Wednesday, 06 July 2016 - 20:00
Charts
Seed Weekly - Peer Groups acting as Benchmarks
The age old discussion surrounding benchmarks will carry on for as long as humans occupy this planet and have money available to invest. Are benchmarks set too low, making them very easy to beat? Are they set too high, making them hard to beat unless fund managers take on excessive risks? Is the frequency of assessment against the benchmark appropriate? In this weekly article we will be focusing on using peer groups as benchmarks and how they can add value to our investors.
The importance of peer groups can be argued endlessly. There will always be investors and investment managers who will argue that peer groups do not meet the complete investable benchmark criteria. Others will argue that we really do not know who has succeeded or failed because success against one peer group can easily be failure against another comparable peer group, so a manager can be both a success and a failure. Another possible disadvantage of peer groups is that they can mislead investors rather than inform them. The sell side knows how to deal with these problems: use the peer group that makes them look best and it’s the buy side (the investor) that suffers most from the problems with peer groups. Furthermore, the compensation of the fund manager typically depends solely on the value of assets under management, as more managers are moving away from a performance fee structure. Therefore, a fund manager’s bread and butter is not dependent on the value added by the fund manager, as there is typically no reward for outperforming the peer group benchmark and no penalty for underperforming these benchmarks.
Our view at Seed Investments is that although peer groups are not the perfect benchmark (if there is even such a thing as a perfect benchmark), peer groups have their place under the “benchmark sun”. Some asset managers take the position that they are going to disregard what other institutions are doing, and simply follow their own vision. This attitude ignores what may well be the best thinking on the topic. Some examples of herd behaviour in investing may exist, but in general, any sound asset manager takes their responsibilities seriously and is highly capable. These professionals have, as their responsibility, the task of thinking about what asset mix is best for their funds and then implementing it.
We believe in what we do, but every now and then we need to measure our performance against our peers to ensure that we have not wandered off and lost the plot completely. While it is good to follow your own ideas and dreams, it is important to respect the conclusions of generally well-informed and well-meaning peers. This does not mean you should not vary from the allocations of your peer group if your mandate or risk tolerance is different from theirs, but you will get in real trouble by thinking you don’t have peers when you most definitely do. Consequently, the long-term success of any fund management house in some way depends on its relative performance against its peer group.
At Seed Investments, we make use of peer groups as benchmarks across the range of our products. Below is a risk adjusted return graph of the Seed Balanced fund compared to the ASISA South African Multi Asset High Equity peer group. The graph illustrates that the Seed Balanced fund has achieved a higher return than the peer group average albeit at taking on a little more risk (standard deviation).
Figure 1: Risk Reward (Time period 01/07/2010 – 31/05/2016)
Source: Morningstar 29 June 2016
This is one of the graphs we use to compare our performance to the peer group. Seed will always, to the best of our ability and knowledge, use the most relevant peer group to compare our funds against. This will ensure that we keep track of our own progress without losing touch with our peer group and will give our clients peace of mind that they can compare our funds with the appropriate funds in the industry.
Kind regards,
Stephan van der Merwe
Tel +27 21 914 4966
Fax +27 21 914 4912
Email info@seedinvestments.co.za
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Wed, 06 Jul 2016
Top News
South African assets fell on Wednesday as risk appetite was subdued by renewed global fears over the economic impact of Britain's eventual departure from the European Union. At 1529 GMT the rand traded 0.6 percent weaker at 14.8410 versus the dollar, compared with Tuesday's close at 14.7550. " Full story
Demand for above-inflation pay rises in South Africa look set to aggravate the central bank's big dilemma: how to keep a lid on inflation - usually by raising interest rates - without snuffing out already slow economic growth. Full story |
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Zimbabweans stayed at home on Wednesday and foreign banks and most businesses in the capital shut down operations in one of the biggest protests against high unemployment, an acute cash shortage and corruption for nearly a decade. Full storySouth African Paralympic gold medallist Oscar Pistorius was sent back to jail for six years on Wednesday for murdering Reeva Steenkamp, less than half the 15 year minimum term sought by prosecutors. Full storyAt least six Yemeni troops and around 20 militant attackers were killed on Wednesday in an assault on a military base near the international airport of Yemen's southern city of Aden, security sources said. Full story |
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SA Business | South Africa should not underestimate the risk of credit rating downgrades this year if the ailing economy does not improve, Central Bank Deputy Governor Daniel Mminele said on Wednesday.. . . Full story | | South Africa's economy is not growing fast enough to create jobs, but tax cuts or increases in public spending are unlikely to stimulate growth, a senior Treasury official said on Tuesday.. . . Full story | | South Africa's Eskom is paying too much for the coal it buys from one of Anglo American's mines and will shop around for a cheaper source, an executive at the power. . . Full story |
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| South Africa's business confidence index rose to 95.1 points in June from 91.8 in May, boosted by improvements in export volumes and approved building plans as well as lower inflation, a rebased survey showed on Tuesday.. . . Full story | | South Africa's ruling
African National Congress said on Tuesday the public
broadcaster, accused by opposition parties of pro-government
bias as local elections approach, was practicing censorship by
not broadcasting images of violent anti-state protests.. . . Full story |
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Company News | Shareholders are advised that due to the extended closed periods into which voluntary quarterly update announcements continue to place the company. . . Full story | | Shareholders are referred to the notice convening the 70th annual general meeting (ôAGMö) of the shareholders of Altron to be held. . . Full story | | Business Day reported that Attacq has announced a partnership with Equities Property Fund indicating that it appreciates Equities' specialised industrial management. . . Full story | | Shareholders of Imperial are referred to the Company announcement released on Stock Exchange News Service of the JSE Limited on 1. . . Full story |
World Markets (Spot Prices)
Name | Time | RP | Move | % Move | JSE Overall | 17:00 | 50811.66 | -858.50 | -1.66% | JSE Top 40 | 17:00 | 44501.22 | -829.71 | -1.83% | JSE Gold | 17:00 | 2710.27 | 166.26 | 6.54% | JSE Financial | 17:00 | 38377.41 | -1067.01 | -2.71% | JSE Industrial | 17:00 | 76287.31 | -1404.19 | -1.81% | JSE Indust 25 | 17:00 | 68748.61 | -1280.32 | -1.83% | JSE Resource | 17:00 | 30629.04 | -50.13 | -0.16% | DJ Futures | 19:54 | 17792.00 | 30.00 | 0.17% | DJ Ind | 20:00 | 17871.06 | 30.44 | 0.17% | SP 500 | 20:00 | 2093.09 | 4.54 | 0.22% | Nasdaq | 20:00 | 4846.11 | 23.21 | 0.48% | FTSE 100 | 16:26 | 6444.24 | -101.13 | -1.55% | DAX | 18:08 | 9373.26 | -159.35 | -1.67% | CAC40 | 18:08 | 4085.30 | -78.12 | -1.88% | Nikkei | 08:28 | 15378.99 | -290.34 | -1.85% | Shanghai | 09:32 | 3017.29 | 10.90 | 0.36% | Hang-Seng | 10:28 | 20495.29 | -255.43 | -1.23% | All Ords | 08:38 | 5284.70 | -28.10 | -0.53% | NZSE 50 | 09:02 | 6977.23 | 6.24 | 0.09% |
| | Name | Time | RP | Move | % Move | Gold $ | 19:58 | 1367.83 | 12.68 | 0.94% | Gold R | 20:00 | 20150.05 | 179.54 | 0.90% | Gold R/kg | 20:00 | 647824 | -1218 | -0.19% | Silver $ | 19:58 | 20.1160 | 0.1950 | 0.98% | Platinum $ | 19:58 | 1088.73 | 19.90 | 1.86% | Palladium $ | 19:57 | 605.90 | 7.90 | 1.32% | R186 | 17:41 | 8.82 | 0.00 | 0.00% | R204 | 17:01 | 7.95 | -0.04 | -0.44% | R207 | 16:57 | 8.18 | -0.02 | -0.30% | Brent Crude | 20:00 | 48.50 | -1.34 | -2.69% | USD / ZAR | 19:58 | 14.7314 | -0.0053 | -0.04% | GBP / ZAR | 19:45 | 19.0284 | -0.1378 | -0.72% | EUR/ ZAR | 19:30 | 16.3643 | 0.0486 | 0.30% | NZD/ ZAR | 19:58 | 10.4931 | -0.0373 | -0.35% | AUD / ZAR | 19:30 | 11.0690 | 0.0713 | 0.65% | USD / JPY | 19:58 | 101.1990 | -0.5080 | -0.50% | EUR / USD | 19:58 | 1.1088 | 0.0024 | 0.22% | GBP / USD | 19:58 | 1.2915 | -0.0105 | -0.80% |
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Click here for the Sharenet Spot Price page
The JSE Today
Trading Statistics
Date | Adv. | Decl. | Unch. | Actives | Volume | Value | Trades | Orders |
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06/07/2016 | 87 | 272 | 55 | 414 | 333,030,043 | R26,299,680,518 | 307823 | 2545367 | 05/07/2016 | 112 | 249 | 50 | 411 | 284,488,033 | R21,368,831,121 | 255569 | 2404014 | 04/07/2016 | 208 | 171 | 56 | 435 | 219,781,136 | R14,562,287,484 | 186696 | 2087985 | 01/07/2016 | 191 | 152 | 76 | 419 | 291,075,890 | R20,045,351,733 | 269831 | 2778621 | 30/06/2016 | 241 | 128 | 48 | 417 | 332,765,708 | R26,046,295,076 | 296629 | 203542 |
* Includes all listed instruments on the JSE
Index Summary Index Name | RP | Move | % Move | Top 40 | 44,501.22 | -829.71 | -1.83% | Industrial | 76,287.31 | -1404.19 | -1.81% | Mid Cap | 74,657.96 | -590.01 | -0.78% | Small Cap | 58,950.61 | -723.04 | -1.21% | Resource 20 | 30,629.04 | -50.13 | -0.16% | Industrial 25 | 68,748.61 | -1280.32 | -1.83% | Financial 15 | 13,795.10 | -402.26 | -2.83% | Financial & Ind. 30 | 70,304.78 | -1508.98 | -2.10% | All Share | 50,811.66 | -858.50 | -1.66% | Oil & Gas | 7,195.69 | .00 | 0.00% | Mining | 23,126.52 | 138.83 | 0.60% | Gold Mining | 2,710.27 | 166.26 | 6.54% | Platinum Mining | 26.75 | .26 | 0.98% | GENERAL MINING | 5,369.62 | -103.04 | -1.88% | Oil & Gas Producers | 38,689.88 | .00 | 0.00% | Basic Materials | 21,865.44 | -1.16 | -0.01% | Chemicals | 19,731.50 | -231.44 | -1.16% | Forestry & Paper | 46,251.89 | -809.72 | -1.72% | Industrial Metals | 8,342.85 | -123.28 | -1.46% | Industrials | 43,038.57 | -1131.63 | -2.56% | General Industrials | 165.70 | -4.56 | -2.68% | Consumer Goods | 73,034.19 | -1041.15 | -1.41% | Automobiles & Parts | 4,456.45 | 142.66 | 3.31% | Household Goods | 549.23 | -13 | -2.28% | Health Care | 10,069.45 | -86.47 | -0.85% | Beverages | 283.74 | -.70 | -0.25% |
| | Index Name | RP | Move | % Move | Food Producers | 9,110.83 | -150.07 | -1.62% | Personal Goods | 825.88 | -18.97 | -2.25% | Consumer Services | 17,554.00 | -408.81 | -2.28% | General Retailers | 7,300.17 | -104.23 | -1.41% | Travel & Leisure | 5,942.17 | -26.51 | -0.44% | Media | 459.84 | -11.28 | -2.39% | Support Services | 2,177.64 | -20.90 | -0.95% | Telecommunications | 7,703.26 | -173.41 | -2.20% | Financials | 38,377.41 | -1067.01 | -2.71% | Banks | 6,127.86 | -176.05 | -2.79% | Non-life Insurance | 56,322.41 | -847.34 | -1.48% | Life Insurance | 35,373.41 | -1047.66 | -2.88% | General Financial | 3,857.88 | -137.30 | -3.44% | Technology | 49,118.13 | -1135.85 | -2.26% | SHARIAH TOP40 | 3,014.20 | -29 | -0.96% | FTSE/JSE SHARIAH ALL | 3,381.95 | -21 | -0.62% | COAL MINING | 8,416.88 | -305 | -3.49% | FTSE JSE Fledgling | 7,182.74 | 4 | 0.06% | FTSE/JSE Alt X | 1,490.06 | -25 | -1.64% | SA LISTED PROPERTY | 631.85 | -13.76 | -2.13% | CAPPED PROPERTY | 524.45 | | -2.35% | RESOURCE | 17,446.40 | -1 | -0.01% | DIVIDEND PLUS | 192.35 | -4 | -2.06% | FTSE/JSE RAFI 40 | 9,189.54 | -156 | -1.66% | Capped Top 40 | 23,700.74 | -457 | -1.89% | Capped All Share | 25,927.26 | -442 | -1.68% | JSE TABACO | 11,973.21 | -346 | -2.81% |
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Click here for the Sharenet Index Summary page
Latest Consensus Changes** Code | Company Name | Status | Updated | FSR | FIRSTRAND LIMITED | HOLD | 05/07/2016 | SGL | SIBANYE GOLD LIMITED | HOLD | 04/07/2016 | MND | MONDI LIMITED | BUY | 04/07/2016 | BVT | THE BIDVEST GROUP LIMITED | HOLD | 04/07/2016 | S32 | SOUTH32 LIMITED | HOLD | 04/07/2016 |
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Results Expected** Expected | Company Name | Fin. Date | 08/07/2016 | ANGLD | March 2016 (Q) | 08/07/2016 | ANGLD-A | March 2016 (Q) | 08/07/2016 | ANGLD-B | March 2016 (Q) | 08/07/2016 | ANGLD-E | March 2016 (Q) | 08/07/2016 | TAWANA | December 2015 (Final) |
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Recent Dividends** Share Name | Dec-Date | LDT | Pay-Date | Amount | HUDACO | 01/07/16 | 08/08/16 | 15/08/16 | ZAR 1.7000 | TELEMASTR | 30/06/16 | 19/07/16 | 25/07/16 | ZAR 0.0050 | AEG CONV | 30/06/16 | 19/07/16 | 25/07/16 | ZAR 362.5000 | ILRPREF1 | 30/06/16 | 19/07/16 | 25/07/16 | ZAR 14.5978 | ILPREF2 | 30/06/16 | 19/07/16 | 25/07/16 | ZAR 14.5978 |
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Ex Div** Share Name | Dec-Date | LDT | Pay-Date | Amount | IVT PREF | 10/06/16 | 01/07/16 | 11/07/16 | ZAR 6.3093 | FAMBRANDS | 30/05/16 | 01/07/16 | 11/07/16 | ZAR 2.1500 | ECSP C | 17/06/16 | 01/07/16 | 11/07/16 | ZAR 1.1123 | ECSP C2 | 17/06/16 | 01/07/16 | 11/07/16 | ZAR 1.1123 | ECSP B12 | 17/06/16 | 01/07/16 | 11/07/16 | ZAR 1.1123 |
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Upcoming AGMs** Code | Company Name | Date | Status | GAM | Global Asset Management Ltd. | 13/07/2016 | Confirmed |
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