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OLD MUTUAL PLC - Nedbank Group - Performance to 31 March 2017 and Pillar 3 Basel III Capital Adequacy, Leverage and Liquidity Ratios

Release Date: 18/05/2017 08:01
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Nedbank Group - Performance to 31 March 2017 and Pillar 3 Basel III Capital Adequacy, Leverage and Liquidity Ratios

   OLD MUTUAL PLC
   ISIN CODE: GB00B77J0862
   JSE SHARE CODE: OML
   NSX SHARE CODE: OLM
   ISSUER CODE: OLOMOL
   Old Mutual plc

   Ref 107/17
   18 May 2017

   NEDBANK GROUP – UPDATE ON NEDBANK GROUP’S PERFORMANCE FOR
   THE THREE MONTHS TO 31 MARCH 2017 AND PILLAR 3 BASEL III CAPITAL
   ADEQUACY, LEVERAGE AND LIQUIDITY RATIOS AS AT 31 MARCH 2017

   Nedbank Group Limited (“Nedbank Group”), the majority-owned South African banking subsidiary of
   Old Mutual plc, released its first quarter trading update today, 18 May 2017.

   The following is the full text of Nedbank Group’s announcement:

   “UPDATE ON THE GROUP’S PERFORMANCE FOR THE THREE MONTHS TO 31 MARCH 2017
   Nedbank Group’s managed operations continued to produce a solid performance for the first three
   months of the year (‘the period’). In a difficult socio political and macro-economic environment, overall
   client activity and revenue growth was slower than expected, but this was partially offset by a better
   than expected credit loss experience.

   Net interest income grew at mid-single digit levels on the back of annualised growth in average
   interest-earning banking assets (AIEBA) at low single-digit levels. The net interest margin (NIM) for
   the period widened ahead of the full year 2016 level of 3,54% and the Q1 2016 level of 3,51% (which
   includes the transfer of the CIB liquid asset portfolio from AIEBA to the trading book). Margin
   expansion was led by endowment income as a result of higher average interest rates and higher
   capital and transactional deposit levels as well as improved liability margins and advances mix
   benefits. Together, these more than offset the adverse implications of the narrowing of the prime
   interest rate against the Johannesburg Interbank Agreed Rate during the period.

   The benefit of our historic selective asset growth strategies with a wholesale bias continues to
   evidence itself in our credit loss ratio (CLR) which decreased from the full year 2016 level of 68 basis
   points (bps). The lower CLR was supported by a decrease in impairments in CIB and client collections
   in RBB remained effective.

       Non-interest revenue grew at low-to-mid single digit levels and continued to be underpinned by mid-
       single digit increases in commission and fees and trading income whilst performance of other NIR
       components have been more volatile given the challenging economic environment.

       Disciplined expense management resulted in expenses growing in line with our expectations.

       As previously disclosed in the group’s SENS announcement on 18 April 2017, associate earnings
       from the group’s share of Ecobank Transnational Incorporated’s (ETI) attributable income are equity-
       accounted one quarter in arrear, using ETI’s publicly disclosed results. The group’s share of ETI’s
       attributable loss of USD 427m for the fourth-quarter in 2016 was approximately R1,2bn (Q1 2016:
       R676m loss). On 27 April 2017, ETI reported its first quarter results for 2017 with attributable income
       of USD 51m. The group’s share is estimated at R144m (subject to exchange rate movements) which
       will be accounted for in our second quarter results (Q2 2016: R230m).

       In April 2017, Standard & Poor’s Global (S&P) and Fitch Ratings (Fitch) downgraded South Africa’s
       (SA) sovereign credit rating to sub-investment grade while Moody’s has placed the sovereign ratings
       under review for a potential downgrade. SA’s long-term sovereign foreign currency rating was
       downgraded to BB+ from BBB- with a negative outlook by S&P and a stable outlook by Fitch. In
       addition, SA’s long-term local currency issuer ratings were downgraded to BB+ from BBB- with a
       stable outlook by Fitch.

       The macroeconomic outlook for SA has deteriorated following the sovereign downgrades which will
       impact negatively on confidence, investment and growth. As a result, we have reduced our 2017 GDP
       growth forecast for SA from 1,1% to 0,7% with risk remaining to the downside and the interest rate
       forecast has been revised to either remain flat or increase slightly, in comparison to our previous
       expectations of a cumulative decrease of 50 bps later this year.

       In view of the volatile socio-political outlook and the weaker than expected macro-economic
       environment, we anticipate reduced levels of business and consumer confidence and that it will now
       be more challenging to achieve the full 2017 year guidance provided at the time of the release of our
       2016 annual results.

       We are monitoring the likely impact of this on credit demand, transactional activity and impairments,
       and will update our performance guidance for the full 2017 year in our 2017 Interim Results
       announcement on 2 August 2017.

       PILLAR 3 BASEL III CAPITAL ADEQUACY, LEVERAGE AND LIQUIDITY RATIOS AS AT 31
       MARCH 2017
       BASEL III CAPITAL ADEQUACY

       In terms of the requirements under Regulation 43(1)(e)(iii) of the regulations relating to banks and
       Directive 4/2014 issued in terms of section 6(6) of the Banks Act (Act No. 94 of 1990), minimum
       disclosure on the capital adequacy of the group and its leverage ratio is required on a quarterly basis.

       Both the group and bank remain well capitalised at levels significantly above the minimum regulatory
       requirements. The common equity tier 1 ratios of 12,6% and 12,3%, respectively, are reflective of
       organic capital generation and the limited movement in risk weighted assets during the period. The
       group and bank’s total capital ratio was positively impacted by the issuance of R2,0bn of new style
       Tier 2 capital in March 2017, offset to a degree by the redemption of old style Tier 2 notes of R1,0bn
       in the same month.

       The following table sets out the regulatory capital as at 31 March 2017:
                                                                                              Nedbank
                                                                      Nedbank Group            Limited
                                                                          Rm      %              Rm           %
        Including unappropriated profits
        Tier 1 capital                                                   67 704     13,3      56 477     13,4
        Common-equity tier 1 capital                                     63 906     12,6      51 821     12,3
          Share capital and premium                                      19 087               19 221
          Reserves                                                       57 975               43 045
          Minority interest: Ordinary shareholders                          702                      -
          Goodwill                                                       (5 134)              (1 410)
          Excess of expected loss over eligible provisions               (1 477)              (1 509)
          Defined benefit pension fund assets                            (1 911)              (1 911)
          Capitalised software and development costs                     (4 688)              (4 669)
          Other regulatory differences and non-qualifying
                                                                           (648)                (946)
          reserves
        Additional tier 1 capital                                          3 799     0,7        4 656     1,1
          Preference share capital and premium                             2 656                2 656
          Perpetual subordinated debt instruments                          2 000                2 000
          Regulatory adjustments                                           (858)                     -
        Tier 2 capital                                                   12 763      2,5      13 794      3,3
          Subordinated debt instruments                                  13 790               13 790
          General allowance for credit impairment                           144                     4
          Regulatory adjustments                                         (1 171)                   -
        Total capital                                                    80 467     15,8      70 271     16,7
        Excluding unappropriated profits
         Tier 1 capital                                                  60 390     11,9      52 146     12,4
         Common-equity tier 1 capital                                    56 592     11,1      47 490     11,3
         Total capital                                                   73 153     14,4      65 940     15,7


       LEVERAGE RATIO
       The leverage ratio is a supplementary measure to risk-based capital requirements. The leverage
       ratios of both the group and bank are well above minimum regulatory requirements.


        Leverage ratio                                           Nedbank Group         Nedbank Limited
        Tier 1 capital (including unappropriated profit)    (Rm)         67 704                 56 477
        Tier 1 capital (excluding unappropriated profit)    (Rm)         60 390                 52 146
        Total exposures                                     (Rm)        999 644                907 168
        Leverage ratio (including unappropriated profit)     (%)            6,8                    6,2
        Leverage ratio (excluding unappropriated profit)     (%)            6,0                    5,7
        Minimum required leverage ratio                      (%)            4,0                    4,0



       OVERVIEW OF RISK-WEIGHTED ASSETS (RWA)
                                                               Mar 2017         Dec 2016            Mar 2017
                                                                                                    Minimum
                                                                                                      capital
                                                                     RWA            RWA        requirements1
        1    Credit risk (excluding CCR)                           360 909        360 731             38 798
        2     Standardised Approach (TSA)                           36 477         37 176              3 921
              Advanced Internal Ratings-based
        3     Approach (AIRB)                                      324 432        323 555             34 877
        4    Counterparty credit risk (CCR)                         16 031         15 745              1 723
        5     SA-CCR                                                16 031         15 745              1 723
        6     Internal Model Method (IMM)                                -              -                  -
             Equity positions in banking book under
        7    market-based approach (SRWA)                           21 929         18 156               2 357
        11    Settlement risk                                            -              -                   -
             Securitisation exposures in banking
                                                                      942                                101
        12   book                                                                   1 097
        13    IRB Ratings-based Approach (RBA)                        942           1 097                101
              IRB Supervisory Formula Approach
                                                                        -                                     -
        14    (SFA)                                                                        -
              SA/Simplified Supervisory Formula
        15    Approach (SSFA)                                            -              -                   -
        16   Market risk                                            14 842         17 542               1 596

        17    Standardised Approach                                 2 438           2 125                262

        18  IMA                                                    12 404          15 417                1334
        19 Operational risk                                         61 345         61 345               6 595
        20  Basic Indicator Approach                                     -              -                   -
        21  Standardised Approach                                    5 044          5 044                 542
        22  AMA                                                     43 741         43 741               4 703
        24  Floor adjustment                                        12 560         12 560               1 350
           Amounts below the thresholds for
        23 deduction (subject to 250% risk weight)                  13 582         15 404               1 460
        25 Other assets (100% risk weighting)                       19 212         19 201               2 065
        26 Total                                                   508 793        509 221              54 695

       1. Total minimum required capital is measured at 10,75% in line with transitional requirements and
          excludes bank-specific Pillar 2b and D-SIB capital requirements.


       Credit RWA
       Nedbank and our London branch make up 94% of the total credit extended by the group and are on
       the AIRB Approach. The credit portfolios of Nedbank Private Wealth International and some of the
       legacy Imperial Bank portfolio in Nedbank RBB remain on TSA.


       RWA FLOW STATEMENTS OF CREDIT RISK EXPOSURES UNDER AIRB

        Rm                                                                                                 RWA
        1    RWA as at end of previous reporting period                                                  323 555
        2    Asset size                                                                                    (212)
        3    Asset quality                                                                                 1 157
        4    Model updates                                                                                      -
        5    Methodology and policy                                                                             -
        6    Acquisitions and disposals                                                                         -
        7    Foreign exchange movements                                                                      (68)
        8    Other                                                                                              -
        9    RWA as at end of reporting period                                                           324 432


       Market RWA
       Most of the group’s trading activity is managed in Nedbank CIB and is primarily focused on client
       activities and flow trading. This includes market making and the facilitation of client business in the
       foreign exchange, interest rate, equity, credit and commodity markets. There were no incremental and
       comprehensive risk capital charges.


       RISK-WEIGHTED ASSETS FLOW STATEMENT OF MARKET RISK EXPOSURES UNDER IMA
        Rm                                                               VaR     Stressed VaR        Total RWA
        1    RWA at previous quarter end                               7 803             7 614          15 417
        2    Movement in risk levels                                 (1 059)             2 992            1 933
        6    Foreign exchange movements                              (2 135)           (2 812)          (4 947)
        8    RWA at the end of reporting period                        4 610             7 794          12 404


       LIQUIDITY COVERAGE RATIO (LCR)
       In accordance with the provisions of section 6(6) of the Banks Act, 1990 (Act No. 94 of 1990), banks
       are directed to comply with the relevant LCR disclosure requirements, as set out in Directive 6/2014
       and Directive 11/2014.


       The LCR aims to ensure that a bank holds an adequate stock of unencumbered high quality liquid
       assets (HQLA) to cover total net cash outflows over a 30-day period under a prescribed stress
       scenario. Based on the final revisions announced by the Basel Committee the LCR is being phased-in
       from 60% on 1 January 2015, increasing by 10% each year to 100% on 1 January 2019.

       According to Directive 11/2014 banks should disclose the LCR based on the simple average of
       month-end data up to the first reporting period after 1 January 2017, where after the bank should as a
       minimum disclose the LCR based on the relevant simple averages of daily data. Below are the LCR
       for the group and bank based on the simple average of three month-end data points together with the
       LCR for the group and bank based on the simple average of three months of daily data.

       The difference between the average month-end LCR calculations and the average daily LCR
       calculations can largely be attributed to a business-as-usual concentration of deposits in the first few
       weeks of January each year, following the December holiday season in SA. This concentration of
       deposits results in lower LCR levels in the beginning of January and typically normalises by the end of
       January therefore resulting in the difference between the two calculations. Irrespective of which
       calculation is used it should be noted that based on the tables below the group and bank are well
       above minimum regulatory requirements.


                                                       Nedbank Group¹                  Nedbank Limited
                                                    Quarterly   Quarterly            Quarterly   Quarterly
        Liquidity Coverage Ratio                   month-end           Daily         month-end           Daily
                                                    average2         Average3         average2        Average3

        High Quality Liquid Assets (Rm)                 145 206         141 704          140 954           137 453

        Net Cash Outflows (Rm)                          133 057         144 159          125 512           136 614

        Liquidity Coverage Ratio (%)                    109,1%            98,3%           112,3%           100,6%

        Minimum requirement (%)                            80%              80%              80%              80%


       Notes:
       1. Only banking and/or deposit-taking entities are included and the group data represents an
           aggregation of the relevant individual net cash outflows and the individual HQLA portfolios, where
           surplus HQLA holdings in excess of the minimum requirement of 80% have been excluded from
           the aggregated HQLA number in the case of all non-SA banking entities.
       2. The above figures reflect the simple average of the month-end values at 31 January 2017, 28
           February 2017 and 31 March 2017, based on the regulatory submissions to SARB.
       3. The above figures reflect the simple average of daily observations over the previous quarter end
           31 March 2017 for the bank and the simple average of the month-end values at 31 January 2017,
           28 February 2017 and 31 March 2017 for all non-SA banking entities. The figures are based on the
           regulatory submissions to SARB.


       Shareholders are advised that the performance update for the period and Pillar 3 reporting have not
       been reviewed or reported on by the group’s auditors.“


       Enquiries
       External communications
       Patrick Bowes                                     +44 20 7002 7440
       Investor relations
       Dominic Lagan                                     +44 20 7002 7190
       Deward Serfontein (Fluent Investor Relations)     +27 82 810 5672

       Media
       William Baldwin-Charles                           +44 20 7002 7133
                                                         +44 7834 524833


       Sponsor:
       Merrill Lynch South Africa (Pty) Ltd

       Joint Sponsor:
       Nedbank Corporate and Investment Banking

       Notes to Editors
       Old Mutual

       Old Mutual provides investment, savings, insurance and banking services to 19.4 million customers in
       Africa, the Americas, Asia and Europe. Originating in South Africa in 1845, Old Mutual has been listed
       on the London and Johannesburg Stock Exchanges, among others, since 1999.

       Old Mutual is executing its strategy of managed separation, which will entail separating its four
       businesses into standalone entities. The four businesses are:

       Old Mutual Emerging Markets: an attractive business with a dominant position in South Africa, well-
       placed to capitalise on sub-Saharan African growth as a diversified financial services provider with
       strong operations in key East and West African markets.

       Nedbank: one of South Africa’s four largest banks with very strong corporate, commercial and
       property finance franchises, and a growth opportunity in the retail market, as well as pan-African
       optionality through its stake in Ecobank Transnational Inc (ETI).

       Old Mutual Wealth: a leading, integrated wealth management business, focused on the UK upper
       and middle market, with strong prospects in a rapidly growing £3 trillion market.

       OM Asset Management: an institutionally focussed, multi-boutique asset management business,
       delivering strong, diversified growth in attractive asset classes through organic initiatives and
       acquisitions.

       For the year ended 31 December 2016, Old Mutual reported an adjusted operating profit before tax of
       £1.7 billion and had £395 billion of funds under management. For further information on Old Mutual
       plc and the underlying businesses, please visit the corporate website at www.oldmutualplc.com


Date: 18/05/2017 08:01:00 Produced by the JSE SENS Department. The SENS service is an information dissemination service administered by the JSE Limited ('JSE'). 
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