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BID CORPORATION LIMITED - Capital Markets Trading Update

Release Date: 18/11/2019 09:00
Code(s): BID     PDF:  
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Capital Markets Trading Update

Bid Corporation Limited
(Incorporated in the Republic of South Africa)
Registration number: 1995/008615/06
Share code: BID
ISIN: ZAE000216537
(‘Bidcorp’ or ‘the Company’ or ‘Group’)

Capital Markets Trading Update – November 18th 2019

Shareholders are advised that the Bidcorp executive management are meeting
with members of the financial community (including shareholders, financial
analysts and the press) today, Monday November 18th 2019, to update the
market on the trading environment across its international operations.

The impact of the new IFRS 16 accounting standard is in line with guidance as
provided to stakeholders in August 2019. Bidcorp’s UK logistics activities
remain classified as discontinued operations. The following update deals with
the continuing and discontinued operations separately.

Continuing operations:

Management comments as follows:

Current trading performance and overall market conditions

•   Trading for the 4 months to October in F2020 (on a like-for-like basis,
    excluding the impact of IFRS 16) continues to be positive (measured in
    home currencies). Performance achieved by the Group remains on trend,
    broadly in line with that achieved in constant currencies for F2019.
•   Underlying sales have continued to show real growth in the independent
    segment with some further rebalancing of the customer mix evident in New
    Zealand and the United Kingdom. Gross margin percentage has increased.
    Operating costs (on a like-for-like basis excluding the impact of IFRS 16)
    have been reasonably well managed despite being impacted by increasing
    wage costs (due to full employment levels in numerous economies) and
    higher fuel and energy expenses. Overall trading margins (on a like-for-like
    basis, excluding the impact of IFRS 16) have improved slightly. Food
    inflation remains relatively benign across most markets.
•   Generally, all our businesses have shown growth, albeit some at an
    anticipated slower rate. The problem businesses, namely Guzman in Spain,
    Pier7 in Germany & Bidfresh UK are making slow but steady progress.
•   Political and social unrest in several geographies is having an impact on
    some of our businesses. In Hong Kong, ongoing protests have significantly
    decreased hotel occupancies, tourist arrivals and eating out-of-home
    activities. In Chile, major outbreaks of civil unrest have recently arisen. In
    Barcelona, the separatist movement and anti-independence groups have
    clashed resulting in civil unrest. In the UK, the Brexit debacle drags on and
        economic growth is stuttering; although the imminent general election has
        signaled some potential positive news. Despite all the negatives, our
        management teams remain positive and motivated by opportunities.
•       Currency volatility has negatively impacted Bidcorp’s rand translated results
        to October in F2020. The rand translated results are approximately 1,0%
        lower than the constant currency results.


    Strategic initiatives

    •    Bidcorp’s strategy remains focused on growth – organically in current
         markets through real sales growth in the correct customer segment; via
         in-territory bolt-on acquisitions to expand geographic reach and product
         ranges; and via opportunistic strategic acquisitions as the Group enters
         new markets.
    •    Foodservice fundamentals across all our operating geographies remain
         positive.
    •    Acquisition opportunities in the foodservice space remain limited, either
         due to unrealistic vendor expectations or vendor uncertainty at this stage
         of the economic cycle, a consequence of which is only one bolt-on
         acquisition has been concluded so far this year. Our focus has been on
         creating a sustainable platform from which to build on in Iberia and
         Germany, while extracting the benefits from the more recent acquisition in
         Australia.
    •    We continue to invest in organic growth through ongoing capex spend,
         with the focus on having smaller, modern and environmentally efficient
         depots closer to the customer base.
    •    Our ecommerce, CRM and data analytics platform deployment continues
         to provide competitive advantage to Group businesses. Our global
         procurement initiatives are expanding both in Asia and Europe, the
         benefits of which reflect in each individual business.


    Prospects

    •    Management’s expectations for F2020 remain cautious but largely
         unchanged; however, political uncertainty, slowing global growth and
         recent socio-economic unrest heightens risk.


Australasia

    •    Australia’s trading performance remains solid, despite weak consumer
         confidence and low inflation. Overall revenue growth has been dampened
         by the prior year exit of a low-margin contract which still reflects in the
         comparative base (exited September 2018); however, free trade growth
         is good. Competitive pressures are being felt in the national account
         segment which is impacting pricing. The core foodservice businesses are
         doing well, with the focus on growing the penetration of the meat and
         liquor product lines through the network. Supply Solutions (Imports)
     continues to perform well off the back of further upstream integration. The
     Fresh business was exited in September 2019. Further capex has been
     invested in finalising the infrastructure upgrade programme. Bolt-on
     acquisition and greenfield opportunities remain.

 •   New Zealand continues its solid operational performance. Excellent
     progress has been achieved in replacing a large low-margin contract
     which exited with effect from July 2019. Overall revenue gains were
     limited; however, gross margin improvements are evident from the better
     customer mix. Higher costs are being driven by labour pressures (full
     employment and no migration) as well as increased capacity demands
     with the opening of our new, second depot in Auckland in October 2019.
     All segments of the business continue to develop profitably with ongoing
     innovation and value-add product development.


United Kingdom (‘UK’)

 •   Bidfood UK continues to perform well with the rate of growth in line with
     expectation. Brexit-fatigue is having a demonstrable impact on consumer
     confidence and consequently economic growth. Sales volumes continue
     to grow in the independent sector as our focus on customer mix and high-
     service levels continues. National account volumes and margins are
     under competitive pressure as customer volumes decline. New volumes
     are being carefully managed in favour of sustainable margins. Additional
     distribution capacity came on-stream with the new Liverpool depot going
     live late in Q1. Ongoing investment in infrastructure remains an imperative
     to cater for anticipated growth. Strategic initiatives in own brand
     development, value-add opportunities and ecommerce implementation
     continue to gain traction. An acquisition of a small niche independent
     wholesaler, Elite Fine Foods, was concluded in the first quarter.

 •   Trading in Bidfresh has been disappointing in Q1 driven principally by the
     performance in the Produce business. Seafood continues to perform well,
     and Meat continues to build scale against the backdrop of a weak casual
     dining sector and general low consumer confidence. In Produce, the
     infrastructure expansion into the new additional depot and upgrade of the
     ERP system have hampered operational progress and profitability.
     Management’s focus is on correcting these operational challenges and
     rebuilding profitability.


Europe

 •   Overall results from our European businesses remains solid, despite
     challenges in both Spain and Germany. Improved like-for-like trading
     profit growth in constant FX has been achieved by the Netherlands,
     Belgium, Czech & Slovakia, Poland, Baltics and Italy. Cost pressures
     remain, particularly labour and fuel; however, they do appear to be
     moderating. Business improvement initiatives in Guzman (Spain) and
    Pier7 (Germany) are starting to deliver improved operational benefits in
    both operations, although profitability has been negatively impacted.

•   Netherlands has continued to make good progress despite a tight labour
    market. The horeca segment is showing good growth, while the decline in
    healthcare has stopped. The business simplification journey continues as
    management focus on developing the high-service customer offering.
    Product range rationalisation and IT infrastructure realignment projects
    are ongoing. Depot reconfiguration and investment into new distribution
    infrastructure is underway to accommodate future growth.

•   Belgium’s performance is positive, delivering incrementally higher
    profitability. A number of catering customers have renewed their
    contracts. Volume growth in the freetrade and institutional sectors is
    ongoing. Depot consolidation to achieve operational efficiencies continue.
    The implementation of the ‘myBidfood’ ecommerce platform is
    progressing well.

•   Czech & Slovakia continues to deliver good trading results although the
    rate of growth has moderated as overall economic growth slows. Sales
    have continued to grow, gross margins have been maintained and overall
    overhead costs are being well managed. However, cost pressures remain
    in labour, energy and fuel. Recent infrastructure investment in production
    facilities is yet to deliver anticipated returns. Opportunities in neighbouring
    territories offer expansion potential.

•   Further strong organic growth in Poland has continued, delivering an
    excellent trading performance. Focus remains on the freetrade sector.
    Gross margin improvements have delivered an improved trading margin.
    Anticipated future organic growth will require additional infrastructural
    investment.

•   Italy has delivered an improved trading performance despite the weakest
    summer season experienced in Italy for several years. Good penetration
    of the independent sector continues. Integration of recent bolt-on
    acquisitions, being D&D and Quartiglia, into DAC Italy is ongoing. Despite
    the political turmoil in Italy, business and consumer confidence are holding
    up. Regional expansion opportunities continue to be explored.

•   Iberia comprises our businesses in Spain and Portugal. Overall
    performance in Spain is well below expectation, attributed mostly to the
    Guzman activities. Political unrest in Barcelona had a significant impact
    on Guzman’s performance in October; however, internal focus remains on
    margin improvement and overhead cost reduction. The new ERP system
    has settled down and operational improvements are evident; however,
    financial performance remains poor. Igartza (acquired July 2018), a multi-
    category distributor in northern Spain, is performing well. Our business in
    Portugal continues to perform well. Investment into infrastructure will be
    required to alleviate capacity constraints in Portugal. Management remain
    positive about the medium-term growth prospects in the Iberian market.
 •   Germany continues to underperform with progress slow. Completion of
     the new depot in Munich is imminent. Further management changes have
     been made and additional Group resource has been deployed to guide
     improvements. Germany still represents a very large foodservice
     opportunity; however, further acquisitive expansion remains on hold until
     the current base has been stabilised.

 •   The Baltics, being Bidfood in Lithuania and Latvia, is now sustainably
     profitable. Focus is on leveraging the benefits of the new depot in Kaunas
     to achieve higher returns.

 •   Further expansion, both in terms of in-country bolt-on acquisitions and
     strategic entry into new geographies in Europe, remains possible, as we
     are not represented or underrepresented in many countries.


Emerging markets

 •   South Africa overall is showing solid results despite a persistently weak
     economic environment. Bidfood has continued its growth trajectory and
     the Crown Food business has recovered post the Listeriosis crisis and is
     achieving growth in many areas of the business. Results from the Chipkins
     Puratos JV are flat as end-user customer preferences have shifted away
     from yeast products in plant bakeries to cheaper maize alternatives.
     Focus remains on shifting the product mix to further value-add products.

 •   Greater China’s year-to-date financial performance is flat against F2019
     with the anticipated improvements gained in mainland China offsetting the
     unexpected declines in Hong Kong, directly attributable to the fallout from
     the social crisis that has unfolded. In mainland China, trading continues
     to improve following the dairy crisis of the past. Dairy remains an important
     category; however, continuing product range diversification continues.
     Operations commenced at the new meat (value-add processing) factory
     in Q4 F2019; however, the production ramp-up has been slowed by
     outstanding regulatory approvals. Our geographic distribution network is
     now reasonably complete. Hong Kong continues to be significantly
     impacted by the fallout from the unrest of the past few months.
     Management and staff have embarked upon flexible working hours, have
     all agreed to unpaid leave and are working with suppliers and landlords to
     minimize operating costs. Safety measures to protect staff and assets
     have been introduced. Further supplier dislocation in dairy arose in July
     2019; however, alternative suppliers have been sourced. The greater
     China working capital cycle remains under close scrutiny.

 •   Singapore has seen a positive uptick in activity levels and continues to
     deliver steady growth. Good traction is being achieved in the core
     foodservice market. Malaysia has performed well, and further nationwide
     growth opportunities are being explored. Our small joint venture in
     Vietnam is progressing, albeit slower than originally planned.
•   In South America, our focus remains on building a strong platform in a
    region with significant growth potential. In Brazil, the economy continues
    to be challenged; in spite of this our business has maintained its
    performance. Refinement of the business model continues to enable sales
    volume growth and expansion of the broadline product range. Bolt-on
    opportunities continue to be pursued; however, vendor expectations
    remain unrealistic. Chile was performing very well to October; however,
    violent and unexpected political unrest has negatively impacted this
    trajectory. Local management have reacted quickly to the crisis but how
    long this unrest will continue for remains unknown. Integration and
    benefits of the acquisition made in October 2018 continue to be achieved.
    Our investment in the foodservice business Blancaluna, Argentina is
    performing in line with expectation.

•   In the Middle East, our businesses have performed very well, particularly
    in Saudi Arabia. The UAE is showing some improvement; but tourism and
    hotel occupancies are still struggling. Our Saudi operation has again
    performed very well, buoyed by structural social and economic reforms
    which are translating into higher economic activity. All other businesses,
    albeit they are small, are profitable. New opportunities in adjacent
    geographies are being explored.

•   Turkey continues to improve as the mix is shifted to local products
    supplying local customers. A new greenfield branch was opened in
    Antalya in October 2019.


Acquisitive activity

•   Bidcorp remains alert to all acquisition opportunities that present
    themselves both in current markets and in new territories.
•   In the 4 months to October 2019, the following bolt-on acquisition was
    made:
    o Bidfood UK acquired Elite Fine Foods, a niche independent
        wholesaler.

Discontinued operations – UK logistics activities:

CD business

•   As announced on October 2nd 2019, a contract was entered into for the
    disposal of Best Food Logistics to the Booker Group, a wholly owned
    subsidiary of Tesco Plc. Several conditions precedent have been met and
    good progress has been made on the remaining few. We anticipate
    closure between late January and early March 2020.

•   Trading performance in Best Food Logistics continues to improve off the
    back of better service levels and a more sustainable revenue platform.
 PCL

 •   Post the sale and exit of the distribution activities earlier this year,
     management are working on an exit plan for the residual warehousing
     activities, which are small and now marginally profitable. No further
     material exit costs are expected.


The full presentation is being webcast, recorded and a playback recording will
be available on the Group’s website:
http://www.bidcorpgroup.com/presentations.php

This Capital Markets Trading Update has not been reviewed or reported on by
the Company’s independent auditors.
______________________________________________________________


Date:    November 18 2019
Johannesburg

Sponsor:     The Standard Bank of South Africa Limited

Date: 18/11/2019 09:00:00
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