Views Article – Sharenet Wealth

Australasia, Forex

Rising Australian dollar not a problem yet, says RBA’s Lowe

* A$ has soared 24% since March low

* Better health, economic outcomes, strong commodity price behind A$ rally

* RBA cash rate expected to stay at current levels for years

* Australia has “fantastic set of underlying fundamentals” – Lowe (Updates to add A$ reaction)

By Swati Pandey

SYDNEY, June 22 (Reuters) – The recent appreciation in the Australian dollar is not a problem at this point although a lower exchange rate would help the economy, the country’s top central banker said on Monday.

The Aussie has surged 24% to the U.S. dollar since hitting a low of $0.5510 in March.

“At the moment, I think it’s really hard to argue that the Australian dollar is overvalued,” Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Philip Lowe said in a webinar.

He cited better health and economic outcomes from the impact of the coronavirus crisis than other countries and strong commodity prices, with the downturn expected to be shallower than earlier thought.

Lowe’s comment further supported the Aussie which was last up 0.1% at $0.6841 after going as low as $0.6801 earlier in the session.

Australia has been held up as one of the world’s top coronavirus mitigation success stories. In all, 102 people have died of COVID-19 in the country but it has reported no new deaths for more than three weeks.

Lowe said a rising currency could become a problem at some point, “but I don’t think we’ve reached that point yet.”

Australia has “a fantastic set of underlying fundamentals,” Lowe said as he upgraded his estimate for employment. Hours worked in Australia are now expected to fall 10% from the RBA’s previous estimate of 20%.

The RBA was still prepared to do “whatever it takes” on policy to boost growth, jobs and inflation, Lowe reiterated, having slashed interest rates to a record low 0.25% in March.

Lowe said it was likely interest rates would remain at current levels for years given the disinflationary forces in the economy.

“We do face a world where there’ll be a shadow from the virus that will last for quite a few years,” Lowe said, pointing to the need for fiscal reforms and technological innovations.

“I fear if we don’t leverage the advances in technology, and we don’t see policy reform we’ll just…meander and kind of have slow growth.” (Reporting by Swati Pandey and Wayne Cole; Editing by Kim Coghill and Jacqueline Wong)


© 2019 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved. Reuters content is the intellectual property of Thomson Reuters or its third party content providers. Any copying, republication or redistribution of Reuters content, including by framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Thomson Reuters. Thomson Reuters shall not be liable for any errors or delays in content, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon. "Reuters" and the Reuters Logo are trademarks of Thomson Reuters and its affiliated companies.