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SOUTH32 LIMITED - Quarterly Report December 2022

Release Date: 23/01/2023 08:00
Code(s): S32     PDF:  
Wrap Text
Quarterly Report December 2022

South32 Limited
(Incorporated in Australia under the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth))
(ACN 093 732 597)
ASX / LSE / JSE Share Code: S32; ADR: SOUHY
ISIN: AU000000S320
south32.net

QUARTERLY REPORT
December 2022

•      Group copper equivalent production[1] increased by 12% in H1 FY23, as our recent investments in copper
       and low-carbon aluminium capacity[2] delivered strong growth

•      H1 FY23 Operating unit costs expected to be in-line or below FY23 guidance at the majority of our operations

•      We are well positioned to capture the benefit of improved market conditions, with further expected production growth in H2 FY23
       and our ongoing focus on cost management to mitigate inflationary pressures

•      Worsley Alumina and Brazil Alumina operated above nameplate capacity in the December 2022 quarter, delivering an 8% increase in
       quarterly alumina volumes

•      Aluminium production increased by 15% in the December 2022 half year, with a 50% uplift in low-carbon aluminium, following our
       acquisition of an additional shareholding in Mozal Aluminium and restart of the Brazil Aluminium smelter

•      Sierra Gorda realised sequentially higher copper grades, delivering 45kt of payable copper equivalent production[3]
       in the December 2022 half year

•      Cerro Matoso commissioned the Ore Sorting and Mechanical Ore Concentration project in the December 2022 quarter, underpinning a
       15 year extension to the mining contract, and supporting higher expected nickel production in H2 FY23

•      Australia Manganese achieved record half year production, supporting a 7% increase in total manganese production

•      Illawarra Metallurgical Coal delivered a 17% increase in quarterly metallurgical coal production, with improved volumes and labour productivity as we finalised a new industrial agreement at Appin

•      FY23 production guidance at Cannington revised lower by 11% due to lower mill throughput and labour availability impacting mining
       rates, and at Brazil Aluminium by 25kt (or 25%) due to a slower ramp-up to nameplate capacity

•      Work completed on Hermosa’s Clark selection phase pre-feasibility study confirmed the opportunity to produce high-purity manganese
       sulphate monohydrate for the growing North American electric vehicle supply chain


South32 Chief Executive Officer, Graham Kerr: “In November 2022, we were devastated by the loss of two of our colleagues who were
fatally injured in an incident at Mozal Aluminium. Our thoughts and deepest sympathies remain with their families, and we provided them
with our support following the incident. We are committed to improving our safety performance. Through our Safety Improvement
Program, we are undertaking a significant amount of work to achieve the necessary step-change.

“Group copper equivalent production increased by 12 per cent in the December half year, as we benefitted from transactions that have
repositioned our portfolio toward metals critical for a low-carbon future. Australia Manganese also achieved record half year production,
while Cerro Matoso successfully commissioned the Ore Sorting and Mechanical Ore Concentration project, underpinning a 15 year extension
to the mining contract.

“Despite industry wide inflationary pressures, we expect Operating unit costs for the first half to be in-line with or below guidance for the
2023 financial year at the majority of our operations. We remain focused on delivering safe and stable operational performance, and
efficiencies to mitigate cost pressures and capture higher margins as markets improve.

“We returned US$927 million to shareholders during the period, paying record fully-franked dividends in respect of the
June 2022 half year and continuing our on-market share buy-back. We have returned US$2.2 billion under our capital management
program since inception, with US$108 million remaining to be returned to shareholders ahead of its extension or expiry in September 2023.

“Looking forward, our capital management framework and disciplined approach to capital allocation is designed to reward shareholders as
we grow our production and realise the benefits of improving market conditions.
At the same time, we continue to reshape our portfolio toward metals critical for a low-carbon future, advancing construction work, studies
and exploration at our high-quality development options.”

    Production summary
    South32 share                                                        1H22               1H23                HoH                   2Q22              1Q23               2Q23                QoQ
    Alumina production (kt)                                              2,610             2,613                 0%                  1,332             1,257              1,356                 8%
    Aluminium production (kt)                                              494               568                15%                    246               279                289                 4%
    Payable copper production (kt)                                           –              37.9                N/A                      –              19.0               18.9                (1%)
    Payable silver production (koz)                                          -
                                                                         6,710             5,812               (13%)                     -
                                                                                                                                     3,217              2,748             3,064                11%
    Payable lead production (kt)                                          60.2              52.4               (13%)                  28.3               24.6              27.8                13%
    Payable zinc production (kt)                                          32.7              30.4                (7%)                  17.3               14.0              16.4                17%
    Payable nickel production (kt)                                        20.3              20.4                 0%                   10.7                9.6              10.8                13%
    Metallurgical coal production (kt)                                   2,767             2,753                (1%)                 1,192              1,270             1,483                17%
    Manganese ore production (kwmt)                                      2,757             2,937                 7%                  1,252              1,460             1,477                 1%
    Unless otherwise noted: percentage variance relates to performance during the half year ended December 2022 compared with the half year ended December 2021 (HoH), or the December 2022 quarter
    compared with the September 2022 quarter (QoQ); production and sales volumes are reported on an attributable basis.

CORPORATE UPDATE
•    On 7 November 2022, two of our colleagues, Mr Cristovão Alberto Tonela and Mr Alfredo Francisco Domingos João, were fatally
     injured in an incident at Mozal Aluminium. Our deepest sympathies are with the families and colleagues of the deceased to whom we
     have provided our support and counselling. The incident occurred during maintenance work on a raising girder. Production operations
     were temporarily suspended while an investigation was completed. Key learnings from the incident are being shared across our
     organisation and with industry.
     As an immediate step, additional controls were put in place for all raising girders at Mozal Aluminium and Hillside Aluminium.

•    A non-binding advisory resolution in relation to our Climate Change Action Plan (CCAP) was passed by shareholders at our Annual
     General Meeting on 27 October 2022, with 89.6% of the votes received in favour of the resolution.
     Our CCAP included a new goal[4] of net zero Scope 3 greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 and a commitment not to develop or invest in
     greenfield metallurgical coal projects.

•    Consistent with our focus on securing low-carbon energy, Sierra Gorda’s electricity supply will transition to cost efficient, fully
     renewable sources from January 2023 under an agreement to December 2039. Electricity supplied to the operation will be from solar,
     wind and hydroelectric power sources, sustainably reducing Sierra Gorda’s greenhouse gas emissions and energy costs.

•    During the December 2022 quarter, we satisfied the conditions to extend the mining contract at Cerro Matoso
     by 15 years from 2029 to 2044. As part of this extension, we received third-party certification of the expanded processing capacity[5]
     delivered by the Ore Sorting and Mechanical Ore Concentration (OSMOC) project and paid US$43M to the National Mining Agency in
     the December 2022 quarter.

•    We made a final investment decision to install additional ventilation capacity at Illawarra Metallurgical Coal’s
     Appin mine to enable mining in the current Area 7 until at least 2039[6]. This ~US$260M investment is expected to be completed by
     H1 FY26, with our guidance for FY23 and FY24 safe and reliable capital expenditure already reflecting this activity.

•    We expect to record a build in working capital of approximately US$100M in the December 2022 half year, primarily related to an
     increase in inventories. This impact is most acute in our aluminium value chain in Southern Africa due to ongoing shipping delays.

•    During the December 2022 quarter, we returned a record US$784M in fully-franked ordinary and special dividends in respect of the
     June 2022 half year.

•    We also returned US$143M via our on-market share buy-back during the December 2022 half year, purchasing a further 56M shares
     at an average price of A$3.86. To 31 December 2022, our US$2.3B capital management program was 95% complete with US$108M
     remaining to be returned ahead of its extension or expiry on 1 September 2023[7].

•    We received net distributions[8] of US$60M (South32 share) from our manganese equity accounted investments (EAI) in the
     December 2022 half year, following the payment of income tax (US$94M, 100% basis), and royalties at
     Australia Manganese (US$82M, 100% basis). We did not receive a distribution from our Sierra Gorda EAI in the December 2022 half
     year.

•    We made tax payments of US$347M in the December 2022 half year, which included US$111M in relation to our acquisition of Sierra
     Gorda. Of this amount, ~€92M (~US$94M at the payment date) relates to pre-closing tax liabilities which we intend to seek to recover
     from the vendors.

•    Our Group Underlying effective tax rate (ETR) for the December 2022 half year is expected to be approximately 35%, reflecting the
     corporate tax rates of the jurisdictions in which we operate[9] and our geographical earnings mix, including our manganese and Sierra
     Gorda EAIs which are proportionally consolidated in our Underlying results. Separately, the Underlying ETR of our manganese business
     is expected to be in a range of approximately 55 to 60%, including the royalty related tax for Australia Manganese[10] and the
     derecognition of certain deferred tax assets.

•    We extended our undrawn sustainability-linked revolving credit facility during the December 2022 quarter,
     retaining available capacity of US$1.4B to December 2026 and US$1.2B to December 2027.

•    Reflecting our strong balance sheet and continued disciplined approach to capital allocation, our current BBB+/Baa1 credit ratings
     were re-affirmed by S&P Global Ratings and Moody’s, respectively.



                                                                                     
DEVELOPMENT AND EXPLORATION UPDATE
Hermosa project
•    We invested US$96M at Hermosa in the December 2022 half year as we continued critical path dewatering activity and study work for
     the Taylor zinc-lead-silver deposit and the Clark battery-grade manganese-zinc-silver deposit.

•    We completed drilling of the first two dewatering wells during the December 2022 half year, with a total of six dewatering wells expected
     to be completed during FY23. The second water treatment plant remains on-track to be commissioned in the June 2023 quarter.

•    We progressed the Taylor feasibility study which remains on-track to support a planned final investment decision in mid CY23.

•    We completed work on the selection phase of the Clark pre-feasibility study during the December 2022 quarter. While this study remains
     subject to independent review, work to date has confirmed the opportunity to produce high-purity manganese sulphate monohydrate
     for the growing North American electric vehicle supply chain.

•    In parallel, we progressed metallurgical test work and continued our drilling program at Clark to collect bulk samples that will support
     initial pilot plant production from mid CY23.

•    We directed US$6M to capitalised exploration in the December 2022 half year, as we continued our planned exploration programs
     including at the copper-lead-zinc-silver Peake prospect[11]. We expect to commence exploration drilling at the Flux prospect[12] during
     CY23, following the receipt of approvals.

Ambler Metals project
•    At our Ambler Metals joint venture, the CY22 summer exploration program was completed and the joint venture progressed work on
     the pre-feasibility study for the Arctic deposit. Our share of capitalised exploration was US$8M in the December 2022 half year.

•    Activity in CY23 is expected to focus on consolidating our geological knowledge and advancing engineering studies, while we monitor
     progress on approvals for the Ambler Access Project.

Greenfield exploration
•    We invested US$19M during the December 2022 half year in our greenfield exploration opportunities, with multiple programs
     targeting base metals underway in Australia, USA, Canada, Argentina, Peru and Ireland.

Other exploration
•    We invested US$30M (US$20M capitalised) in exploration programs at our existing operations and development options in the
     December 2022 half year, including US$6M at the Hermosa project (noted above, all capitalised), US$8M at Ambler Metals (noted
     above, all capitalised), US$2M for our manganese EAI (US$1M capitalised) and US$3M for our Sierra Gorda EAI (US$1M capitalised).



                                                                                       
PRODUCTION SUMMARY
     Production guidance
                                                                                    FY22                1H23              FY23e[a]       Guidance comments
     (South32 share)
     Worsley Alumina
     Alumina production (kt)                                                       3,991               1,922                4,000
     Brazil Alumina (non-operated)
     Alumina production (kt)                                                       1,297                 691                1,395
     Brazil Aluminium (non-operated)
                                                                                                                                         Guidance reduced by 25kt (from
                                                                                                                                         100kt) due to a slower than
     Aluminium production (kt)                                                       0.3                23.7              lower 75        expected ramp-up to nameplate
                                                                                                                                         capacity
                                                                                                                                         
     Hillside Aluminium[13]
     Aluminium production (kt)                                                       714                 362                   720
     Mozal Aluminium[13,14]
     Aluminium production (kt)                                                       278                 182                   370
     Sierra Gorda (non-operated)
     Payable copper equivalent production[3] (kt)                                   30.6                44.9                  89.0
     Payable copper production (kt)                                                 25.3                37.9                  71.8
     Payable molybdenum production (kt)                                              0.4                 0.4                   1.5
     Payable gold production (koz)                                                   9.6                15.3                  29.9
     Payable silver production (koz)                                                 253                 338                   582
     Cannington
     Payable zinc equivalent production[15] (kt)                                   224.2                98.8           lower 209.4      Guidance reduced by 11% (from
                                                                                                                                        236.1kt payable zinc equivalent)
     Payable silver production (koz)                                              12,946                5,474         lower 12,000      with lower
     Payable lead production (kt)                                                  120.6                 52.4          lower 108.5      H1 FY23 mill throughput and
                                                                                                                                        labour availability impacting
     Payable zinc production (kt)                                                    64.5                30.4           lower 63.5      mining rates
     Cerro Matoso 
                                                                                                                                        OSMOC project expected to
     Payable nickel production (kt)                                                  41.7                20.4                 43.5      support higher volumes in
                                                                                                                                        H2 FY23
     Illawarra Metallurgical Coal
     Total coal production (kt)                                                    6,509                3,331                7,000      Improved labour productivity
     Metallurgical coal production (kt)                                            5,712                2,753                6,000      expected in H2 FY23
     Energy coal production (kt)                                                     797                  578                1,000      
     Australia Manganese
                                                                                                                                         Production tracking ahead of
     Manganese ore production (kwmt)                                               3,363                1,844                3,400       guidance, prior to the wet season
                                                                                                                                         
     South Africa Manganese
                                                                                                                                         Subject to demand and our
     Manganese ore production (kwmt)                                               2,069                1,093                 2,000      continued use of higher cost
                                                                                                                                         trucking
a.      The denotation (e) refers to an estimate or forecast year. All guidance is subject to further potential impacts from COVID-19.



                                                                                                                         
MARKETING UPDATE
Commodity prices were broadly lower in the December 2022 half year as we saw a moderation in demand and sentiment following record
conditions for many markets in the prior period.

The average realised prices achieved for our commodities are summarised below. Outstanding concentrate sales were revalued at 31
December 2022 with the final price of these to be determined in the June 2023 half year.
                                                                                                                                               1H23                  1H23
     Realised prices[16]                                                      1H22                  2H22                 1H23                    vs                    vs
                                                                                                                                               1H22                  2H22
     Worsley Alumina
     Alumina (US$/t)                                                           389                   428                  354                  (9%)                 (17%)
     Brazil Alumina (non-operated)[a]
     Alumina (US$/t)                                                           387                   419                  364                  (6%)                 (13%)
     Brazil Aluminium (non-operated)[a]
     Aluminium (US$/t)                                                           –                     –                2,423                   N/A                   N/A
     Hillside Aluminium
     Aluminium (US$/t)                                                       2,952                 3,347                2,555                 (13%)                 (24%)
     Mozal Aluminium
     Aluminium (US$/t)                                                       3,041                 3,591                2,723                 (10%)                 (24%)
     Sierra Gorda (non-operated)[17][a][b]
     Payable copper (US$/lb)                                                     –                  3.50                 3.41                   N/A                  (3%)
     Payable molybdenum (US$/lb)                                                 –                 18.48                20.78                   N/A                  12%
     Payable gold (US$/oz)                                                       –                 1,934                1,688                   N/A                 (13%)
     Payable silver (US$/oz)                                                     –                  23.5                 17.4                   N/A                 (26%)
     Cannington[18]
     Payable silver (US$/oz)                                                  21.0                  21.0                 20.1                  (4%)                  (4%)
     Payable lead (US$/t)                                                    2,180                 1,902                2,008                  (8%)                   6%
     Payable zinc (US$/t)                                                    2,988                 3,473                2,436                 (18%)                 (30%)
     Cerro Matoso[19]
     Payable nickel (US$/lb)                                                  8.39                 11.64                 9.05                    8%                 (22%)
     Illawarra Metallurgical Coal
     Metallurgical coal (US$/t)                                                303                   457                  268                 (12%)                 (41%)
     Energy coal (US$/t)                                                       108                   200                  164                   52%                 (18%)
     Australia Manganese[20]
     Manganese ore (US$/dmtu, FOB)                                            4.59                  6.05                  4.57                    0%                 (24%)
     South Africa Manganese[20]
     Manganese ore (US$/dmtu, FOB)                                            3.47                  4.39                  3.57                    3%                 (19%)

a.      While Brazil Alumina and Brazil Aluminium are non-operated, South32 owns the marketing rights for our share of production. While Sierra Gorda is also non-operated, the
        Joint Venture is responsible for marketing our share of production.
b.      Published 2H22 realised sales prices and Operating unit costs reflect the period 1 March 2022 to 30 June 2022. Whereas production and sales numbers, and all Income
        Statement items reflect the period from first ownership (22 February 2022).



                                                                                                                     
OPERATING UNIT COST UPDATE
We expect to report H1 FY23 Operating unit costs in-line or below current FY23 guidance at the majority of our operations, with a
combination of cost efficiencies and weaker producer currencies partially offsetting industry-wide cost inflation. Looking forward, we
remain focused on delivering safe and stable operational performance and further efficiencies to mitigate cost pressures. Further,
Operating unit costs in H2 FY23 are expected to benefit from higher production volumes as we realise the benefit of prior investments,
embedded improvement projects and maintenance completed in H1 FY23.

The below commentary reflects our current expectations for H1 FY23 Operating unit costs. We will report H1 FY23 Operating unit costs and
provide updated FY23 guidance with our financial results announcement for the December 2022 half year.

 Operating unit cost(a)
                                                                        Guidance
                                                                                         H1 FY23 Operating unit costs commentary
                                                                        FY23e[b][c]
 Worsley Alumina
                                                                                         Expected to be ~2.5% below current FY23 guidance, with a weaker Australian
 (US$/t)                                                                        296      dollar and lower caustic soda costs to more than offset higher energy prices

 Brazil Alumina (non-operated)
                                                                                         
                                                                                 Not     Expected to be ~17.5% above H2 FY22 Operating unit costs (US$312/t), as raw
                                                                            Provided     material input and energy prices remain elevated, and we incurred higher
                                                                                         contractor costs
                                                                                         

 Brazil Aluminium (non-operated)
                                                                                  Not    Gross operating costs of ~US$120M expected as we invest to support the
                                                                             Provided    smelter’s ramp-up to nameplate capacity
 Hillside Aluminium
                                                                                         The cost profile of our Southern African aluminium smelters is heavily influenced
                                                                                         by the South African rand, and the price of raw materials and energy.
                                                                                         
                                                                                         We expect to report a modest reduction in Operating unit costs in
                                                                                  Not    H1 FY23 relative to H2 FY22, with the benefit of a weaker South African rand,
 Mozal Aluminium                                                             Provided    while smelter raw material prices (pitch, coke and aluminium
                                                                                         tri-fluoride) remained elevated.

                                                                                         H1 FY23 Operating unit costs for Hillside Aluminium are expected to be ~2.5%
                                                                                         lower (H2 FY22: US$2,318/t) and at Mozal Aluminium ~7.5% lower (H2 FY22:
                                                                                         $2,429/t).

 Sierra Gorda (non-operated)
                                                                                         Expect to be ~12.5% above current FY23 guidance, with higher coal price-linked
 (US$/t)[d]                                                                       14.8
                                                                                         energy costs and lower ore processed

 Cannington
                                                                                         Expect to be ~5% above current FY23 guidance, with a weaker Australian dollar
 (US$/t)[d]                                                                        129
                                                                                         and lower price-linked royalties, to be more than offset by lower ore processed

 Cerro Matoso
                                                                                         Expected to be in-line with current FY23 guidance, with a weaker Colombian
 (US$/lb)                                                                         4.97
                                                                                         peso and lower price-linked royalties, expected to offset lower volumes

 Illawarra Metallurgical Coal
                                                                                         Expected to be ~7.5% above current FY23 guidance, with a weaker Australian
 (US$/t)                                                                           116
                                                                                         dollar and lower price-linked royalties, to be more than offset by lower volumes

 Australia Manganese (FOB)
                                                                                         Expected to be ~15% below current FY23 guidance, benefitting from higher
 (US$/dmtu)                                                                       2.08   volumes, together with a weaker Australian dollar and lower
                                                                                         price-linked royalties

 South Africa Manganese (FOB)
                                                                                         Expected to be in-line with current guidance, with a weaker South African rand
 (US$/dmtu)                                                                       2.66
                                                                                         partially offset by the use of higher cost trucking

a.   Operating unit cost is Revenue less Underlying EBITDA, excluding third party sales, divided by sales volumes. Operating cost is Revenue less Underlying EBITDA excluding third
     party sales.
b.   FY23e Operating unit cost guidance includes royalties (where appropriate) and commodity price and foreign exchange rate forward curves or our
     internal expectations (refer to footnote 21).
c.   The denotation (e) refers to an estimate or forecast year. All guidance is subject to further potential impacts from COVID-19.
d.   US dollar per tonne of ore processed. Periodic movements in finished product inventory may impact Operating unit costs.



                                                                                                                             
WORSLEY ALUMINA (86% SHARE)
                                                                                                                         2Q23         2Q23
South32 share                                           1H22      1H23       HoH          2Q22      1Q23       2Q23        vs           vs
                                                                                                                         2Q22         1Q23


Alumina production (kt)                                 1,979     1,922      (3%)           973       920     1,002        3%           9%


Alumina sales (kt)                                      1,946     1,861      (4%)         1,022       885       976       (5%)         10%


Worsley Alumina saleable production decreased by 3% (or 57kt) to 1,922kt in the December 2022 half year, while saleable production
improved by 9% (or 82kt) in the December 2022 quarter following the completion of planned calciner maintenance in the September 2022
quarter. FY23 production guidance remains unchanged at 4,000kt with the expectation that nameplate production rates (4.6Mtpa, 100%
basis) are achieved following planned calciner maintenance in the March 2023 quarter.

During the December 2022 quarter, we imported approximately 58kt of low-calorific coal to supplement our domestic coal supply. While
we have no current plans to import further coal, we will continue to monitor the performance of our domestic third-party coal suppliers
and respond accordingly.



BRAZIL ALUMINA (36% SHARE)
                                                                                                                        2Q23         2Q23
South32 share                                          1H22      1H23        HoH         2Q22       1Q23      2Q23        vs           vs
                                                                                                                        2Q22         1Q23


Alumina production (kt)                                 631       691       10%           359       337        354      (1%)           5%


Alumina sales (kt)                                      626       678        8%           379       313        365      (4%)         17%


Brazil Alumina saleable production increased by 10% (or 60kt) to 691kt in the December 2022 half year, as the refinery operated at
nameplate capacity (3.86Mtpa, 100% basis), following the bauxite ship unloader outage in the prior period. FY23 production guidance
remains unchanged at 1,395kt.



                                                                                      
BRAZIL ALUMINIUM (40% SHARE)
                                                                                                                             2Q23        2Q23
South32 share                                            1H22       1H23          HoH     2Q22        1Q23        2Q23         vs          vs
                                                                                                                             2Q22        1Q23


Aluminium production (kt)                                  –         23.7        N/A         –         8.3         15.4      N/A           86%


Aluminium sales (kt)                                       –         19.4        N/A         –         3.3         16.1      N/A         388%


Brazil Aluminium saleable production was 23.7kt in the December 2022 half year, following the successful restart of the smelter in the June
2022 quarter. Production increased by 86% (or 7.1kt) in the December 2022 quarter as potlines one and two continued to ramp-up
towards capacity and potline three was restarted in November 2022.

During the December 2022 quarter, the smelter experienced temporary challenges with its alumina feeding systems and higher than
expected pot failure rates. As a result, fewer pots are in operation than planned, and the ramp-up to nameplate capacity (179ktpa, 40%
basis) is delayed to the September 2023 quarter. Accordingly, we have reduced
FY23 production by 25kt (or 25%) to 75kt and FY24 production guidance by 31kt (or 17%) to 148kt.



HILLSIDE ALUMINIUM (100% SHARE)
                                                                                                                                 2Q23        2Q23
South32 share                                            1H22       1H23            HoH     2Q22        1Q23        2Q23           vs          vs
                                                                                                                                 2Q22        1Q23


Aluminium production (kt)                                 358         362         1%          178         179         183           3%         2%


Aluminium sales (kt)                                      336         337          0%         176         162         175          (1%)        8%


Hillside Aluminium saleable production increased by 1% (or 4kt) to 362kt in the December 2022 half year as the smelter continued to test
its maximum technical capacity despite the impact of elevated load-shedding.
FY23 production guidance remains unchanged at 720kt[13].

While sales increased by 8% in the December 2022 quarter, inventory remained above target levels as two shipments were delayed to
January 2023 due to shipping delays at Richards Bay.



MOZAL ALUMINIUM (63.7%[14] SHARE)
                                                                                                                                 2Q23        2Q23
South32 share                                            1H22       1H23            HoH     2Q22        1Q23        2Q23           vs          vs
                                                                                                                                 2Q22        1Q23


Aluminium production (kt)                                   136         182         34%         68          92           90       32%           (2%)


Aluminium sales (kt)                                        122         177         45%         67          87           90       34%            3%


Mozal Aluminium saleable production increased by 34% (or 46kt) to 182kt in the December 2022 half year,
reflecting our increased ownership of the smelter[14]. Production decreased by 2% (or 2kt) in the December 2022 quarter as operations in
Potroom A were temporarily suspended as we responded to the fatal incident on 7 November 2022. FY23 production guidance remains
unchanged at 370kt[13], with the smelter having subsequently returned to full production and continued to test its maximum technical
capacity despite the impact of elevated load-shedding.



                                                                                               
SIERRA GORDA (45% SHARE)
                                                                                                                           2Q23       2Q23
 South32 share                                           1H22      1H23        HoH          2Q22      1Q23       2Q23        vs         vs
                                                                                                                           2Q22       1Q23

 Payable copper equivalent production[3] (kt)                –      44.9       N/A              –      22.6       22.3      N/A        (1%)

 Payable copper production (kt)                              –      37.9       N/A              –      19.0       18.9      N/A        (1%)

 Payable copper sales (kt)                                   –      38.4       N/A              –      19.2       19.2      N/A          0%


Sierra Gorda payable copper equivalent production[3] was 44.9kt in the December 2022 half year, as the operation realised sequentially
higher average copper grades (H1 FY23: 0.45%, H2 FY22: 0.42%) and delivered plant throughput at an annualised rate of ~48Mt (100%
basis). FY23 payable copper equivalent production[3] guidance of 89.0kt remains unchanged (copper 71.8kt, molybdenum 1.5kt, gold
29.9koz and silver 582koz).

Sierra Gorda progressed work on the plant de-bottlenecking project during the December 2022 quarter, completing planned conveyor
upgrades, while commissioning of the third tailings thickener is delayed to the March 2023 quarter. Based on recent performance of the
grinding circuit, we now expect annual plant throughput to be in a range of
48 to 49Mtpa (100% basis) following the completion of de-bottlenecking work. In parallel, feasibility study work continues on a potential
fourth grinding line, designed to sustainably lift plant throughput above 50Mtpa (100% basis).
The feasibility study is expected to be completed in H1 FY24.

We will provide FY24 production guidance with our financial results announcement for the December 2022 half year.



CANNINGTON (100% SHARE)
                                                                                                                           2Q23       2Q23
 South32 share                                           1H22      1H23       HoH           2Q22      1Q23       2Q23        vs         vs
                                                                                                                           2Q22       1Q23

 Payable zinc equivalent production[15] (kt)             114.0      98.8     (13%)           55.9      46.1       52.7      (6%)       14%


 Payable silver production (koz)                         6,710     5,474     (18%)          3,217     2,568     2,906      (10%)       13%


 Payable silver sales (koz)                              6,718     5,083     (24%)          4,000     1,704     3,379      (16%)       98%


 Payable lead production (kt)                             60.2      52.4     (13%)           28.3      24.6       27.8      (2%)       13%


 Payable lead sales (kt)                                  63.3      51.3     (19%)           38.0      18.7       32.6     (14%)       74%


 Payable zinc production (kt)                             32.7      30.4      (7%)          17.3      14.0       16.4      (5%)       17%


 Payable zinc sales (kt)                                  32.8      27.5     (16%)           18.5      14.9       12.6     (32%)      (15%)


Cannington payable zinc equivalent production[15] decreased by 13% (or 15.2kt) to 98.8kt in the December 2022 half year with mill
throughput below plan due to lower than expected performance of temporary mobile crushers deployed to support the transition to truck
haulage. Ore mined volumes also declined with lower operator availability due to skilled labour shortages and further COVID-19
absenteeism.

While the transition to truck haulage was completed at the end of the December 2022 quarter and is expected to bring forward higher-
grade material in the mine plan, the ability to recover production volumes in H2 FY23 is expected to be constrained with near-term labour
availability challenges expected to impact mining rates. Accordingly, we have reduced FY23 production guidance by 11% to 209.4kt payable
zinc equivalent[15] (ore processed 2,450kdmt, silver 12,000koz, lead 108.5kt and zinc 63.5kt).

Sales volumes in the December 2022 quarter reflected the timing of shipments, including carry-over shipments of silver and lead from the
prior quarter. Our realised zinc price of US$2,436/t in the December 2022 half year is net of treatment and refining charges that have
widened in the current market.



                                                                                       
CERRO MATOSO (99.9% SHARE)
                                                                                                                          2Q23       2Q23
 South32 share                                          1H22       1H23       HoH          2Q22      1Q23      2Q23         vs         vs
                                                                                                                          2Q22       1Q23

 Payable nickel production (kt)                          20.3       20.4       0%           10.7       9.6      10.8        1%         13%

 Payable nickel sales (kt)                               20.1       19.8      (1%)           9.7       9.0      10.8       11%         20%


Cerro Matoso payable nickel production was largely unchanged at 20.4kt in the December 2022 half year.
Production improved by 13% (or 1.2kt) in the December 2022 quarter as mill throughput returned to normalised rates following the
completion of a planned shut, while the OSMOC project was commissioned. FY23 production guidance remains unchanged at 43.5kt, with
the OSMOC project expected to support higher production volumes in H2 FY23.

Sales increased by 20% in the December 2022 quarter, which reflected improved product availability.
Our ferronickel product typically attracts a discount to the LME Nickel price index on a volume weighted
M or M+1 basis, with this discount further widening to 16% in the December 2022 half year (H2 FY22: 8%).

Following a change in tax legislation, we expect Cerro Matoso’s effective tax rate to increase in future periods,
with the Colombian dividend withholding tax increasing from 10% to 20% and income tax deductions no longer available for royalty
payments[22] from January 2023.


ILLAWARRA METALLURGICAL COAL (100% SHARE)
                                                                                                                          2Q23       2Q23
 South32 share                                          1H22       1H23       HoH          2Q22      1Q23      2Q23         vs         vs
                                                                                                                          2Q22       1Q23

 Total coal production (kt)                             3,145     3,331        6%          1,257     1,595     1,736       38%          9%

 Total coal sales[23] (kt)                              3,255     3,185       (2%)         1,547     1,390     1,795       16%         29%

 Metallurgical coal production (kt)                     2,767     2,753       (1%)         1,192     1,270     1,483       24%         17%

 Metallurgical coal sales (kt)                          2,877     2,678       (7%)         1,387     1,193     1,485        7%         24%

 Energy coal production (kt)                              378       578       53%             65       325       253      289%       (22%)

 Energy coal sales (kt)                                   378       507       34%            160       197       310       94%         57%


Illawarra Metallurgical Coal saleable production increased by 6% (or 186kt) to 3,331kt in the December 2022 half year. Metallurgical coal
production increased by 17% (or 213kt) in the December 2022 quarter, with improved labour productivity at the Appin mine following the
successful negotiation in October 2022 of a new Enterprise Agreement, which has a four year term to 2026. The benefit to production of
improved labour productivity following the conclusion of protected industrial action was partially offset by a temporary outage in the
December 2022 quarter. Energy coal production decreased by 22% (or 72kt) during the December 2022 quarter, due to maintenance and
water management activity at the Dendrobium mine.

FY23 production guidance remains unchanged at 7.0Mt (metallurgical coal 6.0Mt and energy coal 1.0Mt) with the complex expected to
deliver higher volumes over the remainder of FY23, benefitting from an expected improvement in labour productivity.



                                                                                       
AUSTRALIA MANGANESE                               (60% SHARE)
                                                                                                                           2Q23         2Q23
 South32 share                                           1H22      1H23        HoH          2Q22      1Q23       2Q23        vs           vs
                                                                                                                           2Q22         1Q23

 Manganese ore production (kwmt)                         1,704     1,844        8%            807       898       946       17%          5%

 Manganese ore sales (kwmt)                              1,737     1,652       (5%)           831       779       873        5%         12%


Australia Manganese saleable production increased by 8% (or 140kwmt) to a record of 1,844kwmt in the December 2022 half year as
improved yields supported higher primary concentrator output. Separately, our low-cost PC02 circuit continued to operate above its design
capacity, delivering approximately 10% of production (FY22: 11%).
FY23 production guidance remains unchanged at 3,400kwmt, with production volumes tracking ahead of plan prior to the commencement
of the wet season.


SOUTH AFRICA MANGANESE (ORE 54.6% SHARE)
                                                                                                                           2Q23         2Q23
 South32 share                                           1H22      1H23        HoH          2Q22      1Q23       2Q23        vs           vs
                                                                                                                           2Q22         1Q23

 Manganese ore production (kwmt)                         1,053     1,093        4%            445       562       531       19%         (6%)

 Manganese ore sales (kwmt)                              1,094     1,032       (6%)           579       473       559       (3%)        18%


South Africa Manganese saleable production increased by 4% (or 40kwmt) to 1,093kwmt in the December 2022 half year, as improved
mining performance was partially offset by planned maintenance in the December 2022 quarter.
FY23 production guidance remains unchanged at 2,000kwmt, subject to market conditions and our continued use of higher cost trucking.

Sales increased by 18% in the December 2022 quarter as third-party rail and port availability progressively improved after Transnet’s
industrial action was resolved in October 2022. Notwithstanding this strong quarterly performance,
we did see a build in working capital during the December 2022 half year as a result of this disruption.



                                                                                  
NOTES
1.    Group payable copper equivalent production calculated by applying H1 FY23 production volumes and FY22 realised prices for all operations
      (except for Brazil Aluminium which is based on FY22 average index prices for aluminium). The 12% increase in H1 FY23 Group payable copper equivalent production is
      calculated relative to H1 FY22 production volumes and FY22 realised prices for all operations (except for Brazil Aluminium which is based on FY22 average index prices for
      aluminium).

2.    Refers to aluminium produced using renewable power.

3.    Payable copper equivalent production (kt) was calculated by aggregating revenues from payable copper, molybdenum, gold and silver, and dividing the total Revenue by the
      price of copper. FY22 realised prices for copper (US$3.50/lb), molybdenum (US$18.48/lb), gold (US$1,934/oz) and silver (US$23.5/oz) have been used for FY22, H1 FY23 and
      FY23e.

4.    Goal is defined as an ambition to seek an outcome for which there is no current pathway(s), but for which efforts will be pursued towards addressing that challenge, subject
      to certain assumptions or conditions. Target is defined as an intended outcome in relation to which we have identified one or more pathways for delivery of that outcome,
      subject to certain assumptions or conditions.

5.    The information in this report that relates to the production target is based on Proved (75%) and Probable (25%) Ore Reserves for Cerro Matoso. Mineral Resources and Ore
      Reserve estimates for Cerro Matoso was declared as part of South32's Annual Resource and Reserve declaration in the Annual Report 2022 (www.south32.net) issued on 9
      September 2022 and prepared by I Espitia (MAusIMM) and N Monterroza (MAusIMM) in accordance with the requirements of the JORC Code. South32 confirms that it is
      not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information included in the original announcement. All material assumptions and technical parameters
      underpinning the estimates in the relevant market announcement continue to apply and have not materially changed. South32 confirms that the form and context in which
      the Competent Person’s findings are presented have not been materially modified from the original market announcement. Payable nickel is calculated using long-term
      consensus metal prices and relative metallurgical recoveries.

6.    Refer to market release “Dendrobium Next Domain Update” dated 23 August 2022 (market release). The information in the market release that refers to the Production
      Target and forecast financial information for the Appin mine at Illawarra Metallurgical Coal is based on Proved (14%) and Probable (86%) Coal Reserves from Bulli. The Coal
      Reserves estimates underpinning the Production Target have been prepared by M Rose (Competent Person) and reported in accordance with the JORC Code. The Coal
      Reserves estimates are available to view in South32’s FY22 Annual Report (http://www.south32.net) published on 9 September 2022. The stated Production Target is based
      on South32's current expectations of future results or events and should not be solely relied upon by investors when making investment decisions. Further evaluation work
      and appropriate studies are required to establish sufficient confidence that this target will be met.

7.    Since inception, US$1.6B has been allocated to the on-market share buy-back (752M shares at an average price of A$3.00 per share)
      and US$525M returned in the form of special dividends.

8.    Net distributions from our material equity accounted investments (manganese and Sierra Gorda) includes net debt movements and dividends, which are unaudited and
      should not be considered as an indication of or alternative to an IFRS measure of profitability, financial performance or liquidity.

9.    The corporate tax rates of the geographies where the Group operates include: Australia 30%, South Africa 27%, Colombia 35%, Mozambique 0%,
      Brazil 34% and Chile 27%. The South African corporate tax rate reduced from 28% to 27% from 1 July 2022. The Mozambique operations are subject to a royalty on revenues
      instead of income tax. Sierra Gorda is subject to a royalty related tax based on the amount of copper sold and the mining operating margin, the rate is between 5% and 14%
      for annual sales over 50kt of refined copper. This royalty is included in tax expense.

10.   Australia Manganese is subject to a royalty related tax equal to 20% of adjusted EBIT which is included in tax expense.

11.   Peake Prospect Exploration Target: The information in this announcement that relates to the Exploration Target for Peake Prospect is extracted from “Hermosa Project
      Update” published on 17 January 2022 and is available to view on www.south32.net. The information was prepared by
      D Bertuch (Competent Person) in accordance with the requirements of the JORC Code. South32 confirms that it is not aware of any new information or data that materially
      affects the information included in the original market announcement. South32 confirms that the form and context in which the Competent Person’s findings are presented
      have not been materially changed from the original market announcement.

12.   Flux Exploration Target: The information in this announcement that relates to the Exploration Target for Flux is extracted from “South32 Strategy and Business Update”
      published on 18 May 2021 and is available to view on www.south32.net. The information was prepared by D Bertuch (Competent Person) in accordance with the
      requirements of the JORC Code. South32 confirms that it is not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information included in the original market
      announcement. South32 confirms that the form and context in which the Competent Person’s findings are presented have not been materially changed from the original
      market announcement.

13.   Production guidance for Hillside Aluminium and Mozal Aluminium does not assume any load-shedding impact on production.

14.   Refer to market release “South32 completes acquisition of additional shareholding in Mozal Aluminium” dated 31 May 2022. Historical production and sales figures have not
      been restated for our increased ownership (presented on a 47.1% basis to 31 May 2022).

15.   Payable zinc equivalent production (kt) was calculated by aggregating revenues from payable silver, lead and zinc, and dividing the total Revenue by the price of zinc. FY22
      realised prices for zinc (US$3,248/t), lead (US$2,046/t) and silver (US$21.0/oz) have been used for FY22, H1 FY23 and FY23e.

16.   Realised prices are unaudited. Volumes and prices do not include any third party trading that may be undertaken independently of equity production. Realised sales price is
      calculated as sales Revenue divided by sales volume unless otherwise stated.

17.   Realised prices for Sierra Gorda are net of treatment and refining charges.

18.   Realised prices for Cannington are net of treatment and refining charges.

19.   Realised nickel sales prices are inclusive of by-products.

20.   Realised ore prices are calculated as external sales Revenue less freight and marketing costs, divided by external sales volume.

21.   FY23 Operating unit cost guidance includes royalties (where appropriate) and the influence of exchange rates, and includes various assumptions for FY23, including: an
      alumina price of US$364/t; an average blended coal price of US$265/t for Illawarra Metallurgical Coal; a manganese ore price of US$6.40/dmtu for 44% manganese product;
      a nickel price of US$9.94/lb; a silver price of US$22.11/troy oz; a lead price of US$2,059/t (gross of treatment and refining charges); a zinc price of US$3,480/t (gross of
      treatment and refining charges); a copper price of US$4.07/lb (gross of treatment and refining charges); a molybdenum price of US$16.95/lb (gross of treatment and
      refining charges); a gold price of US$1,860/troy oz; an AUD:USD exchange rate of 0.69; a USD:ZAR exchange rate of 16.62; a USD:COP exchange rate of 3,851; USD:CLP
      exchange rate of 814; and a reference price for caustic soda; which reflect forward markets as at June 2022 or our internal expectations.

22.   Cerro Matoso is subject to a royalty related tax equal to 13.5% of mine gate value which is included in operating cost.

23.   Illawarra Metallurgical Coal sales are adjusted for moisture and will not reconcile directly to Illawarra Metallurgical Coal production.

The following abbreviations have been used throughout this report: US$ million (US$M); US$ billion (US$B); € (Euro); grams per tonne (g/t); tonnes (t);
thousand tonnes (kt); thousand tonnes per annum (ktpa); million tonnes (Mt); million tonnes per annum (Mtpa); ounces (oz); th ousand ounces (koz);
million ounces (Moz); thousand wet metric tonnes (kwmt); million wet metric tonnes (Mwmt); million wet metric tonnes per annum (Mwmt pa); dry metric tonne unit (dmtu);
thousand dry metric tonnes (kdmt).

Figures in Italics indicate that an adjustment has been made since the figures were previously reported. The denotation (e) refers to an estimate or forecast year.



                                                                                                                                
OPERATING PERFORMANCE

South32 share                                  1H22    1H23    2Q22    3Q22   4Q22    1Q23         2Q23


Worsley Alumina (86% share)

Alumina hydrate production (kt)                1,994   1,955    997     972   1,014    957          998

Alumina production (kt)                        1,979   1,922    973     982   1,030    920        1,002

Alumina sales (kt)                             1,946   1,861   1,022    910   1,118    885          976

Brazil Alumina (36% share)

Alumina production (kt)                         631     691     359     335    331     337           354

Alumina sales (kt)                              626     678     379     306    367     313           365

Brazil Aluminium (40% share)

Aluminium production (kt)                          -    23.7       -      -     0.3    8.3          15.4

Aluminium sales (kt)                               -    19.4       -      -       -    3.3          16.1

Hillside Aluminium (100% share)

Aluminium production (kt)                       358     362     178     177    179     179           183

Aluminium sales (kt)                            336     337     176     179    198     162           175

Mozal Aluminium (63.7%[14] share)

Aluminium production (kt)                       136     182      68      66     76      92            90

Aluminium sales (kt)                            122     177      67      66     88      87            90

Sierra Gorda (45% share)

Ore mined (Mt)                                    –     15.4      –     4.7     9.0    8.8           6.6

Ore processed (Mt)                                –     10.7      –     2.3     5.2    5.4           5.3

Copper ore grade processed (%, Cu)                –     0.45      –    0.45    0.40   0.45          0.44

Payable copper equivalent production[3] (kt)      –     44.9      –    10.3    20.3   22.6          22.3

Payable copper production (kt)                    –     37.9      –     8.4    16.9   19.0          18.9

Payable copper sales (kt)                         –     38.4      –    11.1    16.6   19.2          19.2

Payable molybdenum production (kt)                –      0.4      –     0.2     0.2    0.2           0.2

Payable molybdenum sales (kt)                     –      0.8      –     0.1     0.5    0.3           0.5

Payable gold production (koz)                     –     15.3      –     2.3     7.3    7.8           7.5

Payable gold sales (koz)                          –     15.4      –     3.0     6.9    7.7           7.7

Payable silver production (koz)                   –     338       –      85    168     180           158

Payable silver sales (koz)                        –     345       –     111    171     179           166



                                                    Page 13 of 15
South32 share                                 1H22    1H23    2Q22    3Q22    4Q22    1Q23          2Q23


Cannington (100%)

Ore mined (kwmt)                              1,475   1,123    725     637     641     639            484

Ore processed (kdmt)                          1,385   1,142    698     681     552     518            624

Silver ore grade processed (g/t, Ag)           177     175     169     188     177     179            171

Lead ore grade processed (%, Pb)                5.2     5.5     4.9     5.9     5.5     5.6           5.4

Zinc ore grade processed (%, Zn)                3.4     3.6     3.6     3.4     3.8     3.7           3.6

Payable zinc equivalent production[15] (kt)   114.0    98.8    55.9    61.3    48.9    46.1          52.7

Payable silver production (koz)               6,710   5,474   3,217   3,568   2,668   2,568         2,906

Payable silver sales (koz)                    6,718   5,083   4,000   2,818   3,362   1,704         3,379

Payable lead production (kt)                   60.2    52.4    28.3    34.6    25.8    24.6          27.8

Payable lead sales (kt)                        63.3    51.3    38.0    27.9    31.0    18.7          32.6

Payable zinc production (kt)                   32.7    30.4    17.3    16.4    15.4    14.0          16.4

Payable zinc sales (kt)                        32.8    27.5    18.5    17.3    16.1    14.9          12.6

Cerro Matoso (99.9% share)

Ore mined (kwmt)                              2,416   2,752   1,358   1,310   1,141   1,332         1,420

Ore processed (kdmt)                          1,335   1,392    715     690     678     666            726

Ore grade processed (%, Ni)                    1.73    1.64    1.71    1.73    1.71    1.63          1.65

Payable nickel production (kt)                 20.3    20.4    10.7    10.6    10.8     9.6          10.8

Payable nickel sales (kt)                      20.1    19.8     9.7     9.8    11.9     9.0          10.8

Illawarra Metallurgical Coal (100%)

Total coal production (kt)                    3,145   3,331   1,257   1,781   1,583   1,595         1,736

Total coal sales[23] (kt)                     3,255   3,185   1,547   1,465   1,886   1,390         1,795

Metallurgical coal production (kt)            2,767   2,753   1,192   1,565   1,380   1,270         1,483
 
Metallurgical coal sales (kt)                 2,877   2,678   1,387   1,358   1,588   1,193         1,485

Energy coal production (kt)                    378     578      65     216     203     325            253

Energy coal sales (kt)                         378     507     160     107     298     197            310

Australia Manganese (60% share)

Manganese ore production (kwmt)               1,704   1,844    807     815     844     898            946

Manganese ore sales (kwmt)                    1,737   1,652    831     775     860     779            873

Ore grade sold (%, Mn)                         44.2    44.2    44.2    44.1    44.2    44.3          44.1

South Africa Manganese (54.6% share)

Manganese ore production (kwmt)               1,053   1,093    445     391     625     562            531

Manganese ore sales (kwmt)                    1,094   1,032    579     495     581     473            559

Ore grade sold (%, Mn)                         39.5    39.2    38.7    40.5    39.4    38.5          39.8


                                                     
Forward-looking statements
This release contains forward-looking statements, including statements about trends in commodity prices and currency exchange rates; demand for commodities; production
forecasts; plans, strategies and objectives of management; capital costs and scheduling; operating costs; anticipated productive lives of projects, mines and facilities; and
provisions and contingent liabilities. These forward-looking statements reflect expectations at the date of this release, however they are not guarantees or predictions of future
performance. They involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond our control, and which may cause actual results to differ
materially from those expressed in the statements contained in this release. Readers are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Except as required
by applicable laws or regulations, the South32 Group does not undertake to publicly update or review any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information or
future events. Past performance cannot be relied on as a guide to future performance. South32 cautions against reliance on any forward looking statements or guidance,
particularly in light of the current economic climate and the significant volatility, uncertainty and disruption arising in connection with COVID-19.


FURTHER INFORMATION
 INVESTOR RELATIONS                                           MEDIA RELATIONS
 Ben Baker                                                    Jamie Macdonald                                              Miles Godfrey
 M +61 403 763 086                                            M +61 408 925 140                                            M +61 415 325 906
 E Ben.Baker@south32.net                                      E Jamie.Macdonald@south32.net                                E Miles.Godrey@south32.net


Approved for release to the market by Graham Kerr, Chief Executive Officer
JSE Sponsor: The Standard Bank of South Africa Limited
23 January 2023

                                                                                                                        

Date: 23-01-2023 08:00:00
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