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EMIRA PROPERTY FUND LIMITED - Pre-Close Operational Update

Release Date: 01/12/2021 07:15
Wrap Text
Pre-Close Operational Update

EMIRA PROPERTY FUND LIMITED
Incorporated in the Republic of South Africa
(Registration number 2014/130842/06)
JSE share code: EMI     ISIN: ZAE000203063
JSE bond company code: EMII
(Approved as a REIT by the JSE)
(“Emira”, “the Company” or “the Fund”)


PRE-CLOSE OPERATIONAL UPDATE


Shareholders and noteholders are referred to the Fund’s final results announcement for the year ended 30 June 2021,
released on SENS on 18 August 2021. The Company wishes to provide an update to investors regarding the operational
performance of its investments.

Emira will be hosting a virtual pre-close update at 10:00 am on Wednesday, 1 December 2021. Shareholders and
noteholders can register to attend on the following link: https://www.corpcam.com/EMIRA01122021.

Direct local portfolio (78% of investments)

Despite the setbacks caused by the ‘third wave’ and the civil unrest in July 2021, the South African economy continued
to show a recovery in the 4-months ended 31 October 2021 (“the period”). While fundamentals remain weak, many
businesses have adapted to the new operating environment, having survived some of the toughest operating
conditions on record. The recent emergence of the ‘Omicron’ variant of Covid-19 has created further uncertainty and
is expected to temporarily hamper the further recovery of both the local and global economies.

The local property market remains challenging, specifically the office sector, and vacancies across Emira’s portfolio
increased to 7,0% (by GLA) at the end of the period (June 2021: 6,4%). The Emira team continues to focus on core
property fundamentals, ensuring they are performed with excellence. Retaining tenants is one of the team’s key focus
areas and 85% (by revenue) of the Fund’s leases which expired in the period were retained. Rental reversions for the
period improved to a negative 12,0% (June 2021: negative 14,6%). Negative rent reversions are expected to continue
for the immediate future as landlords compete with one another to either retain existing tenants or attract new ones.

The Fund’s weighted average lease expiry of 2,6 years as at 31 October 2021 is similar to that reported at its year-end.
Annual lease escalations remain under pressure and reduced marginally by the end of the period to an overall average
of 7,0%. (June 2021: 7,1%). The average annual escalations achieved on renewals were 6,9% compared to 7,2% on
new leases.

Collections are another focus area and Emira’s normal debtor collections versus billings for the period was at 95,9%.
The Fund collected R2,1m of deferred rentals in the period, being R0,5m (or 100%) of the deferrals billed in the period
and R1,6m of the brought forward arrears.

Rent remissions totalling R1,9m were provided in the period to those tenants whose ability to trade in July 2021 was
directly impacted by the Covid-19 restrictions implemented by Government in response to the ‘third wave’.
                                                                                                                                                30 June
                                                                                                  31 October 2021                                2021



 R'000                                                                         Urban Retail    Office    Industrial     Residential     Total       Total

 Arrears (excluding VAT)

    Standard debtors                                                                19 815     24 077       15 823             300     60 015     55 491

    Deferred rentals billed not yet recovered                                          112       474           689                -     1 275      2 631




 Normal collections vs. billings net of discounts (VAT inclusive)

    Collections: July 2021 - October 2021                                          260 933    167 925     108 688            8 804    546 350   1 725 124

    Billings net of discounts: July 2021 - October 2021                            277 810    173 389     109 326            9 121    569 646   1 741 689

    Collections: July 2021 - October 2021 (%)                                        93,9%     96,8%        99,4%            96,5%     95,9%       99,0%




 COVID-19 Deferral collections vs deferral billings (VAT inclusive)

    Collections: July 2021 - October 2021                                              430      1 128          530                -     2 088     58 675

    Billings: July 2021 - October 2021                                                 220       306                -             -      526      61 702

    Collections: July 2021 - October 2021 (%)                                       195,2%    368,3%      >100,0%               0%    396,5%       95,1%




 COVID-19 Rental discounts granted (excluding VAT): July 2021 - October 2021         1 628       216            76                -     1 920     33 604




 Deferred rentals not yet billed (excluding VAT)                                       217      1 122               -             -     1 339      1 716




The Fund has concluded agreements to dispose of four properties (2 retail properties and 2 industrial properties)
totalling R269,8m. The disposals are unconditional and are expected to transfer over the next four to eight weeks. The
remaining conditions for the Fund’s acquisition of Northpoint Industrial Park have also been met and the property is
expected to transfer into Emira’s name during the same period.

Emira’s experience on the key individual sectors is as follows:

           Retail: (49% of the direct portfolio)

           Notwithstanding the social unrest in July 2021 the retail sector performed well and the positive trend on
           tenants’ trading activity continued. Emira’s portfolio, consisting mainly of grocer-anchored neighbourhood
           centres, is well let and vacancies at the end of October 2021 were up marginally to 4,3% (June 2021: 4,1%)
           with 91% (by revenue) of the tenants whose leases expired in the period retained.

           The reconstruction of Springfield Retail Centre, the only directly held Emira property to be materially damaged
           by the July 2021 riots, is well underway, and circa 58% of the total expected damages claim has been received
           to date from SASRIA.

           Offices: (31% of the direct portfolio)

           Persistent weak conditions for the local office sector resulted in vacancies in Emira’s office portfolio increasing
           to 19,4% at the end of October 2021 (June 2021: 17,0%). The Fund retained 66% (by revenue) of those tenants
           whose leases matured in the period and attracting new tenants remains a challenge. Rentals continue to be
           under pressure with rent reversions at a negative 15,5% for the period. The catalyst for change in the sector
           is economic growth which will improve business confidence and result in investment and an expansion of
           businesses, ultimately increasing the demand for space.
        Industrial: (18% of the direct portfolio)

        Despite the rolling power cuts, Emira’s industrial vacancies have been stable, with 3,6% of the portfolio vacant
        at 31 October 2021 (June 2021: 3,5%). Demand for space continues to rise and 91% (by revenue) of tenants
        whose leases matured in the period were retained. While the increased activity is pleasing, the challenges
        faced by tenants as a result of inconsistent power supply remains a major risk to their sustainability.

Enyuka (5% of investments)

Enyuka’s portfolio of retail properties are focussed on the rural and lower LSM markets. Six of Enyuka’s 22 properties
were looted and damaged by the violent civil unrest and disorder that broke out in parts of Gauteng and KwaZulu
Natal on 9 July 2021. Despite this, vacancies remained stable at 4,7% at the end of October 2021 (June 2021: 4,5%),
proving the resilience of this sub-sector.

Five of the properties impacted by the unrest are fully operational again while work to repair the sixth property, which
sustained fire damage, has commenced, and is expected to be completed by May 2022. Enyuka has to date received
circa 45% of its anticipated damages from SASRIA.

Transcend Residential Property Fund Limited (“Transcend”) (3% of investments)

Transcend is a JSE-listed specialist residential REIT focussed on value-oriented good quality suburban units. Occupancy
across Transcend’s portfolio continues to be strong proving its resilience to economic and market forces.

As announced by Transcend on 22 September 2021, it is in the process of acquiring two properties for a total purchase
consideration of R253,5 million. The purchase consideration will be settled in cash, and funded through raising new
debt and equity in the ratio of approximately 40% debt and 60% equity. In line with Emira’s strategy to increase its
residential exposure, the Fund, which currently holds 34.9% of Transcend’s shares in issue, has provided an irrevocable
commitment to subscribe for up to 92% of the new equity to be issued. The irrevocable commitment is subject to
Transcend’s other shareholders waiving their right to receive a mandatory offer from Emira, should Emira’s
shareholding increase above 35%.

USA (14% of investments)

The US portfolio, comprising of 11 equity investments into grocery anchored, value orientated, open air power centres
performed in line with expectations. As at 31 October 2021, vacancies across all 11 properties were at 6,6%. This was
an improvement from 7,1% at 30 June 2021 owing to a number of new leases of under 10,000 ft2 at multiple
properties. The disruptive effects on global supply chains has negatively impacted the buildout and opening of certain
tenants, for example Earth Fare at Woodlands Square. In November 2021, a lease was executed to backfill the ex-Stein
Mart 25,500 ft2 space at 32 East with Sportsman’s Warehouse, thus the vacancy rate is expected to improve to below
6% by 31 December 2021, with of the assets being effectively fully occupied, and 9 of the 11 assets being more than
95% occupied.

The US economy and retail outlook has continued its anticipated recovery. Collections on aggregate across the
portfolio have been in line with payment terms of existing leases and concession agreements where applicable. It is
still anticipated that 9 of the 11 investments will pay dividends in FY22.

Capital management and liquidity

As at 31 October 2021, the Fund had unutilised debt facilities of R660m, which together with cash-on-hand of R71,8m,
provides assurance that the Group is able to meet its short-term commitments.

The weighted average duration to expiry of Emira’s debt facilities at the end of the period reduced to 1,9 years (June
2021: 2,1 years). R130,0m of maturing debt was refinanced in the period with a further R261m refinanced in November
2021, leaving R431m to be refinanced before the end of June 2022.

A marginally higher loan-to value is anticipated by the end of December 2021 (June 2021: 40,8% including derivative
liabilities) but this is dependent on the completion of the interim property valuations, the closing ZAR/USD exchange
rate and the timing of the property disposals and Northpoint acquisition.
There has been no change to the Fund’s effective USD denominated debt of USD61,0m, achieved through its USD
cross-currency interest-rate swaps (“CCIRS”).

At 31 October 2021, the average all-in cost of Emira’s funding, including CCIRS, is 7,20% (June 2020: 7,43%) and interest
rates are hedged for 78,0% (June 2021: 80,7%) of Emira’s drawn interest-bearing borrowings for a weighted average
duration of 2,2 years (June 2020: 2,1 years).

Conclusion

The portfolio has performed in line with expectations for the period. While the ‘fourth wave’ is expected to slow down
the recovery of the local economy and deteriorate property metrics further, the diversified nature of Emira’s
investments both on a sectoral basis and geographically, including its offshore exposure and the current condition of
its properties, will provide some defence. Emira’s management team will continue to focus on the areas within its
control, by doing the basics to the best of its ability. With the information currently at hand and factoring the
anticipated impact of the ‘fourth wave’, the Fund expects to achieve its objectives for the interim period.


Bryanston
1 December 2021


Sponsor


Questco Corporate Advisory Proprietary Limited


Debt Sponsor

RAND MERCHANT BANK (a division of FirstRand Bank Limited)

Date: 01-12-2021 07:15:00
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