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OLD MUTUAL PLC - Nedbank Group Update On Nedbank Groups Performance to 31 March 2016 and Pillar 3 Basel III Disclosure

Release Date: 05/05/2016 08:01
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Nedbank Group – Update On Nedbank Group’s Performance to 31 March 2016 and Pillar 3 Basel III Disclosure

       OLD MUTUAL PLC
       ISIN CODE: GB00B77J0862
       JSE SHARE CODE: OML
       NSX SHARE CODE: OLM
       ISSUER CODE: OLOML
       Old Mutual plc

       Ref 305/16
       05 May 2016

       NEDBANK GROUP – UPDATE ON NEDBANK GROUP’S PERFORMANCE FOR THE THREE
       MONTHS TO 31 MARCH 2016 AND PILLAR 3 BASEL III CAPITAL ADEQUACY,
       LEVERAGE AND LIQUIDITY RATIOS AS AT 31 MARCH 2016

       Nedbank Group Limited (“Nedbank Group”), the majority-owned South African
       banking subsidiary of Old Mutual plc, released its first quarter trading
       update today, 05 May 2016.

       The following is the full text of Nedbank Group's announcement:

       “UPDATE ON THE GROUP’S PERFORMANCE FOR THE THREE MONTHS TO 31 MARCH 2016

       Shareholders of Nedbank Group are referred to the announcement made by Old
       Mutual plc (OM) in their 2015 Preliminary Results release on 11 March 2016
       that they will cease quarterly reporting to shareholders. Historically
       Nedbank has released quarterly trading updates to enable OM to report
       quarterly. Following OM’s decision to cease quarterly reporting, Nedbank
       Group will no longer report quarterly. In future a high level update on
       performance for the first quarter will be provided at our Annual General
       Meeting and a third quarter trading update will no longer be released.

       At the Nedbank Group AGM on 5 May, CEO, Mike Brown commented as follows on
       the high level performance in the first quarter of 2016:

       “Nedbank Group’s own operations in South Africa and in the Southern Africa
       Development Community produced a solid performance in line with
       management’s expectations for the first three months of the year (“the
       period”).

       Net interest income for the period grew at low double digit levels,
       supported by continued growth in average interest-earning banking assets.
       The net interest margin (NIM) for the period widened slightly from the full
       year 2015 level of 3,30%. The NIM benefitted from endowment income
       following interest rate increases during the period and this more than
       offset the negative effects of ongoing asset mix changes and higher funding
       costs related to Basel III requirements. The re-pricing of the cost of
       funding lagged the increases in the prime interest rate in the period,
       benefitting the NIM, but this benefit is expected to dissipate by the end
       of the 2016 year.

       The credit loss ratio (CLR) increased as expected from the full year 2015
       level, but remained within our through-the-cycle target range of 60 – 100
       basis points. The increase in the CLR was driven by normal seasonality
       effects in Retail and higher specific impairments in CIB largely due to the
       impact on clients of the weak commodity cycle. Additional portfolio
       impairments were raised in both RBB and CIB. The central portfolio
       provision was increased to R500m in the second half of 2015 to take into
       account risks, particularly in commodities and in the Rest of Africa that
       had been incurred in 2015 but were only expected to emerge in 2016. It is
       expected that a portion of the central portfolio provision will therefore
       partially offset any increases in the 2016 CLR.

       Non-interest revenue in the period grew at mid-single digit levels,
       underpinned by solid growth in commission and fees as total client numbers
       and main banked client numbers continued to increase, as well as a good
       performance from our insurance business. Trading income benefitted from
       increased market volatility and improved cross-sell in CIB.

       Expenses for the period grew in line with management expectations and
       continued to be well-managed.

       In Central and West Africa, associate income from our approximately 20%
       share in Ecobank Transnational Incorporated (ETI) is equity-accounted one
       quarter in arrears, using ETI’s publicly disclosed results. ETI announced
       its results for the full year 2015 on 13 April 2016, which reflected a full
       year attributable profit of USD66m, implying a loss of USD199m for the
       fourth-quarter in 2015. This was the first set of ETI annual results
       following the strategic review undertaken by the new CEO and the fourth-
       quarter loss was largely due to increased impairments on exposures related
       to the slowdown in economic growth across Africa, as a result of lower
       commodity prices. As a result, Nedbank Group's first quarter 2016 results
       include a loss in associate income of R676m (Q1 2015: R148m profit) from
       accounting for our approximately 20% share of ETI’s fourth-quarter 2015
       loss.

       On 14 April 2016 ETI reported its first-quarter results for 2016 which
       reflected an attributable profit of USD71m. Nedbank Group’s share of this
       amounts to a profit of R240m (subject to exchange rate movements) which
       will be accounted for in our second-quarter 2016 results (Q2 2015: R278m
       profit).

       Nedbank Group continues to work collaboratively with OM and Old Mutual
       Emerging Markets on the programme of ‘Managed Separation’, as announced by
       OM on 11 March 2016. OM will provide a more detailed update later in 2016
       on the Managed Separation.

       Our forecast for the full year 2016 as communicated in the 2015 Annual
       Results announcement, that growth in diluted headline earnings per share
       for 2016 will be lower than the growth achieved in 2015 of 8,5% and below
       our medium-to-long-term target of consumer price index + GDP growth + 5%,
       currently remains unchanged.”

       PILLAR 3 BASEL III CAPITAL ADEQUACY, LEVERAGE AND LIQUIDITY RATIOS AS AT 31
       MARCH 2016

       BASEL III CAPITAL ADEQUACY
       In terms of the requirements under Regulation 43(1)(e)(iii) of the
       regulations relating to banks and Directive 4/2014 issued in terms of
       section 6(6) of the Banks Act (Act No. 94 of 1990), minimum disclosure on
       the capital adequacy of the group and its leverage ratio is required on a
       quarterly basis. This disclosure is in accordance with Pillar 3 of the
       Basel III accord. The group remains well capitalised with a common equity
       tier 1 ratio of 11,4%, well within our target range of 10,5% to 12,5%.

       As a result of the operation of the threshold deduction formula under Basel
       III, the group’s share of ETI’s fourth–quarter losses has no impact on
       regulatory capital ratios.

       The following table sets out the regulatory capital as at 31 March 2016:

                                                   Nedbank Group               Nedbank Limited
        Including unappropriated
        profits                                    Rm                  %        Rm                 %
        Tier 1 Capital                             60 959          12,0%        48 356         11,3%

        Common Equity Tier 1 Capital               57 853          11,4%          45 168       10,5%
        Share capital and premium                  18 473                         18 571
        Reserves                                   57 345                         37 693
        Minority interest:
        Ordinary shareholders                         334                              0
        Goodwill                                  (5 232)                        (1 410)
        Excess of expected loss over
        eligible provisions                       (2 233)                        (2 225)
        
        Defined benefit pension fund
        assets                                    (1 688)                        (1 688)
        
        Capitalised software and
        development costs                         (4 196)                        (3 992)
        
        Investments in the common
        stock of financial entities               (4 645)                                 0
        (amount above 10% threshold)

        Other regulatory differences
        and non- qualifying reserves                (305)                      (1 781)
        

        Additional Tier 1 Capital                   3 106           0,6%            3 188       0,8%
        Preference share capital and
        premium                                     3 561                           3 561
        
        Grandfathering and other
        regulatory adjustments                      (455)                           (373)
        
        Tier 2 Capital                             10 741           2,1%          10 831        2,5%
        Long-term liabilities                      10 825                         10 825
        General allowance for credit
                                                      111                               6
        impairment
        Grandfathering and other
                                                    (195)                               0
        adjustments

        Total Capital                              71 700          14,1%          59 187       13,8%

        Excluding unappropriated
        profits
          Tier 1 Capital                           55 277          10,8%          44 781       10,5%
          Common Equity Tier 1 Capital             52 171          10,2%          41 593        9,7%
          Total Capital                            66 018          13,0%          55 612       13,0%

                                              Nedbank Group                    Nedbank Limited
        Minimum required capital
        and reserve funds per risk     Pillar       Pillar               Pillar      Pillar
        type                              1           2a      Total         1          2a      Total

        Minimum ratios                   8,0%      1,75%      9,75%       8,0%      1,75%      9,75%

        Credit Risk                    31 512      6 893     38 405     27 249      5 961     33 210
        Equity Risk                     1 082        237      1 319        810        177        987
        Market Risk                     1 068        234      1 302        919        201      1 120
        Operational risk                4 665      1 020      5 685      3 993        873      4 866
        Other                           2 446        535      2 981      1 307        286      1 593

        Total Minimum required
        capital and reserve funds      40 773      8 919     49 692     34 278      7 498     41 776
        
       Notes:
       1. Minimum required capital and reserve funds have been reported at 9,75%,
          in terms of Directive 05/2011 issued in terms of section 6(4) of the
          Banks Act, 1990.
       2. Regulation requires details of any risk exposure or other item that is
          subject to rapid or material change. These are detailed in the trading
          update released on 5 May 2016.

       LEVERAGE RATIO
       The leverage ratio is a supplementary measure to risk-based capital
       requirements. Nedbank Group’s and Nedbank Limited’s leverage ratios are
       well above minimum regulatory requirements.

                                                            Nedbank       Nedbank
        Leverage ratio                                       Group        Limited
        Tier 1 Capital (including unappropriated
        profit) (Rm)                                         60 959        48 356

        Tier 1 Capital (excluding unappropriated
        profit) (Rm)                                         55 277        44 781

        Total exposures (Rm)                                988 224       879 798

        Leverage ratio (including unappropriated
        profit) (%)                                            6,2%          5,5%
                                                                   
        Leverage ratio (excluding unappropriated
        profit) (%)                                            5,6%         5,1%
        
        Minimum required leverage ratio                        4,0%         4,0%


       LIQUIDITY COVERAGE RATIO (LCR)
       In accordance with the provisions of section 6(6) of the Banks Act, 1990
       (Act No. 94 of 1990), banks are directed, to comply with the relevant LCR
       disclosure requirements, as set out in Directive 6/2014 and Directive
       11/2014.

       The LCR aims to ensure that a bank holds an adequate stock of unencumbered
       high quality liquid assets (HQLA) to cover total Net Cash Outflows over a
       30-day period under a prescribed stress scenario. Based on the final
       revisions announced by the Basel Committee in January 2013, the LCR is
       being phased-in starting at 60% on 1 January 2015 and increasing by 10%
       each year to 100% on 1 January 2019.

       The LCR for Nedbank Group and Nedbank Limited are well above minimum
       regulatory requirements. These are set out in the following table:

                                                Nedbank Group1      Nedbank Limited

        High Quality Liquid Assets (Rm)2               124 436              120 383


        Net Cash Outflows (Rm)2                        147 211              138 930

        Liquidity Coverage Ratio (%)2                    84,5%                86,6%

        Minimum requirement (%)2                           70%                  70%

       Notes:
       1. Only banking and/ or deposit-taking entities are included and the group data represents an
           aggregation of the relevant individual net cash outflows and the individual HQLA
           portfolios, where surplus HQLA holdings in excess of the minimum requirement of 70% have
           been excluded from the aggregated HQLA number in the case of all non-SA banking entities.
       2. The above figures reflect the simple average of the month-end values at 31 January 2016,
           29 February 2016 and 31 March 2016, based on the regulatory submissions to SARB.

       Shareholders are advised that the performance update for the period and
       Pillar 3 reporting have not been reviewed or reported on by the group’s
       auditors.”

       Enquiries

       External communications
       Patrick Bowes                        UK     +44 20 7002 7440

       Investor relations
       Dominic Lagan                        UK     +44 20 7002 7190
       Sizwe Ndlovu                         SA     +27 11 217 1163

       Media
       William Baldwin-Charles                     +44 20 7002 7133
                                                   +44 7834 524833
       Sponsor
       Merrill Lynch South Africa (Pty) Limited

       Notes to Editors
       Old Mutual provides investment, savings, insurance and banking services to
       18.9 million customers in Africa, the Americas, Asia and Europe.
       Originating in South Africa in 1845, Old Mutual has been listed on the
       London and Johannesburg Stock Exchanges, among others, since 1999.

       In the year ended 31 December 2015, the Group reported adjusted operating
       profit before tax of £1.7 billion and had £304 billion of funds under
       management from core operations (excluding Rogge).

       For further information on Old Mutual plc, please visit the corporate
       website at www.oldmutual.com



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