Tuesday, 11 September 2012 - 20:00
Charts
Active versus Passive Investing I was recently at an investment conference and a topic that was discussed on more than one occasion was the merits of actively managed funds versus passive investments and ETFs. Indeed, there is a lot of debate around the world on this topic.
When ETFs were first launched in South Africa in 2000 the debate began locally, with advocates of passive investing going to great lengths to show how few global managers beat their passively created benchmarks over time, concluding that investing into low cost passive investments (typically ETFs) beat most managers. The reality is that ETFs in South Africa themselves carried a rather high fee structure and at first only tracked the well known indices. Therefore, on an after fee basis, the early ETFs underperformed their benchmarks and in some cases a large portion of the active managers.
In this environment we felt that doing thorough research, selecting the best active managers AND negotiating lower fees with these managers would offer our clients the opportunity to beat their passive benchmark AND be competitive when comparing fees with the available ETFs and passive funds. There was no guarantee that active managers would outperform their index, but a limited ETF range wouldn’t be able to outperform the indices they were tracking as the cost factor (albeit typically lower than active managers) would result in the performance to the end client being guaranteed to be lower than the index.
Over the past few years, however, the passive investment market has rapidly developed and asset managers now offer so called ‘smart’ passive products. These are strategies that are designed to be different from your typical market cap weighted benchmark (e.g. ALSI) and will, over time, produce a different (hopefully better) return to the regular index. The investor, therefore, now makes an active decision when making a passive investment. As the industry has grown there has also been pressure on the costs charged, with the net effect being investors getting more choice, when investing into passive strategies, at a better price. Investors are now able to research (what is typically done on actively managed unit trusts) the various passive strategies, be they in the form of an ETF or a passive unit trust, and give themselves the opportunity to outperform (after costs) the typical benchmarks (e.g. ALSI).
To illustrate how much the passive environment has changed I have included a chart showing the tracking error of two passive strategies (one ‘Old Generation Passive’ and one ‘Smart Passive’) and one Active Manager (deemed to be quite active in relation to his peers) versus the ALSI. As can be seen, the Smart Passive strategy is actually more active than the Active Manager most of the time!
The Old Generation Passive strategy has a very low tracking error and as such has a similar risk/return profile as the ALSI. Both the Active Manager and Smart Passive have been able to outperform the ALSI over a 10 year period (all strategies shown after costs – ALSI pre costs) with significantly less downside risk.
As multi-managers we understand that active and passive strategies can both play a role in an investor’s portfolio. We therefore look to combine low cost ‘smart’ passive strategies with slightly higher cost active managers. In this way we attempt to choose those smart passive strategies that will beat the market (ALSI) on an after cost basis and combine them with those active managers that we believe are best equipped to deliver alpha over the long term.
There are various ways to access passive strategies, with the most common two being through a unit trust OR a listed ETF. Both access points have their pros and cons, and not all strategies are offered as a unit trust AND a listed ETF. Investors therefore need to do their homework to determine on how they will access the passive portfolio with factors such as availability, cost, and efficiency needing to be considered based on the client’s individual requirements.
The Seed Flexible Fund currently makes use of 1 passive and 2 active local equity strategies.
Take care,
Mike Browne
www.seedinvestments.co.za
info@seedinvestments.co.za
021 914 4966
Tue, 11 Sep 2012
Top News
South African stocks fell for a second straight session on Tuesday after labour troubles hit mining companies such as Impala Platinum and Gold Fields. Full story
Interest income rose 8% to R41.3 billion (2011: R38.2 billion) whilst income form operations jumped 7% to R46.3 billion (2011: R43.2 billion). Net attributable profit to ordinary equityholders fell 34% to R13.2 billion (2011: R20.1 billion). In addition, headline earnings from continuing ope Full story |
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Markets | European shares edged higher on
Tuesday, with Deutsche Bank leading a rally among euro zone
lenders after saying it would not ask shareholders. . . Full story | | U.S. stocks moved higher in
quiet trading on Tuesday ahead of a key ruling by a German court
and possible policy action from. . . Full story | | Britain's top share index pared
early losses to end flat on Tuesday, with uncertainty regarding
the outcome of a German court ruling on. . . Full story | | U.S. and European stocks
rallied, Treasuries slipped and the dollar weakened on Tuesday
on expectations a German court would not interfere with a. . . Full story |
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| Gold rose toward a
six-month high on Tuesday, lifted by a weak dollar following
Moody's warning on U.S. creditworthiness and strong investment
buying in. . . Full story | | European shares pared losses in
thin afternoon trade on Tuesday as euro zone banks resumed their
relief rally and Wall Street indexes gained.. . . Full story | | U.S. stocks opened flat on
Tuesday as investors exercised caution ahead of possible policy
action from the Federal Reserve and a key decision. . . Full story | | The rally in European equities
stuttered for a second day on Tuesday, in sight of 13-month
highs, with investors concerned about the strings. . . Full story |
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| Evidence of water contamination would be grounds for South Africa to halt exploration for shale gas in its semi-arid Karoo region,. . . Full story | | South Africa's current account recorded its largest deficit in nearly four years in the second quarter of 2012 as exports fell. . . Full story | | South Africa's manufacturing output grew 5.8 percent year-on-year in volume terms in July, almost in line with market expectations, after a. . . Full story | | Spending growth in South Africa quickened to 4.7 percent in the second quarter from 4.3 percent in the first quarter as. . . Full story |
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| South Africa's rand steadied against the dollar on Tuesday, trading cautiously ahead of key local data released the day ahead of a constitutional court ruling in Germany on whether Berlin can take part in a permanent euro zone bailout fund.. . . Full story | | South Africa's second-biggest bank, FirstRand posted a 26 percent rise in full-year earnings helped by a strategic push to increase retail customers that has boosted income from lending.. . . Full story |
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Company News | Fiuranium announced that it will make an initial distribution (the "Distribution") on October 1, 2012 of CAD0.125 per unit to shareholders. . . Full story | | Shareholders are advised that, at the annual general meeting of the company convened on Tuesday, 11 September 2012 (in terms of. . . Full story | | On 6 August 2012, Coal announced that 115,478,798 new ordinary shares ("placing shares") had been successfully placed at a placing price. . . Full story | | Textainer announced that, subject to market and other conditions, it intends to offer up to 5 000 000 of its common. . . Full story |
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| Textainer announced that it has entered into two separate agreements to acquire 52 000 TEU (twenty-foot equivalent units) from its managed fleet for approximately USD66 million with the transfer of ownership rights effective as of August 1, 2012. The purchase of. . . Full story | | Implats is in the process of informing all stakeholders that the company has received a wage demand from the Interim Workers Committee (IWC) at Impala Rustenburg. At the end of April 2012 a wage increase was implemented which formed part of. . . Full story |
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Company Results | Revenue increased by 10.6% to R8.3 billion (R7.5 billion). Operating profit before capital items was up by 22.8% to R1.4 billion. . . Full story | | Revenue for the year increased to R169.4 billion (2011:142.4 billion). Operating profit grew 23% to R36.8 billion (2011: R30 billion). Earnings. . . Full story | | Interest income increased to R434 million (R359.3 million). Profit from operations rose to R159.1 million (R121.8 million). Net attributable profit improved. . . Full story | | Revenue increased to R7.2 billion (R6.5 billion). Gross profit rose to R2 billion (R1.7 billion) and operating profit improved to R371.2. . . Full story |
World Markets (Spot Prices)
Name | Time | RP | Move | % Move | JSE Overall | 17:00 | 35446.66 | -77.00 | -0.22% | JSE Top 40 | 17:00 | 31264.38 | -78.00 | -0.25% | JSE Gold | 17:00 | 2337.10 | .00 | -0.04% | JSE Financial | 17:00 | 26689.58 | 79.00 | 0.30% | JSE Industrial | 17:00 | 41399.08 | -17.00 | -0.04% | JSE Indust 25 | 17:00 | 35306.42 | 7.00 | 0.02% | JSE Resource | 17:00 | 48098.73 | -402.00 | -0.83% | DJ Futures | 19:38 | 13332.00 | 36.00 | 0.27% | DJ Ind | 19:58 | 13352.60 | 45.96 | 0.35% | SP 500 | 19:58 | 1436.80 | -1.12 | -0.08% | Nasdaq | 19:58 | 3114.37 | -22.05 | -0.70% | FTSE 100 | 17:35 | 5792.19 | -1.01 | -0.02% | DAX | 18:08 | 7310.11 | 95.61 | 1.33% | CAC40 | 18:08 | 3537.30 | 31.25 | 0.89% | Nikkei | 08:28 | 8807.38 | -61.99 | -0.70% | Shanghai | 09:28 | 2120.55 | -14.34 | -0.67% | Hang-Seng | 10:28 | 19857.88 | 30.71 | 0.15% | All Ords | 08:44 | 4348.30 | -9.70 | -0.22% | NZSE 50 | 07:48 | 3744.96 | 18.06 | 0.48% |
| | Name | Time | RP | Move | % Move | Gold $ | 19:59 | 1733.60 | 6.70 | 0.39% | Gold R | 19:58 | 14136.66 | 6.21 | 0.04% | Gold R/kg | 19:58 | 454555 | 1013 | 0.22% | Silver $ | 19:59 | 33.5100 | .1590 | 0.48% | Platinum $ | 19:59 | 1600.75 | 11.25 | 0.71% | Palladium $ | 19:59 | 669.50 | 1.40 | 0.21% | R157 | 17:02 | 5.36 | -.01 | -0.19% | R204 | 17:02 | 6.12 | -.02 | -0.24% | Brent Crude | 19:58 | 114.60 | -.04 | -0.03% | Rand / Dollar | 19:59 | 8.1643 | -0.0211 | -0.26% | Rand / Pound | 19:55 | 13.0750 | 0.0145 | 0.11% | Rand / Euro | 19:55 | 10.4878 | 0.0414 | 0.40% | Rand / NZD | 19:58 | 6.6753 | 0.0550 | 0.83% | Rand / AUD | 19:55 | 8.5230 | 0.0597 | 0.71% | Yen / Dollar | 19:59 | 77.7900 | -0.4750 | -0.61% | Euro / Dollar | 19:55 | 0.7774 | -0.0062 | -0.79% | Dollar / Euro | 19:59 | 1.2861 | 0.0101 | 0.79% | Pound / Dollar | 19:55 | 0.6221 | -0.0032 | -0.51% |
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Click here for the Sharenet Spot Price page
The JSE Today
Trading Statistics
Date | Adv. | Decl. | Unch. | Actives | Volume | Value | Trades | Orders |
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11/09/2012 | 164 | 172 | 80 | 416 | 196,224,691 | R11,226,220,769 | 104351 | 267212 | 10/09/2012 | 144 | 206 | 71 | 421 | 209,713,456 | R13,513,858,815 | 121055 | 1839329 | 07/09/2012 | 218 | 172 | 51 | 441 | 197,695,120 | R13,374,468,194 | 116912 | 2091708 | 06/09/2012 | 230 | 101 | 75 | 406 | 176,017,800 | R10,045,189,162 | 100515 | 1646267 | 05/09/2012 | 127 | 181 | 96 | 404 | 176,519,352 | R10,504,582,655 | 102375 | 1398008 |
* Includes all listed instruments on the JSE
Index Summary Index Name | RP | Move | % Move | Top 40 | 31,264.00 | -78.00 | -0.25% | Industrial | 41,399.00 | -17.00 | -0.04% | Mid Cap | 50,937.00 | -51.00 | -0.10% | Small Cap | 37,804.00 | 42.00 | 0.11% | Resource 20 | 48,098.00 | -402.00 | -0.83% | Industrial 25 | 35,306.00 | 7.00 | 0.02% | Financial 15 | 9,933.00 | 36.00 | 0.37% | Financial & Ind. 30 | 38,640.00 | 33.00 | 0.09% | All Share | 35,446.00 | -77.00 | -0.22% | Oil & Gas | 28,567.00 | -465.00 | -1.60% | Mining | 30,587.00 | -215.00 | -0.70% | Gold Mining | 2,337.00 | .00 | -0.04% | Platinum Mining | 50.00 | .00 | -1.55% | GENERAL MINING | 7,898.00 | -43.00 | -0.55% | Oil & Gas Producers | 15,360.00 | -249.00 | -1.60% | Basic Materials | 26,172.00 | -170.00 | -0.65% | Chemicals | 15,430.00 | -59.00 | -0.38% | Forestry & Paper | 14,426.00 | -94.00 | -0.65% | Industrial Metals | 26,375.00 | 116.00 | 0.44% | Industrials | 34,888.00 | -122.00 | -0.35% | General Industrials | 99.00 | .00 | 0.58% | Consumer Goods | 35,868.00 | -293.00 | -0.81% | Automobiles & Parts | 6,680.00 | -112.00 | -1.66% | Household Goods | 174.00 | 0 | 0.06% | Health Care | 48,596.00 | 581.00 | 1.21% | Beverages | 121.00 | 1.00 | 1.38% |
| | Index Name | RP | Move | % Move | Food Producers | 63,873.00 | 356.00 | 0.56% | Personal Goods | 527.00 | -25.00 | -4.62% | Consumer Services | 72,312.00 | 404.00 | 0.56% | General Retailers | 60,036.00 | 646.00 | 1.09% | Travel & Leisure | 4,364.00 | -37.00 | -0.85% | Media | 104.00 | .00 | 0.03% | Support Services | 2,117.00 | -9.00 | -0.47% | Telecommunications | 75,631.00 | 716.00 | 0.96% | Financials | 26,689.00 | 79.00 | 0.30% | Banks | 47,737.00 | 175.00 | 0.37% | Non-life Insurance | 45,429.00 | 260.00 | 0.58% | Life Insurance | 22,427.00 | 124.00 | 0.56% | General Financial | 2,432.00 | -21.00 | -0.89% | Technology | 31,786.00 | 106.00 | 0.34% | SHARIAH TOP40 | 3,098.00 | -27 | -0.88% | FTSE/JSE SHARIAH ALL | 3,215.00 | -24 | -0.77% | COAL MINING | 20,613.00 | 284 | 1.40% | FTSE JSE Fledgling | 5,541.00 | 9 | 0.16% | FTSE/JSE Alt X | 1,080.00 | 0 | -0.07% | SA LISTED PROPERTY | 487.00 | | 0.73% | CAPPED PROPERTY | 389.00 | | 0.45% | RESOURCE | 26,494.00 | -224 | -0.84% | DIVIDEND PLUS | 196.00 | 0 | 0.09% | FTSE/JSE RAFI 40 | 7,261.00 | -20 | -0.28% | Capped Top 40 | 16,506.00 | -44 | -0.27% | Capped All Share | 17,932.00 | -39 | -0.22% | JSE TABACO | 5,319.00 | 109 | 2.10% |
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Click here for the Sharenet Index Summary page
Latest Consensus Changes** Code | Company Name | Status | Updated | IPL | IMPERIAL HOLDINGS LTD | HOLD | 07/09/2012 | RLO | REUNERT LIMITED | SELL | 07/09/2012 | ALT | ALLIED TECHNOLOGIES LIMIT... | HOLD | 07/09/2012 | BIL | BHP BILLITON PLC | HOLD | 07/09/2012 | TRU | TRUWORTHS INTERNATIONAL L... | SELL | 07/09/2012 |
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Results Expected** Expected | Company Name | Fin. Date | 12/09/2012 | ASPEN | June 2012 (Final) | 12/09/2012 | ASPENPREF | June 2012 (Final) | 12/09/2012 | EOH | July 2012 (Final) | 12/09/2012 | MMI HLDGS | June 2012 (Final) | 12/09/2012 | MMIPREF | June 2012 (Final) |
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Recent Dividends** Share Name | Dec-Date | LDT | Pay-Date | Amount | SASFIN | 10/09/2012 | 05/10/2012 | 15/10/2012 | R 0.8800 | SASOL | 10/09/2012 | 05/10/2012 | 15/10/2012 | R 11.8000 | A-V-I | 10/09/2012 | 05/10/2012 | 15/10/2012 | R 1.8000 | A-V-I | 10/09/2012 | 05/10/2012 | 15/10/2012 | R 1.2000 | SASFIN-P | 10/09/2012 | 28/09/2012 | 08/10/2012 | R 3.5155 |
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Ex Div** Share Name | Dec-Date | LDT | Pay-Date | Amount | GRINDROD PREF | 22/08/2012 | 07/09/2012 | 17/09/2012 | R 3.9500 | STANBANK | 16/08/2012 | 07/09/2012 | 17/09/2012 | R 2.1200 | SHOPRIT | 21/08/2012 | 07/09/2012 | 17/09/2012 | R 1.9400 | GFIELDS | 23/08/2012 | 07/09/2012 | 17/09/2012 | R 1.6000 | DISTELL | 22/08/2012 | 07/09/2012 | 17/09/2012 | R 1.5200 |
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Upcoming AGMs** Code | Company Name | Date | Status | AME | African Media Entertainment Ltd. | 11/09/2012 | Confirmed | MIX | MiX Telematics Ltd. | 11/09/2012 | Confirmed | ILE | Imbalie Beauty Ltd. | 12/09/2012 | Confirmed | WGRTSX | Witwatersrand Consolidated Gold Resource... | 12/09/2012 | Confirmed | WGR | Witwatersrand Consolidated Gold Resource... | 12/09/2012 | Confirmed |
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