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SABMILLER PLC - Trading update

Release Date: 06/10/2015 08:00
Code(s): SAB     PDF:  
Wrap Text
Trading update

SABMiller plc
JSEALPHA CODE: SAB
ISSUER CODE: SOSAB
ISIN CODE: GB0004835483


SABMiller plc Trading update

6 October 2015


As announced on 16 September 2015, SABMiller is in an Offer Period as defined by the UK Takeover
Code. In order to ensure the timely release of trading information to the market during the Offer
Period, SABMiller has brought forward the release of the trading update for the six months ended 30
September 2015.


Alan Clark, Chief Executive of SABMiller, said:

“Growth accelerated in the second quarter of the year, underpinned by our unmatched footprint in the
growing beer markets of the world. We continued to drive strong growth in Africa and Latin America,
applying our deep local expertise to markets with favourable long term structural growth dynamics.
Particular highlights were our very strong lager volume growth in these regions, together with double
digit net producer revenue(1) growth in the second quarter in Africa.

“In parallel, our successful premiumisation and mix strategies are generating NPR per hectolitre
growth across all our regions. While adverse currency movements have materially impacted our
reported results, we have a strong business with exceptional long term prospects. Our strategic
priority of driving superior top line growth through strengthening our brand portfolios and expanding
the beer category is showing clear results.”


                                            Q2                                                H1
Q2 & H1 change               Group        Beverage             Group          Group         Beverage            Group
Organic, constant              NPR          volume            NPR/hl            NPR           volume           NPR/hl
                                   *                                               *
currency v. prior           change          change            change         change           change           change
                                 %               %                %               %                %               %
Latin America                    9               7                2                8                6              2
Africa                          11               6                5                9                5              4
Asia Pacific                     4              (3)               7                4               (3)             7
Europe                           3               -                3                -               (3)             3
North America                   (2)             (3)               2               (1)              (2)             2
Total                              6               2                4                 4               1              4

*
 On a reported basis, group NPR declined by 9% for both the half and the second quarter due to the
translational impact on our results of continued depreciation of our key operating currencies against
the US dollar.

First half and second quarter information by key country is provided at the end of this announcement.



1) Group net producer revenue (NPR) comprises revenue less excise duties and other similar taxes, together with the group’s
share of revenue less excise duties and other similar taxes from associates and joint ventures
The calculation of organic growth rates excludes the impact of acquisitions and disposals. All growth
rates in this trading update are for the half year (or the second quarter when indicated) over the prior
year comparative period and are quoted on an organic basis for volumes and an organic, constant
currency basis for group NPR and group NPR per hl (unless noted otherwise).


Key highlights

-      Group NPR grew by 4% based on volume growth of 1% and price and mix realisation of 4%.
       Growth accelerated in the second quarter with group NPR and beverage volume growth of 6%
       and 2% respectively for that period. Continued depreciation of our key operating currencies
       against the US dollar has continued to have an adverse translational impact on reported
       performance with reported group NPR declining by 9% for both the half and the second quarter.

-      In aggregate, Africa and Latin America produced very strong and accelerating growth with
       beverage volumes up 5%, lager volumes up 5% and group NPR up 9%, facilitated by our strategy
       to build on underlying market growth momentum and supported by a continued focus on building
       growth across the price ladder from affordable to premium brands.

-      Solid relative performances in the USA, Australia and parts of Europe were delivered against a
       backdrop of challenging market conditions, and reflected good price realisation, innovation and
       positive premium segment growth. Performance in Poland was weak, due to continued adverse
       competitor price positioning.

-      Subsidiary lager volumes grew by 3% supported by second quarter growth of 5%. Slower volume
       growth by our associates due to tough macro economic and trading conditions in some of their
       markets resulted in overall group lager volumes for the half being in line with the prior year, with
       growth of 1% in the second quarter

-      We achieved premium lager brands volume growth(2) of 4% driven by strong performance in many
                                                                              2
       of our key markets, and supported by global lager brands volume growth of 10% reflecting
       growth across all regions.

-      Soft drinks volumes were up 4%, with good performances across both Latin America and Africa.


Latin America

Continued high single digit growth driven by a twin focus on mainstream affordability and
premiumisation

In Latin America, we have delivered accelerated lager volume growth, based on our long term
initiatives to expand our brand and pack portfolios and target a broader range of consumption
occasions. Group NPR grew by 8%, with beverage volume growth of 6% and selective price
increases and favourable brand mix. Lager volumes grew 5% with premium segment growth of 6%.
Soft drinks volumes increased by 7%. Growth accelerated in the second quarter, with group NPR
growth of 9% and beverage volume growth of 7%, supported by lager volume growth of 6%.

-      In Colombia, group NPR grew by 10% with beverage volumes up 9%. Strong lager volume growth
       of 9% was supported by our affordability strategy and the continued momentum of our above
       mainstream brands Aguila Light and the recently launched alcohol-free Aguila Cero, together with
       our mainstream brand Poker. The premium portfolio grew by over 20%, with Miller Lite and our
       local premium brand, Club Colombia, leading this strong performance.


2)Both on a subsidiary basis, excluding home market for global brands

-   In Peru, group NPR grew by 8% based on beverage volume growth of 4%, selective price
    increases and positive mix due to continued growth of mainstream Pilsen Callao and our local
    premium brand Cusqueña. Continued expansion of direct store distribution supported
    performance.

-   In Ecuador, group NPR grew by 3%, cycling a strong comparative period. Group NPR growth was
    driven by positive brand mix as consumers continued to trade up to Pilsener Light. Beverage
    volumes were only up 1%, reflecting a difficult trading environment and macro-economic
    downturn.

-   In Central America, group NPR grew by 3% with beverage volume growth of 5% led by soft drinks
    volumes growth of 7%. In aggregate, Honduras and El Salvador grew NPR and lager volumes by
    10% and 14% respectively, as a result of our affordability initiatives and outlet expansion. In
    Panama, lager volumes declined by 19% due to a combination of an excise-driven price increase
    in April and an 18 day strike in July.


Africa

Continued strong, well-balanced growth momentum in Africa across all price segments

Group NPR in Africa grew 9% due to beverage volume growth of 5%, positive category mix and
selective pricing. Lager volumes grew by 6% and soft drinks volumes increased by 5%. As with Latin
America, growth accelerated in the second quarter with group NPR growth of 11% and beverage
volume growth of 6%, with lager volume growth of 8%.

-   In South Africa, group NPR growth of 7% reflected positive category mix, premiumisation, and
    selective price increases on key lager brands and packs while lager volumes grew 3%. This is the
    fourth consecutive quarter of lager volume growth despite a weak economic environment and
    electricity shortages, supported by successful innovation and premium brand growth. While our
    mainstream brand segment was in line with the prior year, our premium lager brands continued to
    grow strongly with volumes increasing by 13%, led by Castle Lite. Soft drinks volumes grew by
    2% cycling a strong comparative period.

-   In the rest of Africa, our subsidiary businesses delivered the fourth consecutive quarter of lager
    volume growth in excess of 5%, with further acceleration in the half year to 16%, resulting in
    group NPR growth of 14%. We are seeing significant success in the execution of our strategies
    through our continued focus on more affordable beers, mainstream price moderation, and
    improved sales execution, complemented by steady progress in premiumisation. In Tanzania,
    group NPR growth of 5% was delivered through a 5% increase in beverage volumes following a
    strong recovery in lager volumes in the second quarter and strong growth in traditional beer.
    Group NPR in Mozambique grew by 20% underpinned by robust volume growth of 19%, driven by
    our mainstream brand 2M and our more affordable, cassava-based, Impala brand. Despite severe
    economic headwinds, Zambia grew strongly, with group NPR up 9% and beverage volumes up
    5%. In Nigeria, strong momentum was maintained with group NPR growth of 30%, underpinned
    by a double digit volume increase as additional brewing capacity came on stream and we
    increased market penetration. Continued economic weakness in Zimbabwe led to our associate’s
    group NPR declining 6% with beverage volumes declining by 11%.

-   Our associate Castel delivered double digit group NPR growth, although beverage volume growth
    was constrained by challenging macro economic conditions in some of its key markets,
    particularly in Angola.


Asia Pacific

Group NPR per hl growth, underpinned by premiumisation, more than offset the volume
decline

Asia Pacific group NPR grew by 4% with volume down 3% and group NPR per hl up 7%.

-   In Australia, group NPR grew 2% with group NPR per hl growth of 4% offsetting a beverage
    volume decline of 3%. Lager volumes declined by 2% in the half, in a declining market, adversely
    impacted by the timing of Easter trading. The volume trend improved in the second quarter, with
    lager volumes in line with the prior year while also maintaining positive price realisation. Group
    NPR per hl growth was supported by positive brand mix with continued momentum in the
    premium and contemporary segments, led by Great Northern, Peroni and our craft brands. Our
    mainstream brands, Victoria Bitter and Carlton Draught, declined.

-   In China, group NPR grew 5% as group NPR per hl growth of 8% offset a3% beverage volume
    decline, primarily due to macro economic headwinds although CR Snow has outperformed the
    market over the year to date. Group NPR per hl growth was mainly due to the continuing
    premiumisation of the portfolio and an increase in one-way packaging volumes. The premium
    variant, Snow Brave the World, has grown to over 20% of CR Snow’s total volume since its
    launch in 2008, and over 25% of its NPR, with continued double digit volume growth.


Europe

Group NPR growth in the second quarter assisted by good weather and stronger mix but
offset by weak performance in Poland

Group NPR in the first half was in line with the prior year. Group NPR per hl growth of 3% reflected
improvements in the majority of our markets, while beverage volumes declined by 3% and lager
volumes declined by 5% driven by sustained competitive pricing pressure in Poland and underlying
weakness in the key markets of our associate, Anadolu Efes. Following a first quarter that was
adversely impacted by the timing of Easter and the major IT deployment in the Czech Republic and
Slovakia, trends improved in the second quarter, with lager volumes down just 1%. Excluding Poland,
Europe showed encouraging momentum with group NPR growth of 3% and beverage volume in line
with the prior year in what remains a challenging operating environment.

-   In the Czech Republic and Slovakia, group NPR increased by 2% largely as a result of group
    NPR per hl growth from positive brand mix reflecting growth across our premium portfolio.
    Beverage volumes were down 1%, rebounding strongly to grow by 6% in the second quarter
    following a challenging first quarter.

-   In Poland, group NPR declined by 14%, with volumes down 12% reflecting the adverse price
    positioning of competitor brands relative to our own. During the second quarter a number of sales,
    brand portfolio and operational initiatives were launched to restore the competitiveness of the
    business.

-   In the United Kingdom, group NPR was in line with the prior year as the continued growth of
    Peroni Nastro Azzurro was offset by declines in the Polish brand portfolio.

-   The remainder of our European subsidiaries increased group NPR by 6%, with good
    performances in most markets.
-      Our associate Anadolu Efes continues to be affected by the beer market decline in Russia,
       geopolitical uncertainty in Ukraine, and the economic slowdown in Turkey, which have adversely
       impacted both the soft drinks and beer businesses.


North America

Increased net pricing and positive sales mix continued to partly offset soft overall volumes

In North America, group NPR declined by 1%, reflecting MillerCoors’ performance. MillerCoors
continued to make progress in its strategy to evolve its portfolio mix towards the above premium
market segments, while strengthening its performance in the premium light segment. The above
premium portfolio represents approximately 15% of MillerCoors’ domestic(3) NPR, up from 9% for the
year ended 31 March 2011, driven by successful innovations, led by the Redd’s franchise, and the
growth of MillerCoors’ above premium brands Blue Moon and Leinenkugel’s.

-      Growth in MillerCoors’ group NPR per hl of 1% for the half year, driven by net pricing and positive
       sales mix , was offset by lower volumes. Domestic sales to wholesalers (STWs) were down 3% in
       the half year and by 5% in the second quarter.

-      US domestic sales to retailers (STRs) declined by an estimated 3% for the half year and by an
       estimated 2% in the second quarter. The STR decline was mainly due to the below premium
       portfolio with high single digit declines in Keystone and Milwaukee’s Best, together with a mid
       single digit decline in Miller High Life.

-      Despite strong performance within the segment, premium light STRs declined low single digits in
       the half year, with low single digit declines in both Coors Light and Miller Lite. Miller Lite grew low
       single digits during the quarter and has gained share of the largest industry segment, the
       premium light segment, for the last four consecutive quarters reflecting the renewed strength of
       the brand.

-      Above premium STRs for the half were estimated to be in line with the prior year, primarily due to
       the double digit decline in Miller Fortune as the brand has been deprioritised. This was offset by
       double digit growth in the Redd’s franchise, now in its third year of growth, and mid single digit
       growth in both the Blue Moon franchise and the Leinenkugel’s portfolio.




3)Excluding contract manufacturing and MillerCoors’ company owned distributor sales


Q2 and H1 change versus prior year: table by region and key country

                                                Q2                                     H1
                                 Group NPR    Beverage       Group      Group NPR   Beverage        Group
Organic, constant currency          change      volume      NPR/hl         change     volume       NPR/hl
v prior                                  %      change      change              %     change       change
                                                     %           %                         %            %
Latin America                            9             7          2            8              6           2
 Colombia                                9             9          1           10              9           1
 Peru                                   12             6          6            8              4           4
 Other                                   6             5          1            5              4           1

Africa                                  11            6           5            9             5            4
 South Africa                            9            4           5            7             3            4
 Rest of Africa (subsidiaries)          16           15           1           14            12            1
 Other                                  11            1          10            8             1            8

Asia Pacific                             4            (3)         7            4             (3)          7
 China                                   5            (2)         7            5             (3)          8
 Australia                               5             -          5            2             (3)          4
 Other                                  (4)          (12)         9            6              -           6

Europe                                   3             -           3           -             (3)           3
 Poland                                (11)           (9)         (1)        (14)           (12)          (2)
 Czech and Slovakia                     10             6           4           2             (1)           3
 Other                                   6             2           4           4              -            4

North America                           (2)           (3)         2           (1)            (2)          2
Total                                    6             2          4            4              1           4



ENDS

Notes to editors
SABMiller is in the beer and soft drinks business, bringing refreshment and sociability to millions of
people all over the world who enjoy our drinks. The company does business in a way that improves
livelihoods and helps build communities.

SABMiller is passionate about brewing and has a long tradition of craftsmanship, making superb beer
from high quality natural ingredients. Our local beer experts brew more than 200 beers from which a
range of special regional and global brands have been carefully selected and nurtured.

SABMiller is a FTSE-20 company, with shares trading on the London Stock Exchange, and a
secondary listing on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange. The group employs around 69,000 people in
more than 80 countries, from Australia to Zambia, Colombia to the Czech Republic, and South Africa
to the USA. Every minute of every day, more than 140,000 bottles of SABMiller beer are sold around
the world.

In the year ended 31 March 2015, SABMiller sold 324 million hectolitres of lager, soft drinks and other
alcoholic beverages, generating group net producer revenue of US$26,288 million and EBITA of
US$6,367 million.
This announcement is available on the company website: www.sabmiller.com

Further information is also available on:
www.sabmiller.com
www.facebook.com/sabmiller
www.twitter.com/sabmiller
www.youtube.com/sabmiller


Enquiries
SABMiller plc
t: +44 20 7659 0100

Christina Mills                         George Hudson                       Gary Leibowitz
Director, Group Communications          Business Media Relations            Director,
and Reputation                          Manager                             Investor Engagement
SABMiller plc                           SABMiller plc                       SABMiller plc
T +44 20 7659 0105                      T +44 7810 654 619                  T +44 20 7659 0119


Sponsor: J.P. Morgan Equities South Africa (Pty) Ltd

This announcement does not constitute an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to buy or
acquire securities of SABMiller plc (the “Company”) or any of its affiliates in any jurisdiction or an
inducement to enter into investment activity.

This document includes “forward-looking statements”. These statements may contain the words
“anticipate”, “believe”, “intend”, “estimate”, “expect” and words of similar meaning. All statements other
than statements of historical facts included in this announcement, including, without limitation, those
regarding the Company’s financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management
for future operations (including development plans and objectives relating to the Company’s products
and services) are forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements involve known and
unknown risks, uncertainties and other important factors that could cause the actual results,
performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from future results,
performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. These
forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding the Company’s present
and future business strategies and the environment in which the Company will operate in the future.
These forward-looking statements speak only as at the date of this announcement. The Company
expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to disseminate any updates or revisions to any
forward-looking statements contained in this announcement to reflect any change in the Company’s
expectations with regard thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any
such statement is based. Any information contained in this announcement on the price at which the
Company’s securities have been bought or sold in the past, or on the yield on such securities, should
not be relied upon as a guide to future performance.

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