901.42%
NZSE 5006:486088.3317.390.29%
NameTimeRPMove% Move
Gold $19:591052.88-20.06-1.87%
Gold R19:5815959.98-63.75-0.40%
Gold R/kg19:5851334837740.74%
Silver $19:5913.7500-0.4270-3.01%
Platinum $20:00843.40-25.45-2.93%
Palladium $19:59556.70-10.80-1.90%
Brent Crude19:4237.31-0.61-1.61%
USD / ZAR19:5915.15910.22341.50%
GBP / ZAR19:5522.55470.20000.89%
EUR/ ZAR19:5516.40000.12630.78%
NZD/ ZAR19:5810.15570.05920.59%
AUD / ZAR19:5510.79440.02260.21%
USD / JPY19:59122.63000.28700.23%
EUR / USD19:591.0819-0.0072-0.66%
GBP / USD19:591.4893-0.0089-0.59%

Click here for the Sharenet Spot Price page
The JSE Today

Trading Statistics
* Includes all listed instruments on the JSE
Major Moves Up
SharenameSaleMove% MoveVolume
1 CHOPPIES  6007213.64.%584206
2 ELBGROUP  227527013.47.%3000
3 TRENCOR  410047513.10.%110827
4 LEWIS  494049711.19.%964421
5 TASTE  2982810.37.%57936
6 TEX  8507910.25.%418260
7 BALWIN  875759.38.%310462
8 TELKOM  65804908.05.%2423142
9 MMG  1239897.74.%420
10 STELLAR  210157.69.%950750
11 DAWN  500357.53.%12500
12 LABAT  147107.30.%140462
13 STENPROP  27001807.14.%61514
14 Zakhele   75005007.14.%13069
15 AMECOR  300207.14.%13438
16 DISCOVERY  132508747.06.%5309095
17 EMIRA  16041046.93.%1584738
18 PHUMELELA  19501256.85.%26564
19 SANLAM  55853566.81.%22458659
20 EASTPLATS  800506.67.%19450

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Major Moves Down
SharenameSaleMove% MoveVolume
1 AFROX  1200-100-7.69.%44237
2 ADVHLTH  210-15-6.67.%293448
3 KUMBAIO  3110-222-6.66.%1649456
4 DIPULA-B  900-60-6.25.%80
5 HOSP-A  1055-70-6.22.%123394
6 TRADEH  2825-170-5.68.%23933
7 MONTAUK  850-50-5.56.%2722
8 ARROW-B  830-48-5.47.%280498
9 TRUSTCO  350-19-5.15.%1551916
10 ANGGOLD  9990-490-4.68.%3836673
11 HULAMIN  570-26-4.36.%525040
12 DRDGOLD  227-10-4.22.%526913
13 HOWDEN  2400-99-3.96.%77507
14 SEARDEL  1150-45-3.77.%14
15 HOSP-B  270-10-3.57.%600280
16 MIXTEL  290-10-3.33.%10006
17 SOVFOOD  629-21-3.23.%3896
18 FAIRVEST  160-5-3.03.%20880
19 ASCENDIS  1826-54-2.87.%710288
20 ANGLO  6115-171-2.72.%10125306

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New Highs
SharenameSaleHighMove% MoveVolume
1 LABAT  147147107.30.%140462
2 STENPROP  270027001807.14.%61514
3 TRANSCAP  12001209706.19.%263427
4 MAS  220122011135.41.%237351
5 NEPI  17300174994702.79.%1160948
6 SEREIT  24502450502.08.%10510
7 ASTORIA  16301680291.81.%136923
8 CURRO  52455260450.87.%233376
9 ILIAD  1013101520.20.%2208573

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New Lows
SharenameSaleLowMove% MoveVolume
1 KUMBAIO  31102886-222-6.66.%1649456
2 SOVFOOD  629629-21-3.23.%3896
3 ANGLO  61156114-171-2.72.%10125306
4 AVENG  216210-4-1.82.%704778
5 ARCMITTAL  320295-5-1.54.%7142508
6 DIPULA-A  10351035-5-0.48.%184
7 BEE-SASOL  2990029500-100-0.33.%607
8 ARM   37703490631.70.%566933
9 NORTHAM  20001610492.51.%1382182
10 EXXARO  411037691694.29.%915125
11 HUDACO  985089325505.91.%23316

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Index Summary
Index NameRPMove% Move
Top 4044,927.071225.462.80%
Mid Cap61,575.661055.881.74%
Small Cap51,015.76716.111.42%
Resource 2023,432.91157.010.67%
Industrial 2571,310.041884.812.71%
Financial 1514,998.66601.594.18%
Financial & Ind. 3074,023.282179.593.03%
All Share49,706.291277.522.64%
Oil & Gas 7,195.69-423.27-5.56%
Mining 13,987.4793.690.67%
Gold Mining999.48-20.12-1.97%
Platinum Mining11.81.060.51%
GENERAL MINING3,954.1149.071.26%
Oil & Gas Producers 38,689.88-2275.87-5.56%
Basic Materials 16,116.01219.511.38%
Chemicals 19,653.37453.722.36%
Forestry & Paper 52,744.571270.292.47%
Industrial Metals 2,466.42-133.69-5.14%
Industrials 40,939.69491.211.21%
General Industrials 154.041.310.86%
Consumer Goods 79,817.111095.351.39%
Automobiles & Parts 5,319.21246.824.87%
Household Goods533.79132.45%
Health Care 8,908.35178.022.04%
Beverages 312.411.560.50%
Index NameRPMove% Move
Food Producers 8,242.90163.312.02%
Personal Goods 1,099.5426.072.43%
Consumer Services 17,676.01759.784.49%
General Retailers 7,821.17221.202.91%
Travel & Leisure 5,478.5183.161.54%
Media 464.0624.115.48%
Support Services 2,474.832.770.11%
Telecommunications 7,468.90418.965.94%
Financials 40,234.991335.223.43%
Banks 6,187.76221.123.71%
Non-life Insurance 48,032.79561.481.18%
Life Insurance 37,306.131694.294.76%
General Financial 4,530.57158.493.63%
Technology 53,025.971429.602.77%
SHARIAH TOP40 2,639.81682.63%
FTSE/JSE SHARIAH ALL2,851.71652.31%
COAL MINING5,195.762144.29%
FTSE JSE Fledgling 6,087.95981.64%
FTSE/JSE Alt X 1,522.35-1-0.08%
RESOURCE 12,703.97850.67%
DIVIDEND PLUS172.2742.45%
FTSE/JSE RAFI 408,167.801932.41%
Capped Top 4023,694.016392.77%
Capped All Share25,205.186472.63%
JSE TABACO 10,778.451351.27%

Click here for the Sharenet Index Summary page
Latest Consensus Changes**
CodeCompany NameStatusUpdated
Results Expected**
ExpectedCompany NameFin. Date
18/12/2015ELLIESOctober 2015 (Interim)
22/12/2015EASTPLATSSeptember 2015 (Q)

Recent Dividends**
Share NameDec-DateLDTPay-DateAmount
AF-OVR 6%PP15/12/1531/12/1511/01/16ZAR 0.0600
REX TRUE6%15/12/1531/12/1511/01/16ZAR 0.0600
ILIAD15/12/1531/12/1511/01/16ZAR 0.2400
SYNERGY A14/12/1531/12/1511/01/16ZAR 0.0111
INDEQTY08/12/1508/01/1618/01/16ZAR 0.2100
Ex Div**
Share NameDec-DateLDTPay-DateAmount
VUKILE25/11/1510/12/1521/12/15ZAR 0.6322
CROOKES26/11/1510/12/1521/12/15ZAR 0.3500
AFOVR-N26/11/1510/12/1521/12/15ZAR 0.3500
AF - OVR26/11/1510/12/1521/12/15ZAR 0.3500
INVPROP01/10/1510/12/1521/12/15ZAR 0.2968

Upcoming AGMs**
CodeCompany NameDateStatus
TBGTiso Blackstar Group SE23/12/2015Confirmed

Stock Exchange News Service
17/12/201517:50SCHRODER EUROPEAN REAL ESTATE INV TRUST PLC - Notifications of Major Interests i...
17/12/201517:50SCHRODER EUROPEAN REAL ESTATE INV TRUST PLC - Notifications of Major Interests i...
17/12/201517:42SIRIUS REAL ESTATE LIMITED - Result of EGM
17/12/201517:30SCHRODER EUROPEAN REAL ESTATE INV TRUST PLC - Notifications of Major Interests i...
17/12/201517:10STRATCORP LIMITED - Changes To Company Secretary
17/12/201516:38TRUWORTHS INTERNATIONAL LIMITED - Dealings in securities by a director of the co...
17/12/201516:34BRIMSTONE INVESTMENT CORPORATION LD - Dealing in securities by directors
17/12/201516:25OLD MUTUAL PLC - Form 8.3 Disclosure
17/12/201516:20OLD MUTUAL PLC - Form 8.3 Disclosure
17/12/201516:20MTN GROUP LIMITED - Further update on the fine imposed on MTN Nigeria and renewa...
17/12/201516:00ELLIES HOLDINGS LIMITED - Trading statement
17/12/201515:51SASFIN HOLDINGS LIMITED - Acquisition, of the entire issued share capital of Ben...
17/12/201515:50THE SPAR GROUP LIMITED - Dealing in securities by director
17/12/201515:45DELTA EMD LIMITED - Changes to the board of directors
17/12/201515:30MR PRICE GROUP LIMITED - Dealings in securities by directors
17/12/201515:29WINHOLD LIMITED - Renewal of Cautionary Announcement
17/12/201515:29SA CORPORATE REAL ESTATE LIMITED - Disclosure of acquisition of securities
17/12/201515:27GROUP FIVE LIMITED - Dealing in securities by a director of a major subsidiary
17/12/201514:50OLD MUTUAL PLC - Form 8.3 Disclosure
17/12/201514:40OLD MUTUAL PLC - Form 8.3 Disclosure
17/12/201514:20OLD MUTUAL PLC - Form 8.3 Disclosure
17/12/201514:18HARMONY GOLD MINING COMPANY LIMITED - Dealings in securities by director
17/12/201514:15DELTA AFRICA PROPERTY HOLDINGS LIMITED - Placing Of Shares At A Premium Of Us$ 5...
17/12/201514:15LONMIN PLC - Notification of major interest in shares
17/12/201514:07SIBANYE GOLD LIMITED - Pro forma financial effects
17/12/201514:05DELTA AFRICA PROPERTY HOLDINGS LIMITED - Zambian Retail Properties Acquisition U...
17/12/201514:00ASCENDIS HEALTH LIMITED - Dealings in securities by directors
17/12/201513:39ASTRAPAK LIMITED - Change of company secretary
17/12/201513:05NAMPAK LIMITED - Dealings In Securities By A Director, The Company Secretary And...
17/12/201513:00SATRIX COLLECTIVE INVESTMENT SCHEME - Listing of Additional Securities - STXRES
17/12/201513:00SATRIX COLLECTIVE INVESTMENT SCHEME - Partial Delisting of Satrix 40 Securities ...
17/12/201512:55CAPITEC BANK HOLDINGS LIMITED - Dealing In Securities By A Director
17/12/201512:45PETMIN LIMITED - Director's dealing in securities
17/12/201512:35ANGLO AMERICAN PLC - Transactions in shares by Persons Discharging Managerial Re...
17/12/201512:35NAMPAK LIMITED - Dealings In Securities By A Director, The Company Secretary And...
17/12/201512:30NAMPAK LIMITED - Directors Dealings In Securities
17/12/201512:20NVEST FINANCIAL HOLDINGS LIMITED - Dealings in Securities by an Employee of the ...
17/12/201512:00AFROCENTRIC INVESTMENT CORP LIMITED - Changes to the board
17/12/201511:41ILIAD AFRICA LIMITED - Finalisation Announcement in respect of the Special Divid...
17/12/201511:40MACQUARIE BANK LIMITED - Macquarie Bank Limited-MBLSA4 New Instrument Listing
17/12/201511:30ZCI LIMITED - Updated Cautionary Announcement
17/12/201511:30SAFARI INVESTMENTS (RSA) LIMITED - Dealing in securities
17/12/201511:30LEWIS GROUP LIMITED - LEW01 - Notification of an acquisition of a beneficial int...
17/12/201511:29ZCI LIMITED - CANCELLATION OF S366394 Renewal of cautionary announcement
17/12/201511:00BANK WINDHOEK LIMITED - Interest Rate Reset Announcement - BWZJ17
17/12/201510:50LEWIS GROUP LIMITED - Notification Of An Acquisition Of A Beneficial Interest In...
17/12/201510:23ERIN ENERGY CORPORATION - Changes in beneficial shareholding
17/12/201510:00DATATEC LIMITED - Dealing in securities by a director
17/12/201510:00THE FOSCHINI GROUP LIMITED - Director dealing in securities
17/12/201509:34MOBILE TEL NETWORKS HLDGS (PTY) LIMITED - Credit Rating Revision by Moody's Inve...
17/12/201509:30ALLIED ELECTRONICS CORPORATION LIMITED - Renewal of Cautionary Announcement
17/12/201509:30WOOLWORTHS HOLDINGS LIMITED - Resignation of company secretary
17/12/201509:15OLD MUTUAL PLC - Form 8.3 Disclosure
17/12/201509:15FREEDOM PROPERTY FUND LIMITED - Changes to the Board of Directors and Appointmen...
17/12/201509:08CAPITAL & COUNTIES PROPERTIES PLC - Notification of Major Interests in Shares
17/12/201509:08CAPITAL & COUNTIES PROPERTIES PLC - Notification of Major Interests in Shares
17/12/201509:00ABSA BANK LIMITED - NewWave EUR-Additional Listing of NewWave EUR Exchange Trade...
17/12/201509:00COAL OF AFRICA LIMITED - Competition Commission approves acquisition of Universa...
17/12/201508:56OLD MUTUAL PLC - Form 8.3 Disclosure
17/12/201508:55OLD MUTUAL PLC - Form 8.3 Disclosure
17/12/201508:55OLD MUTUAL PLC - Form 8.3 Disclosure
17/12/201508:08PEREGRINE HOLDINGS LIMITED - Dealings in securities by a director of a major sub...
17/12/201508:00RMB CIS MANCO (PTY) LIMITED - Distribution Finalisation Announcement - RMBMID
17/12/201508:00RMB CIS MANCO (PTY) LIMITED - Distribution Finalisation Announcement - RMBT40
17/12/201508:00RMB CIS MANCO (PTY) LIMITED - Distribution Finalisation Announcement - RMBINF
17/12/201507:59SENTULA MINING LIMITED - Proposed rights offer, distribution of a circular, noti...
17/12/201507:22DIAMONDCORP PLC - Lace Mine update
17/12/201507:17LONMIN PLC - Notification of major interest in shares
17/12/201507:07Ferrum Crescent Limited - Appendix 3z: Final Directors Interest Notice
17/12/201507:06Ferrum Crescent Limited - Appendix 3x: Initial Directors Interest Notice
17/12/201507:05RESOURCE GENERATION LIMITED - Board report to shareholders
17/12/201507:05FERRUM CRESCENT LIMITED - Directorate change
17/12/201507:05MTN GROUP LIMITED - MTN Ghana awarded a 4G/LTE licence

Click here for more SENS news