Bitcoin Price Analysis 11 October 2018

11 October 2018 | Ricki Allardice

Interpretation of charts: The charts below are detailed with monthly and weekly structural levels. These levels are the closing prices of either the monthly (blue line) or weekly (green line) candles. Furthermore, levels which are not areas where price action has formed a reversal are excluded. Thus, the structural levels defined on the chart are potential areas of both support and resistance. Monthly structure carries more weight than weekly. The weekly chart is characterised by broad areas of support (green) and resistance (red) which are defined as potential reversal zones.

Daily chart

This wasn’t a great chart to wake up too... Bitcoin price followed on from the losses of yesterday and made a 5% + price dump in the late hours of last night. Price is currently trading around $6200. This brings the series of higher lows, that have been forming over the past month, to an end. However, should we see current price levels hold, then the long-term trend of higher lows may still be maintained.

As mentioned yesterday, I was expecting some volatility soon, as price action was approaching the descending trendline.

Furthermore, this rapid decline coincides with a large sell-off in the American stock market yesterday. It could be that some traders are selling their Bitcoin to cover their liquidated positions in the stock market.

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4-hour chart

On the short-term chart, we can see the massive red candle that formed late last night. This has broken through several levels of support and would hopefully have triggered your stop losses. The key level to watch today is $6150. If price action manages to close above this level, then the bulls have managed to keep the bears in check. If the stock market rout continues it will be interesting to see what happens in the cryptocurrency markets.

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Long-term concerns:

The concerns that I have had for the past few months have now been met, should we not see a reversal occur at or above $6550, then we could be in for a deep bear market, possibly testing the $4900 level. As it stands currently, price is trading below the 50-week moving average. The next major bearish milestone would be the crossover of the EMA8 and EMA20 with the MA50 on the weekly chart. This has occurred at the end of June. Should the reversal that we are currently seeing on the 4 hour and daily charts not form new highs, then the bears may drive price to $4900.

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Ricki Allardice

Ricki specializes in the field of wealth management with a focus on holistic financial planning. He has a keen interest in the investment fields of property, technology, precious metals and cryptocurrencies. Ricki also holds a Masters degree in Science from the University of Stellenbosch.

Important Risk Notice:

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