Australian wheat output set to rebound - if rains arrive
* Wheat output, interactive graphic: https://tmsnrt.rs/2EJTTvf
By Colin Packham
SYDNEY, March 5 (Reuters) - Australia's wheat production is
expected to jump 38 percent in 2019/20 from the just completed
drought-hit season, but only if farmers receive desperately
needed rain, the country's chief commodity forecaster said on
In its first official wheat output estimate for the coming
season, the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource
Economics and Sciences pegged production of the country's
largest agricultural crop at 23.9 million tonnes.
This would be roughly in line with the 10-year average of
24.4 million tonnes, and well up on 17.3 million tonnes in
2018/19 when output fell to the lowest in a decade after severe
drought wilted crops.
However, the bureau warned that Australia - the world's
fourth-largest wheat exporter - may yet experience another
season of poor production.
"Winter crop plantings, which typically begin in April and
represent 25 percent of the total volume of farm production,
require sufficient and timely rainfall," it said.
The bureau also forecast a near 20 percent rise in the area
given over to the country's largest agricultural crop after
wheat plantings fell to at least a 20-year low in 2018/19.
Australia's east coast drought left soils so dry that many
farmers kept fields empty to avoid large-scale crop losses,
while others who did sow crops produced grain that was suitable
only for use as animal feed.
With hot, dry weather forecast to persist over at least the
next three months, analysts have warned another below average
crop in the 2019/2020 season could be seen.
Australian farmers begin sowing crops in late April,
typically after heavy rains. Farmers could sow into dry fields,
but would be reliant on favourable weather in the next few
Australia's dry weather is also expected to force cattle
graziers to cull more animals at near-record levels as pasture
wilts, keeping global prices under pressure.
Australian beef production hit a record high last year, and
while the size of the national herd has fallen near an all-time
low, the bureau forecast production in 2019/20 at the third
highest on record.
(Reporting by Colin Packham; editing by Richard Pullin)
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