Wrap Text
Nedbank Group – Third Quarter 2015 Trading Update
OLD MUTUAL PLC
ISIN CODE: GB00B77J0862
JSE SHARE CODE: OML
NSX SHARE CODE: OLM
ISSUER CODE: OLOML
Old Mutual plc
Ref 736/15
2 November 2015
NEDBANK GROUP – THIRD QUARTER 2015 TRADING UPDATE
Nedbank Group Limited (“Nedbank Group”), the majority-owned South African banking subsidiary of
Old Mutual plc, released its third quarter trading update today, 2 November 2015.
The following is the full text of Nedbank Group's announcement:
“NEDBANK GROUP – THIRD QUARTER 2015 TRADING UPDATE
“Nedbank Group delivered a resilient performance for the nine months, despite the weaker than
expected economic environments and volatile market conditions in South Africa and in the rest of
Africa.
Our expectation of organic growth in diluted headline earnings per share in 2015 to be above nominal
GDP growth remains unchanged.”
Mike Brown
Chief Executive
OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE
Net interest income for the nine months ended 30 September 2015 (“the period”) increased 3,7% to
R17 681m (Q3 2014: R17 043m), supported by annualised growth in average interest-earning
banking assets of 10,4% (Q3 2014: 9,9%), including an increased proportion of high quality liquid
assets held for Basel III liquidity coverage ratio requirements.
The net interest margin narrowed to 3,32% (Q3 2014: 3,53% and June 2015: 3,36%) as the benefits
of endowment income and improved pricing in certain advances categories were offset by asset mix
changes, increased levels of high-quality liquid assets and a higher cost of funding, inclusive of the
funding cost of our investment in ETI.
The credit loss ratio (CLR) remained below our through-the-cycle target range at 0,76% (Q3 2014:
0,77%). The retail portfolio continued to benefit from selective origination, prudent credit granting
criteria and good collections in home loans and personal loans. In wholesale banking, portfolio and
specific provisions were further strengthened, driven by pressure in the commodity sectors, offset in
part by some recoveries in commercial property finance.
Non-interest revenue (NIR) increased 7,6% to R15 614m (Q3 2014: R14 509m) due to:
- Commission and fee income growth of 6,3% underpinned by continued net gains in transactional
banking clients, improved cross-sell and growing contributions from our digital banking products.
Growth was negatively impacted by ongoing lower card interchange rates;
- Trading income growth of 23,6% driven by good performance in our client-led Markets business;
- Insurance income reducing by 2,1% following lower personal loan volumes, partially offset by a
lower short-term claims experience; and
- Private equity and sundry income decreasing 16,6% from lower mark-to-market valuations in the
investment portfolios.
We continue to equity account our share of approximately 20% of Ecobank Transnational
Incorporated’s (ETI) attributable income as associate income, one quarter in arrears, using ETI’s
publicly disclosed results.
Total advances increased 10,4% (annualised) to R660,8bn, largely due to growth in banking
advances of 9,0%. Deposits increased 11,3% (annualised) to R708,5bn.
Our balance sheet metrics remain strong. Following organic earnings growth and the payment of the
interim dividend in September 2015, the group’s capital ratios are:
Nedbank Group Q3 2015 June 2015 Internal target Regulatory
range minimum¹
Common-equity 11,1% 11,4% 10,5% – 12,5% 6,5%
tier 1 capital ratio
Tier 1 capital ratio 11,8% 12,1% 11,5% – 13,0% 8,0%
Total capital ratio 14,0% 14,5% 14,0% – 15,0% 10,0%
(Ratios include unappropriated profits.)
1. The Basel III regulatory minima are being phased in between 2013 and 2019, and exclude Pillar 2B add-ons.
The group’s quarterly average liquidity coverage ratio of 82,3% (June 2015: 76,3%) remains well in
excess of the minimum regulatory requirement of 60% for 2015 and 70% for 2016.
2015 PROSPECTS
The group has revised its forecast for gross domestic product (GDP) growth for 2015 downwards from
2,0% to 1,4%. Interest rates are currently forecast to increase by a further 25 basis points in
November 2015, resulting in a cumulative 50 basis point increase for 2015.
In view of the economic headwinds and increasing interest rate cycle, consumer credit demand will
remain subdued while credit growth in the wholesale sector is expected to remain at current levels.
Retail impairments are expected to remain benign while wholesale impairments are likely to be more
volatile in South Africa and in the rest of Africa.
Our financial guidance for organic growth in DHEPS in 2015 to be greater than nominal GDP growth
remains unchanged as communicated at the 2015 interim results presentation.
Shareholders are advised that the forecasts and figures stated in this trading update have not been
reviewed or reported on by the group’s auditors.
BOARD CHANGES
During the period the boards of Nedbank Group and Nedbank Limited announced the following:
- The appointment of Stanley Subramoney as an independent non-executive director of Nedbank
Group and Nedbank with effect from 23 September 2015; and
- The retirement of Julian Roberts as a non-executive director on 31 October 2015 following his
retirement from Old Mutual plc.
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT
This announcement contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to the financial condition
and results of operations of Nedbank Group and its group companies, which by their nature involve
risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may occur in
the future. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking
statements include, but are not limited to, global, national and regional economic conditions, levels of
securities markets, interest rates, credit or other risks of lending and investment activities, together
with competitive and regulatory factors.
Sandton
2 November 2015”
Enquiries
External communications
Patrick Bowes UK +44 20 7002 7440
Investor relations
Dominic Lagan UK +44 20 7002 7190
Sizwe Ndlovu SA +27 11 217 1163
Media
William Baldwin-Charles +44 20 7002 7133
+44 7834 524833
Lead Sponsor to Old Mutual:
Merrill Lynch South Africa (Pty) Limited
Joint Sponsor to Old Mutual:
Nedbank Capital
Notes to Editors
Old Mutual provides investment, savings, insurance and banking services to more than 17 million customers in
Africa, the Americas, Asia and Europe. Originating in South Africa in 1845, Old Mutual has been listed on the
London and Johannesburg Stock Exchanges, among others, since 1999.
In the year ended 31 December 2014, the Group reported adjusted operating profit before tax of £1.6 billion (on
an IFRS basis) and had £319 billion of funds under management from core operations.
For further information on Old Mutual plc, please visit the corporate website at www.oldmutual.com
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