Views Article – Sharenet Wealth

Asia, Forex

Indian rupee, rupiah, Thai baht fall as oil prices surge

* Middle East tensions push oil prices higher * Rupee slides to a near 3-week low * Yuan gains around Sino-U.S. trade optimism (Adds text, updates prices) By Aby Jose Koilparambil July 22 (Reuters) – Most Asian emerging currencies fell on Monday as the U.S. dollar held steady, while heightened tensions in the Middle East pushed oil prices higher. The dollar index was barely changed at 97.171 after gaining 0.35% last week, but the greenback broke above 108 yen to hit its highest since Wednesday, still in the middle of the 107-109 range where it has traded for a month. Underpinning the dollar, investors on Friday tempered expectations for deep U.S. interest rate cuts later this month, though a quarter-point cut is still widely expected. Brent crude futures were up 51 cents, or 0.8%, at$62.98 a barrel by 0042 GMT after a British tanker was seized by the Iranian military at the end of last week. Any rise in oil prices puts pressure on major importers of the commodity in the region such as India, Indonesia and Thailand. The dollar would hold the upper hand in Asia this week and the “jittery risk environment” surrounding Iran tensions could further impinge on the Asian currencies, OCBC Bank analysts said in a note on Monday. The Indian rupee fell as much as 0.4% to a near three-week low, while the Indonesian rupiah slid as much as 0.3% to 13,965 against the dollar. The Thai baht lost up to 0.3%. The currency was little fazed by trade data which showed June exports fell 2.15% year-on-year, smaller than the Reuters poll forecast of 5% drop. Exports, the main driver of Thai growth, declined for a fourth straight month in June. The South Korean won also depreciated, shedding up to 0.4% to 1,179.10 against the dollar, as the export-oriented economy’s shipments for the first 20 days of the month fell a sharp 13.6% from a year earlier, according to customs data. Semiconductor products, which make up for about one-fifth of the country’s total exports, suffered a 30.2% drop in overseas shipments, the Korea Customs Service data showed. Meanwhile, the Chinese yuan inched up 0.06% on investor hopes that Sino-U.S. trade tensions may be easing. Some Chinese companies are seeking new purchases of U.S. agricultural products, China’s official Xinhua news agency said on Sunday, citing authorities, and investors widely take these kind of developments as gestures of goodwill between the world’s two largest economies to end the year-long trade war. The Malaysian ringgit and the Philippine peso were little changed. CURRENCIES VS U.S. DOLLAR Change on the day at 0508 GMT Currency Latest bid Previous day Pct Move Japan yen 107.970 107.7 -0.25 Sing dlr 1.361 1.3600 -0.08 Taiwan dlr 31.075 31.050 -0.08 Korean won 1177.500 1174.5 -0.25 Baht 30.850 30.77 -0.26 Peso 51.120 51.09 -0.06 Rupiah 13960.000 13930 -0.21 Rupee 68.990 68.80 -0.27 Ringgit 4.112 4.112 +0.00 Yuan 6.879 6.8810 +0.03 Change so far in 2019 Currency Latest bid End 2018 Pct Move Japan yen 107.970 109.56 +1.47 Sing dlr 1.361 1.3627 +0.12 Taiwan dlr 31.075 30.733 -1.10 Korean won 1177.500 1115.70 -5.25 Baht 30.850 32.55 +5.51 Peso 51.120 52.47 +2.64 Rupiah 13960.000 14375 +2.97 Rupee 68.990 69.77 +1.13 Ringgit 4.112 4.1300 +0.44 Yuan 6.879 6.8730 -0.09 (Reporting by Aby Jose Koilparambil in Bengaluru; Editing by Kim Coghill)

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