Wednesday, 16 March 2011 - 20:00
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Charts
S.Africa's rand off 2-1/2 wek low; stocks recover
By Phumza Macanda and David Dolan
JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) - South African assets recovered from sharp declines on Wednesday, after a rebound in Japanese stocks eased fears about a further sell-off related to the nuclear crisis in the world's third-largest economy.
The rand recovered from 2-1/2 week lows against the dollar, having been hit by concern that Japanese investors, substantial holders of rand-denominated debt, would cash in such instruments and repatriate funds to their stricken country.
The rebound in short-term sentiment sent Johannesburg stocks to their first rise in three days, but traders cautioned markets are likely to remain volatile, given the uncertain outlook.
"At the moment it looks a bit better but there are still a lot of risk factors," said Gabor Ambrus, emerging market analyst at 4CAST. "This is just a bit of retracement, I don't think it's game over."
The rand was trading at 6.98 against the dollar at 1550 GMT, 0.2 percent weaker than Tuesday's New York close of 6.9680.
It fell to 7.0450 earlier, its weakest since February 25. Those levels are likely to have attracted exporters and helped the currency recover, said Brigid Taylor, a dealer at Nedbank.
The currency registered its biggest daily fall in two years on Tuesday, as Japanese investors cashed in their rand-denominated bonds.
Japanese funds hold about $1.2 billion worth of South African bonds and the number could be higher when including uridashis, foreign currency bonds sold to retail investors.
The rand briefly traded weaker than its 100-day moving average at 7.01 on Wednesday, and a sustained breach of this level -- which is also a 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement to the February low of 7.34 -- will open up 7.08 and higher.
TOKYO STORY
Johannesburg share prices were underpinned after Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225, rose nearly 6 percent following two days of sharp declines.
"Japan is definitely one of the biggest factors behind the recovery in short-term sentiment today," said Devin Schutte, a trader at Newstrading in Johannesburg.
The Top-40 index of South African blue chips rose 1.5 percent to 27,534.99. The broader All-share index gained 1.4 percent to 30,612.41.
Some technical factors had also indicated the Johannesburg market may have been due for a short-term recovery. The benchmark Top-40 index's 14-day relative strength index, or RSI, on Tuesday fell below the "oversold" mark of 30 for the first time since May.
The Top-40 breached the 30-mark only twice in 2010, Thomson Reuters data shows.
In addition, the index finished below its lower Bollinger band on Tuesday, another potential sign that it could be due for a rebound. Both the Bollinger band and the RSI are used by technical analysts as a measure of momentum.
African Rainbow Minerals, a miner with platinum, copper and coal assets, gained 4.2 percent to 200.00 rand.
The company was one of several commodities firms hit hard on worries the nuclear crisis would blunt demand from resource-hungry Japan.
Kumba Iron Ore, Africa's largest producer of the steel-making ingredient, rose 3.1 percent after a 3.3 percent fall in the previous session. Japan, the world's second-biggest steel producer, is one of Kumba's traditional markets.
Johannesburg-listed shares of Swiss luxury goods firm Richemont rose 1.4 percent after a 2.7 percent decline. Japan is a substantial market for the maker of Cartier jewellery and Montblanc pens.
Bonds weakened after attracting buyers in the previous two sessions. The yield on the 2015 bond was up three basis points to 7.845 percent and that on the 2015 note went up 1.5 basis points to 8.94 percent.
Wed, 16 Mar 2011
Top News
Revenue increased from R4 252 million to R5 125 million in 2010. Gross profit decreased to R94 million (2009: R674 million) and operating loss was recorded at R823 million (2009: Profit of R192 million).Loss for the year amounted to R549 million (2009: Profit of R163 million). Headline loss Full story
South Africa's rand reversed its earlier losses on Wednesday, bouncing from a 2-1/2 week low as its weaker levels attracted exporters. Full story |
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Japan's nuclear crisis appeared to be spinning out of control on Wednesday after workers withdrew briefly from a stricken power plant because of surging radiation levels and a helicopter failed to drop water on the most troubled reactor. Full storyBahraini forces, backed by troops sent by neighbouring Saudi Arabia, drove protesters from the streets using tear gas, tanks and helicopters on Wednesday, prompting rare criticism from their U.S. allies. Full storyMuammar Gaddafi's forces bombarded Libya's third largest city with artillery fire and advanced on the rebel stronghold of Benghazi on Wednesday as diplomatic steps to prevent him quelling a revolt ran aground. Full story |
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Markets | Gold rebounded
Wednesday after the previous day's 2 percent drop, as investors
shifted the focus back on loose monetary policies and
geopolitical tensions and. . . Full story | | European and U.S. shares
slid for a third day on Wednesday and Treasury debt prices
jumped as the nuclear crisis in Japan raised. . . Full story | | U.S. stocks sank for a third
day on Wednesday as worries about Japan's nuclear crisis
escalated, and analysts saw more volatility ahead for. . . Full story | | Heightened fears about the
nuclear crisis in Japan saw investors shun equities on
Wednesday, with falls by heavyweight commodity issues dragging
Britain's top share. . . Full story |
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| European shares retreated on
Wednesday, with banks leading the falls after Moody's downgraded
Portuguese debt overnight and as uncertainty persisted over
whether Japan can. . . Full story | | Non-nuclear energy stocks
led gains as Hong Kong and Shanghai shares ended higher on
Wednesday, with panic selling subsiding and investors looking to
position. . . Full story | | Gold regained strength on
Wednesday after falling to a 1-month low in the previous
session, but declines in ETF holdings to their lowest. . . Full story | | Asian financial markets
rallied on Wednesday, with Tokyo stocks rebounding 5.7 percent
after a steep two-day sell-off on Japan's killer earthquake and
unfolding nuclear. . . Full story |
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SA Business | Growth in South Africa's retail sales slowed to 6.4 percent year-on-year in January at constant prices, compared with an 8.3 percent increase in December, Statistics South Africa said on Wednesday.. . . Full story | | South Africa's rand recouped some of the previous day's heavy losses against the dollar on Wednesday as some of the panic triggered by the radiation crisis in Japan subsided.. . . Full story |
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| Libya is estimated to have lost two thirds of its oil output while
fighting between government and rebel forces and international sanctions. . . Full story | | FirstRand, South Africa's No.2
banking group, is in advanced talks with Nigeria's Sterling Bank
over making a strategic investment in the lender, banking
sources. . . Full story | | Maize deliveries to South African silos rose to 11.843 million tonnes in the week to March 11, up from 11.825 million. . . Full story | | Germany's BMW looks set to
replace rival Mercedes-Benz as the only luxury carmaker in
Brazil, if it decides to assemble cars there for. . . Full story |
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| High-yield bonds and U.S.
Treasuries top the list of vulnerable assets should the triple
disaster of earthquake, tsunami and nuclear breakdown prompt
Japanese investors to bring overseas funds back home.
Such moves -- which may already be under way, given some of
the currency movements of the past few days -- are also likely
to sour global merger and acquisition and outward direct
investment activity from Japan, one of the top 10 players.. . . Full story |
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Company News | In compliance with paragraph 3.59 of the Listings Requirements of JSE Ltd, shareholders are hereby notified that Messrs Neels Minnie and. . . Full story | | Further to the transaction announcements, dated 18 January 2011 and 22 November 2010, the board of PSV has pleasure in announcing. . . Full story | | Great Basin Gold Ltd announced that it has repaid the 2008 Senior Secured Notes ("Notes")with the proceeds of the previously announced. . . Full story | | Further to the cautionary announcement dated 30 September 2010 and subsequent renewal of cautionary announcements, the last of which was dated. . . Full story |
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| Shareholders of Steinhoff International Holdings Ltd ("SHIL") are referred to the SENS announcements released by Steinhoff International Holdings Ltd on 10 March 2011 and 15 March 2011 regarding the launch, pricing and exercise of the overallotment option of senior unsecured guaranteed. . . Full story | | Shareholders are referred to the announcement published on SENS on 7 February 2011. The company announced that there was no successful offer to acquire the Informante newspaper. The company therefore retains ownership of the newspaper and will continue to publish a. . . Full story |
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Company Results | Revenue increased from R3 342 million to R3 753 million in 2010. Gross profit increased to R794.2 million (2009: R534.9million) and. . . Full story | | Revenue increased by 44.8% to R1 139.7 million (R787.3 million). Results from operating activities rose to R107.2 million (R70.5 million). Net. . . Full story | | Group revenue increased 7.8% to R906.1 million for the year ended 31 December 2010 from R840.4 million in the previous year,. . . Full story | | Revenue increased by 0.2% from R3 921 million to R3 929 million in 2010. Gross profit increased by 0.8% to. . . Full story |
World Markets
Name | Time | RP | Move | % Move | JSE Overall | 17:00 | 30612.41 | 418.46 | 1.39% | JSE Top 40 | 17:00 | 27534.99 | 406.14 | 1.50% | JSE Gold | 17:00 | 2634.04 | 18.19 | 0.70% | JSE Financial | 17:00 | 20441.85 | 238.89 | 1.18% | JSE Industrial | 17:00 | 30462.11 | 441.03 | 1.47% | JSE Indust 25 | 17:00 | 25466.86 | 385.97 | 1.54% | JSE Resource | 17:00 | 54550.05 | 750.65 | 1.40% | DJ Futures | 19:12 | 11625.00 | -155.00 | -1.32% | DJ Ind | 19:25 | 11669.92 | -185.50 | -1.56% | SP 500 | 19:50 | 1261.29 | -20.58 | -1.61% | Nasdaq | 19:50 | 2627.06 | -40.27 | -1.51% | FTSE 100 | 18:35 | 5598.23 | -97.05 | -1.70% | DAX | 18:56 | 6513.84 | -133.82 | -2.01% | CAC40 | 18:46 | 3696.56 | -84.29 | -2.23% | Nikkei | 08:32 | 9093.72 | 488.57 | 5.68% | Shanghai | 09:52 | 2931.10 | 34.04 | 1.18% | Hang-Seng | 10:26 | 22700.88 | 22.63 | 0.10% | All Ords | 07:37 | 4644.00 | 34.10 | 0.74% | NZSE 50 | 06:26 | 3326.80 | 12.66 | 0.38% |
| | Name | Time | RP | Move | % Move | Gold | 19:58 | 1396.85 | 2.24 | 0.16% | Gold/Rand | 19:57 | 9855.44 | 152.45 | 1.57% | Gold/R kg | 19:56 | 317431 | 3892 | 1.24% | Silver | 19:58 | 34.3600 | .1400 | 0.41% | Platinum | 19:57 | 1690.50 | -2.75 | -0.16% | Palladium | 19:57 | 696.50 | -7.50 | -1.07% | R157 | 16:06 | 7.84 | .05 | 0.64% | R204 | 16:06 | 8.65 | .03 | 0.35% | Brent Crude | 19:56 | 110.42 | .32 | 0.29% | Rand / Dollar | 19:58 | 7.0408 | 0.0850 | 1.22% | Rand / Pound | 19:55 | 11.2804 | 0.1129 | 1.01% | Rand / Euro | 19:55 | 9.8177 | 0.0712 | 0.73% | Rand / NZD | 19:57 | 5.1455 | 0.0564 | 1.11% | Rand / AUD | 19:55 | 6.9473 | 0.0560 | 0.81% | Yen / Dollar | 19:57 | 80.0400 | -0.7200 | -0.89% | Euro / Dollar | 19:55 | 0.7199 | 0.0058 | 0.81% | Dollar / Euro | 19:57 | 1.3894 | -0.0104 | -0.74% | Pound / Dollar | 19:55 | 0.6248 | 0.0032 | 0.51% |
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The JSE Today
Trading Statistics
Date | Adv. | Decl. | Unch. | Actives | Volume | Value | Trades | Orders |
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16/03/2011 | 240 | 96 | 73 | 409 | 343,371,371 | R15,949,566,078 | 144797 | 2358292 | 15/03/2011 | 66 | 322 | 50 | 438 | 351,878,636 | R15,762,386,205 | 145313 | 2606748 | 14/03/2011 | 112 | 208 | 75 | 395 | 233,721,763 | R10,948,948,910 | 98865 | 2213970 | 11/03/2011 | 153 | 201 | 77 | 431 | 386,072,038 | R16,131,321,108 | 139359 | 2484282 | 10/03/2011 | 85 | 286 | 77 | 448 | 374,677,510 | R17,770,353,202 | 132557 | 2279036 |
Index Summary Index Name | RP | Move | % Move | Top 40 | 27,534.99 | 406.14 | 1.50% | Industrial | 30,462.11 | 441.03 | 1.47% | Mid Cap | 39,522.32 | 295.71 | 0.75% | Small Cap | 30,930.31 | 259.32 | 0.85% | Resource 20 | 54,550.05 | 750.65 | 1.40% | Industrial 25 | 25,466.86 | 385.97 | 1.54% | Financial 15 | 7,743.82 | 102.29 | 1.34% | Financial & Ind. 30 | 28,602.63 | 446.38 | 1.59% | All Share | 30,612.41 | 418.46 | 1.39% | Oil & Gas | 27,759.53 | 989.63 | 3.70% | Mining | 35,575.39 | 368.09 | 1.05% | Gold Mining | 2,634.04 | 18.19 | 0.70% | Platinum Mining | 72.56 | 1.54 | 2.17% | Oil & Gas Producers | 14,925.79 | 532.11 | 3.70% | Basic Materials | 30,001.01 | 327.42 | 1.10% | Chemicals | 13,177.11 | 89.32 | 0.68% | Forestry & Paper | 13,683.39 | 167.50 | 1.24% | Industrial Metals | 28,353.91 | 644.46 | 2.33% | Industrials | 26,418.09 | 219.11 | 0.84% | General Industrials | 72,631.15 | 1016.87 | 1.42% | Consumer Goods | 24,719.12 | 408.52 | 1.68% | Automobiles & Parts | 3,034.37 | 11.32 | 0.37% | Household Goods | 149.35 | 2 | 1.52% | Health Care | 30,473.13 | 566.82 | 1.90% | Beverages | 77,467.69 | 1811.11 | 2.39% | Food Producers | 45,319.56 | -143.44 | -0.32% |
| | Index Name | RP | Move | % Move | Personal Goods | 372.04 | 5.19 | 1.41% | Consumer Services | 51,076.43 | 331.63 | 0.65% | General Retailers | 37,858.91 | 583.87 | 1.57% | Travel & Leisure | 3,547.12 | 57.76 | 1.66% | Media | 84,061.90 | -491.61 | -0.58% | Support Services | 2,356.90 | 33.40 | 1.44% | Telecommunications | 62,225.20 | 1514.84 | 2.50% | Financials | 20,441.85 | 238.89 | 1.18% | Banks | 37,991.66 | 645.36 | 1.73% | Non-life Insurance | 30,553.86 | 763.85 | 2.56% | Life Insurance | 15,492.16 | 21.97 | 0.14% | General Financial | 2,164.36 | 46.84 | 2.21% | Technology | 20,405.49 | 189.03 | 0.94% | SHARIAH TOP40 | 3,109.23 | 48 | 1.58% | FTSE/JSE SHARIAH ALL | 3,162.16 | 48 | 1.54% | COAL MINING | 20,405.44 | 354 | 1.76% | FTSE JSE Fledgling | 4,480.77 | 14 | 0.31% | FTSE/JSE Alt X | 1,043.09 | 1 | 0.05% | SA LISTED PROPERTY | 353.72 | | 0.78% | CAPPED PROPERTY | 295.59 | | 0.74% | RESOURCE | 30,015.04 | 413 | 1.40% | DIVIDEND PLUS | 159.01 | 2 | 1.49% | FTSE/JSE RAFI 40 | 6,433.86 | 93 | 1.46% | Capped Top 40 | 14,334.35 | 220 | 1.56% | Capped All Share | 15,402.87 | 213 | 1.40% |
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Click here for the Sharenet Index Summary page
Latest Consensus Changes** Code | Company Name | Status | Updated | SOL | SASOL LIMITED | HOLD | 14 Mar | APN | ASPEN PHARMACARE HLDGS | SELL | 14 Mar | NED | NEDBANK GROUP LTD | HOLD | 11 Mar | PAP | PANGBOURNE PROPERTIES LIM... | HOLD | 11 Mar | SBK | STANDARD BANK GROUP LIMIT... | SELL | 11 Mar |
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Results Expected** Expected | Company Name | Fin. Date | 17 Mar 2011 | CIPLAMED | December 2010 (Final) | 17 Mar 2011 | EHSV | December 2010 (Final) | 17 Mar 2011 | LDREEF | December 2010 (Final) | 17 Mar 2011 | MASNITEA | December 2010 (Final) | 17 Mar 2011 | MASNITEB | December 2010 (Final) |
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Recent Dividends** Share Name | Dec-Date | LDT | Pay-Date | Amount | AMAPS | 11-03-04 | 11-03-25 | 11-04-01 | R 0.0400 | ASTRAPAKP | 11-03-04 | 11-03-25 | 11-04-04 | R 3.4269 | SPURCORP | 11-03-03 | 11-03-17 | 11-03-28 | R 0.3300 | STANBANK-P | 11-03-03 | 11-03-25 | 11-04-04 | R 3.3790 | STANBANK6.5 | 11-03-03 | 11-03-25 | 11-04-04 | R 0.0325 |
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Ex Div** Share Name | Dec-Date | LDT | Pay-Date | Amount | KUMBA | 11-02-10 | 11-03-11 | 11-03-22 | R 21.0000 | GRINDROD PREF | 11-02-24 | 11-03-11 | 11-03-22 | R 3.8600 | MASSMART | 11-02-24 | 11-03-11 | 11-03-22 | R 2.5200 | CAPEVIN | 11-02-24 | 11-03-11 | 11-03-22 | R 1.7250 | TRUWTHS | 11-02-21 | 11-03-11 | 11-03-22 | R 1.2800 |
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Upcoming AGMs** Code | Company Name | Date | Status |
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