Western Cape Water Update
3 September 2018 | SA Views | Dwaine van Vuuren
 


We have concluded August on the six major dams being 66% full - on the upper bound of the ranges we forecast in June.

image1

September is the last month of the Western Cape hydrological year with a 5-year average increase in water levels of 1.3% and a 5-year best-witnessed increase of 3.68%. This means we can expect to finish up the hydrological year this month in the 67.3% to 69.7% range, a far cry from the 37% we finished up with in 2017 and just shy of where we finished up in 2015.

It should be noted that more than 50% of the improvement over 2017 comes from aggressive water restrictions on city dwellers and agriculture, so we should not construe our situation to a return of normal rainfall patterns. In fact, rainfall, although 45% better than 2017, is well below normal from a long term historical perspective as the chart from the Department of Water Affairs shows:

image2

Here is the current status of the six major damns supplying the Western Cape

image3

DATA FLASH shows occasional topical datapoints about the markets, economy or life.

image1


Dwaine
Dwaine van Vuuren
Retail-side Research
RecessionAlert, Sharenet Analytics

Dwaine van Vuuren is a full-time trader, global investor and stock-market researcher. His passion for numbers and keen research & analytic ability has helped grow RecessionALERT.com (US based) and PowerStocks Research (now Sharenet Analytics) into companies used by hundreds of hedge funds, brokerage firms, financial advisers and private investors around the world. An enthusiastic educator, he will have you trading and investing with confidence & discipline.


Disclaimer:
The information contained in this article is for informational purposes only and must not be regarded as a prospectus for any security, financial product or transaction. It is neither to be construed as financial advice nor to be regarded as a definitive analysis of any financial issue. Investors should consider this research/article as only a single factor in making their investment decision. We recommend you consult a financial planner/advisor to take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation and individual needs. The views and opinions (where expressed) in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of Sharenet.

Share This Story

 
 
Market Statistics are calculated by Sharenet and are therefore not the official JSE Market Statistics. The calculation/derivation may include underlying JSE data.
© 2018 SHARENET (PTY) Ltd, Cape Town, South Africa