Tuesday, 10 June 2014 - 20:00
Charts
Seed Weekly - Active Share
Active share has emerged as a new metric to assess active managers. The metric focuses on how individual stock weights in a portfolio differ from the weights in a benchmark, providing an enhancement over traditional measures such as tracking error. Simply said, active share is the fund’s percentage that is different from its benchmark. By looking at the active share you can determine if the manager is doing active stock selection or secretly hugging the benchmark.
Active share is calculated by summing the absolute difference between a stocks weight in the portfolio and the index and then halving the value and ranges from 0% (100% overlap with benchmark) to 100% (zero overlap with benchmark).
The chart below shows the stock selection of two funds and the index (benchmark) weight of the stocks.
From the chart we can see that Fund 1 is much more active in stock selection and weighting compared to Fund 2. Fund 2 is an example of closet indexer or benchmark hugger. Practically, Fund 1 has an active share of 60% and Fund 2 has an active share of only 10%.
A closet indexer is an ‘active’ manager that only takes small relative positions when compared to the index that is used as the benchmark. The returns of these funds will, gross of fees, typically be similar to that of the benchmark, but below the benchmark after fees are deducted. These managers tend to shy away from making high conviction investments which would differentiate them too far from the benchmark.
Bank Credit Analyst (BCA) looked at the active share of all equity unit trusts in the US over the last 34 years. The funds were grouped into bands by active share. They discovered that, over time, there has been an increase in funds that are closet indexers.
To get returns different to the index, a fund needs to be positioned differently to the index. The research done by BCA showed funds that outperformed the index also had a high active share.
BCA also took a look at the relation between active share, fund size and outperformance. The chart below shows the relative performance of funds broken up into fund size and active share.
From the chart we can see that small active funds had, on average, the highest outperformance. The chart also interestingly shows that fund size doesn’t have a material impact on relative performance, but that active share is a more valuable measure of whether there will be outperformance. Naturally, as a fund gets larger it becomes more difficult to retain a high active share.
While active share is very useful, it is simply another tool that should be added to an investor's toolbox for use in evaluating investment portfolios (unit trusts, segregated accounts, pension funds, etc). As the research becomes more widespread we expect that more emphasis will be placed on active share, making it more accessible for the average investor. It is currently very difficult for the average investor to calculate active share for a range of local equity managers. The key take out is that funds that are closely aligned to an index will struggle to outperform after costs.
Due to the concentrated nature of the local market we expect that South African funds will have a lower active share when compared to global funds. Globally, active share should be above 80% for a fund to be considered ‘active’, locally we expect it to be above 70%. At Seed, when allocating client investment to an active manager, our preference is for an active share consistently in excess of 75%.
Kind regards,
Gerbrandt Kruger
www.seedinvestments.co.za
info@seedinvestments.co.za
021 914 4966
Tue, 10 Jun 2014
Top News
A worldwide measure of stocks
was little changed on Tuesday, while U.S. Treasury yields
touched one-month highs and the euro slipped as the prospect of
higher U.S. interest rates begins to take hold in markets. Full story
Palladium jumped to its
highest level in nearly 3-1/2 years on Tuesday, while platinum
also rallied after talks on Monday to resolve a five-month
strike in top producer South Africa collapsed. Full story |
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Pakistan's Taliban insurgents claimed responsibility for an attack on a security academy at Karachi's airport on Tuesday, less than 48 hours after an all-night siege by Taliban gunmen at Pakistan's busiest airport that killed more than 30 people. Full storyFifteen crew of a South Korean ferry that sank in April killing more than 300 people, most of them children, went on trial on Tuesday on charges ranging from negligence to homicide, with the shout going up of "murderer" as the captain entered the court. Full storyAn al-Qaeda splinter group in Iraq seized control of the big northern city of Mosul on Tuesday, putting security forces to flight in a spectacular show of strength against the Shi'ite-led Baghdad government. Full story |
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Markets | European stocks inched up on
Tuesday, extending a three-week rally, led by gains in defensive
Swiss blue-chips such as pharma group Novartis and
food. . . Full story | | Britain's top stock index
recovered in late trading on Tuesday to end flat, with a surge
in SABMiller on merger talks offset by. . . Full story | | U.S. stocks advanced on Monday,
boosted by a number of major acquisition deals, though gains
were slight with key indexes continuing to hover. . . Full story | | A worldwide measure of stocks
dipped on Tuesday but was within reach of its record high, while
U.S. Treasury yields touched one month. . . Full story |
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| U.S. stocks edged lower on
Tuesday, as a lack of buying catalysts was evident with the Dow
and S&P 500 just below their. . . Full story | | An all-time low for euro zone
money market rates bolstered the region's bond rally and held
down the euro on Tuesday, providing clear. . . Full story | | Britain's top share index
retreated on Tuesday after coming close to a record high in the
previous session, with telecom operator BT Group. . . Full story | | Hong Kong shares finished at
their highest in more than five months on Tuesday, tracking
strong gains in the mainland after China detailed. . . Full story |
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SA Business | South African stocks scaled to record highs on Tuesday for a second straight session but shares of platinum mining firms fell. . . Full story | | Impala Platinum has "exhausted all of its financial means" in its wage offer to South Africa's striking AMCU union, a spokesman. . . Full story | | South Africa is facing a self-inflicted economic slowdown caused mainly by a strike in the country's platinum mines, but a recession. . . Full story | | South Africa's manufacturing output fell by 1.5 percent year-on-year in volume terms in April after a revised 1 percent expansion in. . . Full story |
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| Platinum producer Lonmin may soon need to raise capital to survive South Africa's longest and costliest mining strike, which has paralysed. . . Full story | | South Africa's quarterly business confidence index was unchanged at 41 index points in the second quarter of the year, indicating the. . . Full story | | The South African rand fell 0.7
percent on Tuesday versus the dollar, lagging emerging peers as
a stubborn economic downturn looks set to. . . Full story | | Eni has agreed to buy a 40 percent interest in an exploration permit granting rights to explore an offshore area of. . . Full story |
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| South Africa's Central Bank Governor Gill Marcus said on Tuesday the domestic economy faced "enormous headwinds", some of which were of the country's own making, including labour issues.. . . Full story | | South Africa's rand eased against the dollar early on Tuesday after Central Bank Governor Gill Marcus said the outlook for emerging markets was fragile due to the end of the "era" of abundant capital flows.. . . Full story |
World Markets (Spot Prices)
Name | Time | RP | Move | % Move | JSE Overall | 17:00 | 50736.42 | 601.89 | 1.20% | JSE Top 40 | 17:00 | 45730.62 | 593.55 | 1.31% | JSE Gold | 17:00 | 1412.28 | 21.55 | 1.55% | JSE Financial | 17:00 | 37562.71 | 250.10 | 0.67% | JSE Industrial | 17:00 | 67219.70 | 1314.81 | 2.00% | JSE Indust 25 | 17:00 | 59574.20 | 1269.34 | 2.18% | JSE Resource | 17:00 | 56046.41 | -45.76 | -0.08% | DJ Futures | 19:42 | 16912.00 | -21.00 | -0.12% | DJ Ind | 19:58 | 16928.23 | -14.87 | -0.09% | SP 500 | 19:58 | 1948.17 | -3.10 | -0.16% | Nasdaq | 19:58 | 4330.53 | -5.71 | -0.13% | FTSE 100 | 17:35 | 6873.55 | -1.45 | -0.02% | DAX | 18:10 | 10028.80 | 20.17 | 0.20% | CAC40 | 18:10 | 4595.00 | 5.88 | 0.13% | Nikkei | 06/06 | 15077.00 | -2.37 | -0.02% | Shanghai | 09:28 | 2052.53 | 22.03 | 1.08% | Hang-Seng | 10:26 | 23315.74 | 198.27 | 0.86% | All Ords | 08:38 | 5448.50 | 5.00 | 0.09% | NZSE 50 | 07:48 | 5179.40 | -7.95 | -0.15% |
| | Name | Time | RP | Move | % Move | Gold $ | 19:59 | 1259.95 | 8.00 | 0.64% | Gold R | 19:59 | 13510.66 | 201.38 | 1.51% | Gold R/kg | 19:58 | 434066 | 5943 | 1.39% | Silver $ | 19:59 | 19.1700 | .1200 | 0.63% | Platinum $ | 19:59 | 1477.90 | 30.60 | 2.11% | Palladium $ | 19:59 | 851.65 | 12.45 | 1.48% | R157 | 16:40 | 6.74 | .17 | 2.59% | R186 | 16:45 | 8.36 | .15 | 1.89% | R204 | 16:40 | 7.61 | .15 | 2.01% | R207 | 16:40 | 7.85 | .15 | 1.95% | Brent Crude | 19:58 | 109.28 | .67 | 0.62% | Rand / Dollar | 19:59 | 10.7236 | 0.0925 | 0.87% | Rand / Pound | 19:55 | 17.9252 | 0.0881 | 0.49% | Rand / Euro | 19:55 | 14.5173 | 0.0614 | 0.42% | Rand / NZD | 19:59 | 9.1304 | 0.0980 | 1.08% | Rand / AUD | 19:55 | 10.0445 | 0.0981 | 0.99% | Yen / Dollar | 19:59 | 102.3780 | -0.1540 | -0.15% | Euro / Dollar | 19:59 | 0.7387 | 0.0056 | 0.76% | Dollar / Euro | 19:59 | 1.3536 | -0.0056 | -0.41% | Pound / Dollar | 19:55 | 0.5969 | 0.0020 | 0.34% |
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Click here for the Sharenet Spot Price page
The JSE Today
Trading Statistics
Date | Adv. | Decl. | Unch. | Actives | Volume | Value | Trades | Orders |
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10/06/2014 | 202 | 150 | 69 | 421 | 237,977,614 | R20,051,663,896 | 206039 | 1558700 | 09/06/2014 | 177 | 182 | 51 | 410 | 136,485,090 | R8,280,447,373 | 116613 | 583412 | 06/06/2014 | 184 | 163 | 71 | 418 | 182,044,730 | R11,215,679,876 | 143508 | 1571670 | 05/06/2014 | 198 | 151 | 64 | 413 | 209,419,079 | R13,615,802,105 | 170930 | 1867120 | 04/06/2014 | 190 | 153 | 72 | 415 | 176,044,740 | R12,298,441,603 | 145255 | 573849 |
* Includes all listed instruments on the JSE
Index Summary Index Name | RP | Move | % Move | Top 40 | 45,730.62 | 593.55 | 1.31% | Industrial | 67,219.70 | 1314.81 | 2.00% | Mid Cap | 63,950.93 | 456.02 | 0.72% | Small Cap | 54,171.29 | -22.77 | -0.04% | Resource 20 | 56,046.41 | -45.76 | -0.08% | Industrial 25 | 59,574.20 | 1269.34 | 2.18% | Financial 15 | 14,534.57 | 119.10 | 0.83% | Financial & Ind. 30 | 63,412.01 | 1206.14 | 1.94% | All Share | 50,736.42 | 601.89 | 1.20% | Oil & Gas | 46,506.56 | 584.21 | 1.27% | Mining | 32,979.53 | -133.27 | -0.40% | Gold Mining | 1,412.28 | 21.55 | 1.55% | Platinum Mining | 47.87 | -.19 | -0.40% | GENERAL MINING | 9,593.99 | -65.59 | -0.68% | Oil & Gas Producers | 25,005.72 | 314.12 | 1.27% | Basic Materials | 29,305.85 | -118.77 | -0.40% | Chemicals | 24,643.15 | -91.73 | -0.37% | Forestry & Paper | 33,217.35 | -239.48 | -0.72% | Industrial Metals | 18,929.49 | 179.27 | 0.96% | Industrials | 46,147.31 | 437.31 | 0.96% | General Industrials | 145.10 | 1.56 | 1.09% | Consumer Goods | 63,230.20 | 1475.11 | 2.39% | Automobiles & Parts | 9,408.83 | 217.39 | 2.37% | Household Goods | 379.07 | 6 | 1.49% | Health Care | 82,999.54 | 1148.86 | 1.40% | Beverages | 210.00 | 11.00 | 5.53% |
| | Index Name | RP | Move | % Move | Food Producers | 76,863.05 | 1436.23 | 1.90% | Personal Goods | 1,094.84 | .40 | 0.04% | Consumer Services | 11,985.36 | 294.56 | 2.52% | General Retailers | 64,748.63 | 556.33 | 0.87% | Travel & Leisure | 5,831.25 | -37.86 | -0.65% | Media | 271.36 | 10.44 | 4.00% | Support Services | 2,897.18 | 25.89 | 0.90% | Telecommunications | 11,124.99 | 211.16 | 1.93% | Financials | 37,562.71 | 250.10 | 0.67% | Banks | 65,857.56 | 1020.36 | 1.57% | Non-life Insurance | 51,940.24 | -635.51 | -1.21% | Life Insurance | 35,913.67 | 22.04 | 0.06% | General Financial | 3,771.22 | 57.52 | 1.55% | Technology | 42,409.66 | 10.74 | 0.03% | SHARIAH TOP40 | 4,242.87 | 17 | 0.41% | FTSE/JSE SHARIAH ALL | 4,360.94 | 20 | 0.46% | COAL MINING | 18,065.07 | 368 | 2.08% | FTSE JSE Fledgling | 6,707.94 | -34 | -0.50% | FTSE/JSE Alt X | 1,285.74 | -7 | -0.55% | SA LISTED PROPERTY | 506.43 | | -0.30% | CAPPED PROPERTY | 448.55 | | -0.24% | RESOURCE | 30,632.34 | -24 | -0.08% | DIVIDEND PLUS | 225.58 | 2 | 0.91% | FTSE/JSE RAFI 40 | 10,041.09 | 105 | 1.06% | Capped Top 40 | 24,248.50 | 331 | 1.38% | Capped All Share | 25,702.77 | 310 | 1.22% | JSE TABACO | 8,109.07 | 37 | 0.46% |
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Click here for the Sharenet Index Summary page
Latest Consensus Changes** Code | Company Name | Status | Updated | SAB | SABMILLER PLC | HOLD | 06/06/2014 | LEW | LEWIS GROUP LIMITED | HOLD | 06/06/2014 | EXX | EXXARO RESOURCES LIMITED | HOLD | 05/06/2014 | SLM | SANLAM LIMITED | HOLD | 05/06/2014 | NPN | NASPERS LIMITED | BUY | 05/06/2014 |
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Results Expected** Expected | Company Name | Fin. Date | 11/06/2014 | INVICTA | March 2014 (Final) | 11/06/2014 | IVT PREF | March 2014 (Final) | 11/06/2014 | PERGRIN | March 2014 (Final) | 11/06/2014 | PERGRINP | March 2014 (Final) | 12/06/2014 | ACUCAP | March 2014 (Final) |
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Recent Dividends** Share Name | Dec-Date | LDT | Pay-Date | Amount | MARSHALL | 09/06/14 | 27/06/14 | 11/07/14 | USD 0.0180 | IVT PREF | 05/06/14 | 20/06/14 | 30/06/14 | ZAR 5.3372 | BRAIT | 04/06/14 | 25/07/14 | 04/08/14 | ZAR 0.3195 | CROOKES | 03/06/14 | 04/07/14 | 14/07/14 | ZAR 1.2000 | CADIZ | 02/06/14 | 27/06/14 | 07/07/14 | ZAR 0.0440 |
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Ex Div** Share Name | Dec-Date | LDT | Pay-Date | Amount | JDG CONV | 19/05/14 | 06/06/14 | 20/06/14 | ZAR 375.0000 | INVPREFR | 22/05/14 | 06/06/14 | 24/06/14 | ZAR 4.1058 | INVESTEC-P | 22/05/14 | 06/06/14 | 24/06/14 | ZAR 3.6015 | ABIL PREF | 19/05/14 | 06/06/14 | 17/06/14 | ZAR 3.4900 | INVLTDPREF | 22/05/14 | 06/06/14 | 24/06/14 | ZAR 3.3612 |
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Upcoming AGMs** Code | Company Name | Date | Status | TED2 | Trencor Ltd. | 10/06/2014 | Confirmed | TRE | Trencor Ltd. | 10/06/2014 | Confirmed | SGL | Sibanye Gold Ltd. | 17/06/2014 | Confirmed |
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