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BRAIT SE - Net asset value (NAV) update for the third quarter ended 31 December 2015 (Q3 FY2016)

Release Date: 10/02/2016 08:00
Code(s): BAT     PDF:  
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Net asset value (“NAV”) update for the third quarter ended 31 December 2015 (Q3 FY2016)

Brait SE
(Registered in Malta as a European Company)
(Registration No.SE1)
Share code: BAT ISIN: LU0011857645
Bond Code: WKN: A1Z6XC ISIN: XS1292954812
("Brait", "the Company")

NET ASSET VALUE ("NAV") UPDATE FOR THE THIRD QUARTER ENDED 31
DECEMBER 2015 (Q3 FY2016)

Shareholders of the Company are advised that:

- NAV per share increased by 10.4% to ZAR136.34 for the quarter
  ended 31 December 2015 (30 September 2015: ZAR123.50 per
  share).
- NAV per share of ZAR136.34 reflects an increase of 120.1% for
  the twelve months ended 31 December 2015 (31 December 2014:
  ZAR61.96 per share) and a three-year CAGR to 31 December 2015
  of 76.7%.
- Inclusive of the ordinary share dividends paid to date, the
  three-year CAGR to 31 December 2015 is 77.0%.
- Valuation multiples for Brait’s investments remain unchanged.
- New Look has traded well in its third quarter ended 26
  December 2015 and the company continues to execute well on
  its strategic initiatives. Revenue and EBITDA (in GBP) from
  continuing operations are up 5.6% and 6.4% year to date
  ("YTD") on the comparative period respectively. New Look
  brand like-for-like sales are +4.5% YTD, driven by strong
  product ranges and the benefit of the Concept store
  refurbishment programme, which has now been rolled out to 422
  stores. Additional delivery options and improved
  functionality have driven Own Website sales growth of 34.7%
  YTD. Third Party E-commerce sales increased by 32.7% YTD,
  predominantly attributable to the growth in volume of
  business with key partnerships. UK Womenswear market share
  has increased by 0.3% to 6.3%. Expansion continues in China
  with over 80 stores now open (30 September 2015: 52 stores)
  and on track to have 85 by 31 March 2016. During the third
  quarter, two more standalone Menswear stores were opened in
  the UK. The four standalone Menswear stores now in operation
  continue to exceed expectations, with a further 20 standalone
  Menswear stores planned for FY2017. The group’s total estate
  closed the third quarter at 862 stores. Cash flow generation
  remains strong. New Look is valued at the reporting date
  using an EV/EBITDA multiple of 13.3x, which represents a
  discount of 12% (30 September 2015: 10% discount) to its peer
  group’s three year trailing average multiple of 15.0x.
  Applying the closing GBP/ZAR exchange rate of ZAR22.80, New
  Look’s carrying value has increased by 14% for the quarter to
  ZAR36.8 billion, which represents 47% of Brait’s total
  assets.
- Virgin Active has traded well through to 31 December 2015 on
  a constant currency basis and it continues to generate strong
  cash flows. Club openings are ahead of target and with a
  number of exciting growth opportunities in Africa and Asia
  Pacific in particular, Virgin Active is strategically on
  plan. Virgin Active is valued at the reporting date using an
  EV/EBITDA multiple of 10.8x, which represents a discount of
  20% (30 September 2015: 20% discount) to its peer group’s
  three year trailing average multiple of 13.5x. Applying the
  closing GBP/ZAR exchange rate of ZAR22.80, Virgin Active’s
  carrying value has increased by 12% for the quarter to
  ZAR18.2 billion, which represents 23% of Brait’s total
  assets.
- Premier traded well during the quarter and has recorded a
  pleasing set of half year results, which include the
  contribution from Premier’s Mozambique subsidiary (CIM)
  acquired with effect from 1 July 2015. Revenue was up 21% YTD
  on the comparative period in a difficult macro-economic
  climate. Sales prices and margins were well managed with
  EBITDA growing by 27% YTD. The new Blue Ribbon packaging
  launch in November 2015 and marketing campaign have been well
  received by the market. Bread volumes for the six months to
  December 2015 have grown 5.5% on the comparative period. The
  Milling division has experienced a difficult market
  environment as a result of significant increases in grain
  prices due to the severe drought, depreciation of the Rand
  and the effect of wheat import tariffs. Premier has
  contracted local supply of its required maize volumes beyond
  2016 to mitigate the risk of white maize shortages given the
  crop outlook. Premier entered the drinking maize (Mageu)
  category using its Iwisa brand in October 2015. The product
  was launched mainly in retail and convenience stores. The
  Groceries division has performed well with Confectionary
  enjoying strong growth, enhanced by the listing of 17 new
  products. Premier’s most recent acquisition, CIM, has been
  successfully integrated and recorded strong results for the
  half year. Brait increased its shareholding in Premier to
  91.1% (30 September 2015: 90.3%) through the exercise of put
  and call option agreements. Premier is valued at the
  reporting date using an EV/EBITDA multiple of 12.6x, which
  represents a discount of 2% (30 September 2015: 0% discount)
  to its peer group’s three year trailing average multiple of
  12.8x. Premier’s carrying value has increased by 5.8% for the
  quarter to ZAR10.4 billion, which represents 13% of Brait’s
  total assets.
- Iceland Foods continues to pursue a strategy designed to
  differentiate its business and stabilize financial
  performance, within what remains a deflationary and intensely
  competitive market place. Key areas of focus have been the
  launch of many new ranges of premium quality frozen
  ingredients and prepared foods, the development of its
  exclusive Slimming World range into one of the UK’s leading
  frozen brands and an upgrade and reposition of its fresh
  produce offer. The roll-out of the successful Food Warehouse
  store format continues and Iceland has improved its own brand
  packaging and in-store point of sale presentation across its
  whole estate. These initiatives have helped strengthen gross
  profit and stabilize EBITDA despite the continued impact of
  negative like-for-like sales. Sales (in GBP) for the 40 weeks
  ended 1 January 2016 decreased by 0.8% on the comparative
  period, with like-for-like sales down 2.7% in a market
  experiencing food deflation. The EBITDA margin of 5.2% is in
  line with the comparative period. The group added a net six
  stores year to date in the UK, including five Food Warehouse
  stores. At period end the group had a total of 881 stores,
  which includes 11 Food Warehouse stores. Free cash flow
  generation, post capital expenditure, remains strong at 83%
  of EBITDA. As communicated on 19 November 2015, Brait
  increased its shareholding in Iceland Foods from 18.7% to
  57.1%, at a cost of GBP173.8 million. This increase in
  shareholding is the main reason for the 220% increase in ZAR
  carrying value for the quarter. Iceland Foods is valued at
  the reporting date using an EV/EBITDA multiple of 8.0x, which
  represents a discount of 20% (30 September 2015: 19%
  discount) to its peer group’s three year trailing average
  multiple of 10.0x. Applying the closing GBP/ZAR exchange rate
  of ZAR22.80, Iceland Foods’ carrying value is ZAR5.9 billion,
  which represents 7% of Brait’s total assets.
- In addition to the strong operational performance across the
  portfolio, the ZAR carrying values for Brait’s GBP
  denominated investments have benefitted from the GBP
  strengthening against the ZAR.
- Brait’s Loan Receivable was repaid by Fleet Holdings Limited
  ("Fleet") on 30 November 2015, following Fleet’s refinance of
  the ZAR612 million owed to Brait.
- The decrease in Brait’s cash during the quarter is largely
  attributable to the acquisition of the further 38.4% of
  Iceland Foods for GBP173.8 million.
- The increase in the ZAR carrying value of Brait’s GBP
  denominated Convertible Bond is largely attributable to the
  GBP strengthening against the ZAR.
- The decrease in the number of issued ordinary shares is a
  result of treasury share purchases during the quarter.
- Post balance sheet event: As reported to the market on 19
  January 2016, Brait redeemed all of its 20 million issued
  preference shares at their deemed issue price of R100 per
  share on 18 January 2016 as well as paying the accrued
  dividend to this date. The preference shares were
  subsequently delisted.
- Brait continues to explore alternative sources of funding to
  enhance flexibility and efficiency.

Brait NAV Analysis:
                                  31-Dec-15   30-Sep-15     31-Dec-14
                                        R'm         R'm           R’m
Investments                          72,834      61,898        32,869
New Look                             36,789      32,371             -
Virgin Active                        18,191      16,298             -
Premier                              10,371       9,804         4,123
Iceland Foods                         5,856       1,829           999
Pepkor                                    -           -        25,732
Other investments                     1,627       1,596         2,015

Loan receivable                           -         602           561
Cash and cash equivalents             6,204       9,618           879
Accounts receivable                      12          13            23

Total Assets                         79,050      72,131        34,332

Borrowings                                -           -         (705)
Convertible bond                    (7,078)     (6,466)             -
Accounts payable                      (120)       (152)          (33)

Total liabilities                   (7,198)     (6,618)         (738)

Preference share equity             (1,964)     (1,964)       (1,964)

Net Asset Value                      69,888      63,549        31,630

Number of issued shares ('mil)
excluding treasury shares             512.6       514.6         510.5

Net asset value per share (ZAR)      136.34      123.50         61.96

The financial information on which this announcement is based has
not been reviewed and reported on by the Company’s external
auditors. The respective New Look and Iceland Foods Q3 FY2016 bond
investor presentations are available at www.brait.com


Malta
10 February 2016

Brait’s primary listing is on the Euro MTF market of the
Luxembourg Stock Exchange and its secondary listing is on the
Johannesburg Stock Exchange.

Sponsor
RAND MERCHANT BANK (A division of FirstRand Bank Limited)

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