Wrap Text
Trading update for the 12 months ended 31 March 2016
SABMiller plc
JSEALPHA CODE: SAB
ISSUER CODE: SOSAB
ISIN CODE: GB0004835483
21 April 2016
SABMiller plc Trading update
SABMiller plc today issues its trading update for the 12 months ended 31 March 2016.
Alan Clark, Chief Executive of SABMiller, said:
“We have had a strong year and increased momentum in the second half across all our regions notwithstanding
economic volatility and the potential distraction of the AB InBev offer. Our results reflect our strategy to expand
the beer category and to grow and premiumise our diverse brand portfolios.”
Q4 & full year change Q4 Full year
1
v prior
Organic, constant Group Beverage Group Group NPR Beverage Group
currency NPR volume NPR/hl change volume NPR/hl
change change change % change change
% % % % %
Latin America 8 3 5 8 5 3
Africa 12 6 6 11 6 4
Asia Pacific 4 1 2 3 (1) 4
Europe 3 3 - 2 - 2
North America 3 2 1 - (1) 1
Total 7 4 3 5 2 3
Total reported (4) 4 (8) (8) 2 (10)
1
Full year and fourth quarter information by key country is provided at the end of this announcement.
The calculation of organic growth rates excludes the impact of acquisitions and disposals. All growth rates in this
trading update are for the full year (unless otherwise indicated) over the prior year comparative period and are
quoted on an organic basis for volumes and an organic, constant currency basis for group NPR and group NPR
per hl (unless noted otherwise).
Full year and fourth quarter highlights
- Group NPR for the full year grew by 5% with volume growth of 2% and price and mix realisation of 3%. Lager
volumes grew by 1% for the full year. Our subsidiaries achieved excellent NPR and volume growth of 8%
and 5% respectively in the full year, while we have seen a relatively weaker performance in our associates
and joint ventures.
- We have seen increasing momentum in lager volumes over the year with growth of 3% in the second half and
fourth quarter. Subsidiary lager volumes grew by 6% in the second half of the year.
2
- For the full year, premium lager brand volumes grew by 6%, with good performances across many of our key
2
markets, supported by global lager brands volume growth of 9%.
- Soft drinks volumes grew by 6% for the full year and fourth quarter, with growth in Africa held back somewhat
by a more subdued performance in Latin America.
- On a reported basis, group NPR declined by 5% for the quarter and by 8% for the full year due to the adverse
translational impact on our results of the depreciation of our key operating currencies against the US dollar.
2
Both on a subsidiary basis, excluding home markets for global brands.
Latin America
Continued strong NPR growth
In Latin America, group NPR grew by 8%, underpinned by strong growth in Colombia, with beverage volume
growth of 5% supported by selective price increases and favourable brand mix. Lager volume growth momentum
improved in the year to 6% in the second half and for the full year. Soft drinks volumes were up 4%.
- In Colombia, group NPR grew by 11%, with beverage volume growth of 8%. Lager volume growth of 11%
was underpinned by our strategy to grow affordable bulk packs and the success of our sales service model.
Lager volume growth was further supported by shifts in consumer spending and unseasonably favourable
weather. Selective price increases, together with premiumisation and trading up by consumers, boosted the
topline. Aguila Light and Aguila Cero achieved double digit growth, while our mainstream brands also
delivered robust growth. Premium brands performed well, particularly Club Colombia which achieved double
digit volume growth.
- In Peru, group NPR growth of 7% reflected beverage volume growth of 4%, selective price increases and
positive mix from the continued growth of our above mainstream brand Pilsen Callao as well as our local
premium brand Cusqueña. Expansion of our direct sales distribution model and strong trade execution
supported this performance. Soft drinks volumes grew by double digits.
- In Ecuador, group NPR grew by 1% with beverage volumes down 2% as a result of softer macro-economic
conditions and enforcement of trading restrictions. Group NPR growth was aided by positive brand mix, as
consumers continued to trade up to Pilsener Light.
- In Central America, group NPR grew by 4% with beverage volume growth of 5%. Aggregate lager volume
growth of 15% in Honduras and El Salvador, driven by our affordability initiatives and direct distribution
expansion, was largely offset by a 16% volume decline in Panama, owing to a rise in excise duty in April,
increased competitor intensity and a strike in July.
Africa
Strong, well-balanced growth momentum from our subsidiaries
Africa delivered group NPR growth of 11% with beverage volume growth of 6% supported by our affordability
strategy and selective pricing. Lager volumes increased by 5% and soft drinks volumes grew by 8%.
- In South Africa, group NPR grew 10% with beverage volume growth of 6% supported by selective pricing and
positive brand mix. Lager volumes grew by 2% and premium brand volumes grew 13%, led by Castle Lite
and Castle Milk Stout. Volumes of our mainstream brands declined by 1% driven by Hansa Pilsener down
11%, partially offset by Castle Lager growth of 9%. Soft drinks volume growth of 10% in an increasingly
promotion-driven trading environment, was driven by robust growth of 17% in the second half, which
benefited from hot weather over the peak trading period.
- Our subsidiary businesses in the rest of Africa delivered group NPR growth of 17% and beverage volume
growth of 11% with lager volumes up 15% and soft drinks volumes up 12% offset by a marginal decline in
other alcoholic beverages. This strong performance was achieved in the context of increasing local currency
and economic volatility.
- In Tanzania, group NPR grew by 5%, due to beverage volume growth of 7%. Lager volume growth of 7%
was driven by our affordable brand, Eagle. Other alcoholic beverages grew by 3% driven by Chibuku
Super, partially offset by a subdued performance in wines and spirits.
- In Mozambique, a 20% increase in group NPR reflected beverage volume growth of 12%, positive pack
and category mix. Lager volume growth of 15% was led by the Impala brand, together with strong growth
in our mainstream brand 2M. Growth in the fourth quarter slowed significantly due to the deteriorating
macro-economic environment coupled with a price increase.
- Zambia’s group NPR grew by 23% with beverage volume growth of 10% driven by lager volumes up
30%, against a soft comparative, with strong growth of Castle Lite in the premium segment and Eagle in
the affordable segment.
- Nigeria continued to deliver excellent results with group NPR growth of 31%. Volume growth of 27% was
underpinned by an expanded distribution footprint supported by increased capacity together with
enhanced market execution.
- The continuing turmoil in South Sudan and the acute shortage of access to foreign exchange in the
country has significantly impacted our performance in the second half of the year. As a result, we have
now closed the brewery and are operating as an import business.
- Our associate, Castel delivered group NPR growth of 6%. Beverage volumes were down 1%, constrained by
weak economic fundamentals in some key markets, most particularly in Angola where the local currency has
depreciated substantially and there is limited access to foreign currency. Castel has undertaken a review in
Angola and is in the process of scaling back activity significantly. Excluding Angola, volumes were up mid
single digits driven by double-digit growth in the Republic of Congo, Madagascar and Burkina Faso.
Asia Pacific
Increasing volume growth momentum in the second half
In Asia Pacific, group NPR grew by 3%. The beverage volume decline of 1% was offset by group NPR per hl
growth of 4%.
- In Australia, group NPR grew by 4%. Volumes were marginally up on the prior year, with improved
momentum in the second half of the year, up 3%. NPR per hl growth of 3% was driven by price realisation
and positive brand mix. Premium segment growth was led by Great Northern in our contemporary portfolio,
together with sustained double digit growth of the Peroni and Yak franchises. Our mainstream brands Victoria
Bitter and Carlton Draught continued to decline, partially mitigated by the strong performance of Carlton Dry.
- On an underlying trading basis, excluding the reclassification referred to on the final page of this
announcement, group NPR in China grew by 4% and group NPR per hl grew by 6% which reflected the
continued roll out of one-way packaging and premiumisation. Including the reclassification, growth in group
NPR was 1%. Volumes were down 2% primarily due to tough industry and macro-economic headwinds.
Europe
Improvement in the second half of the year
Group NPR grew 2% and beverage volumes were in line with the prior year, with a 1% decline in lager volumes
offset by soft drinks volumes up 2%. Lager volume growth momentum improved during the year driven by our
subsidiaries which were up 6% in the second half of the year with growth across all of our operations, held back
by the continuing weakness in the key lager markets of our associate, Anadolu Efes.
- In the Czech Republic and Slovakia, group NPR grew by 3% with beverage volumes up 1%, notwithstanding
a challenging first quarter. The business grew strongly in the remainder of the year through continued focus
on in-market execution and supported by unseasonably mild weather. Topline growth was assisted by
continued premiumisation with Pilsner Urquell growth of 8%, which partially offset the decline in our
mainstream brand Gambrinus.
- In Poland, group NPR declined by 9%. The beverage volumes decline of 5% reflected significant competitor
activity in the first half of the year. Improved price competitiveness of our brand portfolio, particularly our lower
mainstream brand Zubr, and strengthened sales execution, have supported lager volume growth of 6% in the
second half of the year.
- In the United Kingdom, group NPR grew by 5%. Beverage volumes were up 3% with favourable brand mix a
result of the continued growth of Peroni Nastro Azzurro offsetting declines in Miller Genuine Draft and the
Polish brand portfolio.
- The remainder of our European subsidiaries increased group NPR by 7%, underpinned by beverage volume
growth of 6%. Group NPR and volume grew across all our operations, with particularly good performances in
Italy and Romania supported by good weather in the second half of the year.
- Our associate Anadolu Efes continues to be affected by economic and political instability in its key markets
which has adversely impacted the lager business.
North America
A solid fourth quarter performance improved the full year trend
Group NPR in North America was in line with the prior year, with beverage volumes down 1%. MillerCoors’
domestic sales to wholesalers (STWs) were up 1% in the fourth quarter but down 2% in the full year, although this
was offset by group NPR per hl growth of 1%.
3
US domestic sales to retailers (STRs) were down 1% in the fourth quarter on a trading day adjusted basis . Full
year STRs were down 2%.
- Premium light STRs declined low single digits although MillerCoors has gained share of the segment for the
last four consecutive quarters. Coors Light declined low single digits for the full year, with improved
performance in the fourth quarter supported by a new marketing campaign. Miller Lite growth momentum
improved in the second half to end the full year in line with prior.
- STRs in the above premium segment were marginally up, as the double digit decline in Miller Fortune was
largely offset by the successful launch of Henry’s Hard Soda in the fourth quarter. The Redd’s franchise
increased high single digits although volumes declined low single digits in the fourth quarter as the brand is
now cycling strong comparatives. Both the Blue Moon franchise and the Leinenkugel’s portfolio were up low
single digits for the full year.
- Below premium STRs declined mid single digits, with both Keystone and Milwaukee’s Best down high single
digits and Miller High Life down mid single digits.
3
On a non trading-day adjusted basis, fourth quarter STRs were in line with the prior year.
Q4 and full year change versus prior year: table by region and key country
Q4 Full year
Organic, constant Group Beverage Group Group Beverage Group
currency NPR volume NPR/hl NPR volume NPR/hl
v prior change change change change change change
% % % % % %
Latin America 8. 3. 5 .. 8. 5. 3 .
Colombia 15. 7. 7 .. 11. 8. 3 .
Peru 8. 7. 1 .. 7. 4. 3 .
Other 1. (2) 3 .. 5. 3. 1 .
Africa 12. 6. 6 .. 11. 6. 4 .
South Africa 7. 6. 1 .. 10. 6. 4 .
Rest of Africa 21. 9. 11 .. 17. 11. 5 .
(subsidiaries)
Other* 11. 1. 10 .. 5. (1) 6 .
. .
Asia Pacific (note) 4 1. 2 . 3. (1) 4 .
Australia 8. 5. 3 .. 4. -. 3 .
China* (note) (1) -. (2) . 1. (2) 3 .
Other 14. 6. 7 .. 8. 2. 6 .
Europe 3. 3. -. .. 2. -. 2 .
Czech and Slovakia 1. 2. (1) . 3. 1. 2 .
Poland (8) 5. (12) . (9) (5) (5) .
Other* 8. 3. 5. . 5. 1. 4 .
..
North America 3. 2. 1 .. -. (1) 1 .
Total (note) 7. 4. 3 .. 5 2 3 .
Note: excluding the reclassification undertaken by our associate in China (see details below)
China 4 (2) 6 .
Asia Pacific 4 (1) 5 .
Total group 6 2. 3 .
* The performance of our associates’ are based on estimated financial results which are then trued-up in subsequent months.
Note:
As highlighted in the January Trading Update, in the full year we have now recognised our share of a nine month
reclassification undertaken by our Chinese associate of certain discounts from selling expenses to group NPR in
its results for the twelve months ended 31 December 2015, without a prior period adjustment. The reclassification
is within the income statement and has no impact on profits.
ENDS
Enquiries
SABMiller plc
t: +44 20 7659 0100
Christina Mills Richard Farnsworth Gary Leibowitz
Director, Group Communications Group Media Relations Director,
and Reputation Investor Engagement
SABMiller plc SABMiller plc SABMiller plc
T +44 20 7659 0105 T +44 7734 776 317 T +44 20 7659 0119
Notes to editors
SABMiller is in the beer and soft drinks business, bringing refreshment and sociability to millions of people all over the world
who enjoy our drinks. The company does business in a way that improves livelihoods and helps build communities.
SABMiller is passionate about brewing and has a long tradition of craftsmanship, making superb beer from high quality natural
ingredients. Our local beer experts brew more than 200 beers from which a range of special regional and global brands have
been carefully selected and nurtured.
SABMiller is a FTSE-20 company, with shares trading on the London Stock Exchange, and a secondary listing on the
Johannesburg Stock Exchange. The group employs around 69,000 people in more than 80 countries, from Australia to
Zambia, Colombia to the Czech Republic, and South Africa to the USA. Every minute of every day, more than 140,000 bottles
of SABMiller beer are sold around the world.
In the year ended 31 March 2015, SABMiller sold 324 million hectolitres of lager, soft drinks and other alcoholic beverages,
generating group net producer revenue of US$26,288 million and EBITA of US$6,367 million.
This announcement is available on the company website: www.sabmiller.com
Further information is also available on:
www.sabmiller.com
www.facebook.com/sabmiller
www.twitter.com/sabmiller
www.youtube.com/sabmiller
This announcement does not constitute an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to buy or acquire securities of
SABMiller plc (the “Company”) or any of its affiliates in any jurisdiction or an inducement to enter into investment activity.
This document includes “forward-looking statements”. These statements may contain the words “anticipate”, “believe”,
“intend”, “estimate”, “expect” and words of similar meaning. All statements other than statements of historical facts included in
this announcement, including, without limitation, those regarding the Company’s financial position, business strategy, plans
and objectives of management for future operations (including development plans and objectives relating to the Company’s
products and services) are forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks,
uncertainties and other important factors that could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to
be materially different from future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking
statements. These forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding the Company’s present and
future business strategies and the environment in which the Company will operate in the future. These forward-looking
statements speak only as at the date of this announcement. The Company expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking
to disseminate any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements contained in this announcement to reflect any
change in the Company’s expectations with regard thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any
such statement is based. Any information contained in this announcement on the price at which the Company’s securities
have been bought or sold in the past, or on the yield on such securities, should not be relied upon as a guide to future
performance.
Sponsor: J.P. Morgan Equities South Africa (Pty) Ltd
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