Trading Statement and Accounting Effects Arising on Consolidation of Liberty Two Degrees into Liberty Holdings Liberty Holdings Limited Registration number 1968/002095/06 Incorporated in the Republic of South Africa Share code: LBH ISIN code: ZAE0000127148 ("Liberty Holdings" or "the Company") TRADING STATEMENT FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2016 AND ACCOUNTING EFFECTS ARISING ON CONSOLIDATION OF LIBERTY TWO DEGREES INTO THE LIBERTY HOLDINGS ANNUAL FINANCIAL STATEMENTS TRADING STATEMENT FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2016 Shareholders are advised that Liberty Holdings is currently in the process of compiling its results for the year ended 31 December 2016. This trading statement provides an early indication of a range of basic, headline, and normalised headline earnings per ordinary share pending finalisation of the actuarial analysis of surplus and other year-end processes. Liberty Holdings’ final results will be released on the Stock Exchange News Service of the JSE Limited on 24 February 2017. In accordance with section 3.4(b) of the JSE Listings Requirements, shareholders are advised that basic earnings per ordinary share and headline earnings per ordinary share are expected to be 40% to 60% (basic earnings per ordinary share to be between 597,4 cents and 896,1 cents and headline earnings per ordinary share to be between 611,3 cents and 916,9 cents per ordinary share) lower than the year ended 31 December 2015 (“the comparative period”). Shareholders are further advised that normalised headline earnings per share are expected to be 35% to 55% (between 659,0 cents and 951,9 cents per ordinary share) lower than the comparative period BEE normalised headline earnings per ordinary share. The main contributors to the reduction in earnings relative to the comparative period are as follows: - Lower returns on the shareholders’ investment portfolio in the second half of the year due to poor portfolio returns, rand strength and the write-down of infrastructure investments held in the alternatives portfolio; - Net negative actuarial assumption changes in the Individual Arrangements business relating mainly to worsening persistency. This follows the negative trends observed in the first half of the year continuing in the second half due to ongoing difficult economic conditions and increased pressure on consumers; - Abnormally higher risk claims in the South African Individual Arrangements and Liberty Corporate businesses, contributing to reduced risk profits in the second half; - Reduced earnings from STANLIB relating mainly to once off operational write-offs in both the South African and East African asset management businesses and the costs incurred on the implementation of the outsourcing of the local retail administration function; and - Negative accounting effects arising on consolidation of the recently listed Liberty Two Degrees REIT (please see “Accounting effects arising on consolidation of Liberty Two Degrees in Liberty Holdings annual financial statements” set out below). Management has taken action to address persistency and the operational issues in the group. The customer facing units continue to write good business and attract client flows. The group remains profitable and well capitalised within its target range. ACCOUNTING EFFECTS ARISING ON CONSOLIDATION OF LIBERTY TWO DEGREES IN THE LIBERTY HOLDINGS ANNUAL FINANCIAL STATEMENTS Liberty Group Limited (LGL), a 100% subsidiary of Liberty Holdings holds, on behalf of policyholders and shareholders, investments in properties in a ring-fenced on balance sheet asset portfolio, Liberty Property Portfolio (LPP). These include direct investments in property and an undivided share in the Melrose Arch precinct in Johannesburg, owned by Liberty PropCo Proprietary Limited (PropCo). Liberty Two Degrees (L2D) was constituted as a REIT and listed on the JSE on 6 December 2016. As part of this transaction, LGL sold minority undivided shares in each individual property in LPP and PropCo to L2D, in exchange for units in the listed REIT. On application of IFRS 10 (Consolidated Financial Statements), L2D will be consolidated in the Liberty Holdings group annual financial statements. Shareholders are advised that an accounting mismatch will arise on consolidation of L2D as a result of the different measurement bases required to be applied in the Liberty Holdings group annual financial statements for L2D assets and for corresponding LGL policyholder liabilities. Specifically: - the investment property assets of L2D are to be included in the Liberty Holdings group annual financial statements at open market value; whereas - the corresponding obligations to LGL’s policyholders in respect of the REIT units are required under IFRS to continue to be measured in the Liberty Holdings group annual financial statements at the listed price of the L2D units. The result of this accounting mismatch is that any increase in the premium at which L2D’s listed units trade relative to the underlying net asset value (based on the underlying open market value of the properties) of L2D, will result in a reported loss in the Liberty Holdings group annual financial statements. Conversely, any decrease in the premium (or change from a premium to a discount) will result in a reported profit in the Liberty Holdings group annual financial statements. Liberty Holdings headline earnings will be normalised to reflect the economic substance of the transaction detailed above as opposed to the technical IFRS accounting treatment. Accordingly, Liberty Holdings’ previously reported “BEE normalised headline earnings per ordinary share” is to be replaced by “normalised headline earnings per ordinary share”, which will be Liberty Holdings headline earnings adjusted for: - the reversal of the accounting mismatch arising on consolidation of the listed REIT, net of tax; plus - the accrued dividends on the BEE preference shares (not recognised as a financial asset) which is consistent with prior period reporting; divided by the weighted average number of ordinary shares assuming the BEE allocated shares are in issue, which is also consistent with prior period reporting. The financial information on which this trading statement and addional information has been based has not been audited or reviewed by the company's auditors. Queries: Investor Relations Sharon Steyn 011 408 3063 www.libertyholdings.co.za 27 January 2017 Sponsor: Merrill Lynch South Africa (Pty) Limited Date: 27/01/2017 10:30:00 Produced by the JSE SENS Department. The SENS service is an information dissemination service administered by the JSE Limited ('JSE'). The JSE does not, whether expressly, tacitly or implicitly, represent, warrant or in any way guarantee the truth, accuracy or completeness of the information published on SENS. The JSE, their officers, employees and agents accept no liability for (or in respect of) any direct, indirect, incidental or consequential loss or damage of any kind or nature, howsoever arising, from the use of SENS or the use of, or reliance on, information disseminated through SENS.