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ILLOVO SUGAR LIMITED ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING - CHAIRMAN'S STATEMENT

Release Date: 02/02/2000 11:00
Code(s): ILV
Wrap Text
ILLOVO SUGAR LIMITED
ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
CHAIRMAN'S ADDRESS - ROBBIE WILLIAMS

I WELCOME THE OPPORTUNITY PROVIDED BY THIS SHAREHOLDER'S MEETING TO GIVE YOU AN UPDATE ON THE GROUP'S OPERATIONS.
IN SOUTH AFRICA THE CURRENT 1999/2000 SEASON'S PRODUCTION OF 1 169 000 TONS OF SUGAR WAS IN LINE WITH FORECASTS AND REPRESENTS THE SECOND HIGHEST SEASONAL OUTPUT EVER ACHIEVED BY ILLOVO. THE FACTORIES OPERATED STEADILY DURING THE SEASON WITH ENCOURAGING IMPROVEMENTS IN MILL PERFORMANCE BEING ACHIEVED. THE MAJORITY OF THE OPERATIONS RECORDED IMPROVED SUGAR RECOVERIES AND TIME EFFICIENCIES. AT BOTH PONGOLA AND UMFOLOZI RECORD PRODUCTION LEVELS WERE ACHIEVED. THE FURFURAL AND DIACETYL PLANTS CONTINUED TO PERFORM WELL WITH THE FURFURAL PLANT ACHIEVING A 7% IMPROVEMENT IN AVERAGE WEEKLY PRODUCTION OUTPUT OVER LAST SEASON. THE LACTULOSE PLANT AT MEREBANK AND THE GLENDALE DISTILLERY BOTH CONTINUE TO PERFORM WELL AND OUTPUT IS AHEAD OF FORECASTS. THE MEREBANK DISTILLERY, FOLLOWING THE RECENT CAPACITY EXPANSION, IS NOT YET ACHIEVING DESIGN OBJECTIVES.
THE SUMMER RAINS ARRIVED LATE BUT SINCE THEN WE HAVE RECEIVED EXCELLENT FALLS CONSIDERABLY BETTER THAN THE LONG TERM MEAN, AND NEXT SEASON'S SUGAR PRODUCTION IS PREDICTED TO BE SIMILAR TO THAT ACHIEVED IN THE CURRENT YEAR.
WORLD SUGAR AND FURFURAL PRICES HAVE CONTINUED TO BE AT LOW LEVELS WITH THE WORLD RAW SUGAR PRICE CURRENTLY AT US$120 PER TON. THE ACTIVITIES OF BRAZIL AND THAILAND ON THE SUPPLY SIDE AND RUSSIA AND CHINA ON THE DEMAND SIDE ARE BEING WATCHED CLOSELY AS THE WORLD SUGAR PRICE IS UNLIKELY TO RECOVER
SIGNIFICANTLY UNTIL A BETTER MARKET EQUILIBRIUM IS ACHIEVED.
IN MALAWI EFFORTS TO EXTEND THE MILLING SEASON TO OFFSET THE LATE START WERE THWARTED BY THE ONSET OF HEAVY SUMMER RAINS, WHICH BEGAN TO FALL IN MID DECEMBER. AS A RESULT, APPROXIMATELY 200 000 TONS OF CANE WILL BE CARRIED OVER TO NEXT SEASON AND SUGAR PRODUCTION OF 187 000 TONS WAS 20 000 TONS LESS THAN FORECAST. DOMESTIC SUGAR DEMAND HAS BEEN WEAK, IN LINE WITH LOCAL ECONOMIC CONDITIONS, AND INCENTIVE PROMOTIONS HAVE REDUCED MARGINS. OUR CANE SUPPLY AREAS HAVE ENJOYED FAVOURABLE GROWING CONDITIONS AND WE EXPECT A BUMPER CROP NEXT YEAR. THE FACTORY EXPANSION AT NCHALO IS PROGRESSING WELL AND IS PLANNED TO BE COMMISSIONED IN TIME FOR THE NEW SEASON. NEXT SEASON'S SUGAR PRODUCTION IN MALAWI IS FORECAST TO BE 240 000 TONS WHICH REPRESENTS A TWELVE AND A HALF PERCENT INCREASE OVER THE PREVIOUS RECORD.
THE UBOMBO MILL IN SWAZILAND HAS PERFORMED VERY WELL DURING THE CURRENT YEAR FOLLOWING THE COMPLETION OF AN EXPANSION PROGRAMME. SUGAR PRODUCTION FOR THE 1999/2000 SEASON OF 208 500 TONS IS 24 500 TONS GREATER THAN PREVIOUSLY ACHIEVED WHILST CANE PRODUCTION INCREASED BY 95 000 TONS. GOOD SUMMER RAINS, HOWEVER, DID CAUSE DISRUPTIONS TO FACTORY AND FIELD OPERATIONS AND EXTENDED THE SEASON. THE SWAZILAND SUGAR INDUSTRY SHIPPED A QUANTITY OF SUGAR INTO THE WORLD MARKET WHICH HAS IMPACTED ON THE AVERAGE PRICE RECEIVED. PRODUCTION NEXT SEASON IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 225 000 TONS.
FOLLOWING LAST SEASON'S MAJOR DROUGHT, CURRENT GROWING CONDITIONS IN MAURITIUS HAVE BEEN FAR BETTER WITH RAINFALL CLOSER TO NORMAL. THE GOOD RAINS RECEIVED DURING THE PAST FEW DAYS AS A RESULT OF CYCLONE CONNIE PASSING CLOSE TO THE ISLAND WERE MOST WELCOME. PRESENT PREDICTIONS ARE THAT THE INDUSTRY CROP WILL BE AROUND 90% OF NORMAL OUTPUT. COMPANY PRODUCTION WAS 55 900 TONS IN 1999/2000 WHILST THE FORECAST FOR THE COMING SEASON IS 90 000 TONS. THE TWO HOTELS HAVE CONTINUED THEIR GOOD PERFORMANCE WITH INCREASED ROOM OCCUPANCIES AND ROOM RATES.
THE RE-DEVELOPMENT OF FIELD AND FACTORY OPERATIONS AND INFRASTRUCTURE AT KILOMBERO IN TANZANIA CONTINUES TO MAKE GOOD PROGRESS. SUGAR PRODUCTION FOR THE CURRENT SEASON IS STILL EXPECTED TO REACH 50 000 TONS WITH OUTPUT NEXT SEASON RISING TO 63 000 TONS.
THE MARAGRA MILL IN MOZAMBIQUE HAS EXPERIENCED GOOD GROWING CONDITIONS AND WITH THE CONTINUED RE-DEVELOPMENT OF THE FIELDS BY BOTH OUT-GROWERS AND THE COMPANY, SUGAR PRODUCTION IS FORECAST TO REACH 30 000 TONS IN THE COMING SEASON, SIGNIFICANTLY UP ON THIS SEASON'S ACHIEVEMENT OF 6 000 TONS. THE COMPANY HAS TAKEN OVER MANAGEMENT OF THE CORE ESTATE.
AT MONITOR IN THE UNITED STATES THE SUGAR CAMPAIGN COMMENCED AT THE END OF OCTOBER WHICH WAS LATER THAN PLANNED FOLLOWING DAMAGE TO THE PLANT ARISING FROM A MOLASSES TANK RUPTURE. THE COMPANY HAD ADEQUATE PLANT AND BUSINESS
INTERRUPTION INSURANCE COVER FOR THE MISHAP. THE PLANT IS PERFORMING WELL AND THE NEW DESUGARISATION OPERATION IS EXCEEDING EXPECTATIONS. SUGAR PRODUCTION IS EXPECTED TO BE 168 000 TONS COMPARED TO 98 000 TONS IN 1999. SUGAR PRICES IN THE UNITED STATES ARE CURRENTLY HOVERING AT AN 18-YEAR LOW AND THIS IS IMPACTING NEGATIVELY ON MARGINS. PRICES FOR DOWNSTREAM PRODUCTS (BEET PULP, CONCENTRATED MOLASSES SOLIDS AND BETAINE) ARE HOWEVER HIGHER THAN FORECAST. OVERALL GROUP SUGAR PRODUCTION FOR NEXT SEASON IS EXPECTED TO EXCEED 2 MILLION TONS WHICH IS AN IMPROVEMENT OF MORE THAN 150 000 TONS COMPARED TO THE CURRENT YEAR.
THE FACTORY AND FIELD OFFCROP OPERATIONS ARE PROCEEDING ON SCHEDULE IN ALL COUNTRIES AND MILL START-UPS FOR THE NEW SEASON ARE PLANNED TO COMMENCE AS NORMAL FROM THE END OF MARCH ONWARDS.
THE RECENT DECLINE IN THE RAND COMPARED TO THE US$ WILL BENEFIT BOTH REVENUE FROM OUR SOUTH AFRICAN EXPORTS OF SUGAR AND DOWNSTREAM PRODUCTS, AND THE CONVERSION OF OUR OFF-SHORE PROFITS.
THE FINANCIAL YEAR END OF THE COMPANY HAS BEEN 30 SEPTEMBER WHICH IS IN LINE WITH THAT OF ITS PARENT COMPANY CG SMITH. FOLLOWING THE PROPOSED UNBUNDLING OF CG SMITH, ILLOVO WILL CHANGE ITS FINANCIAL YEAR TO COINCIDE WITH THE SUGAR SEASONS OF ITS OPERATIONS WHICH END IN MARCH OF EACH YEAR. CONSEQUENTLY, THE CURRENT FINANCIAL YEAR END OF THE COMPANY WILL BE FOR A SHORTENED PERIOD, COVERING THE SIX MONTHS ENDING 31 MARCH 2000. THE OPERATIONS IN SWAZILAND, MALAWI AND MAURITIUS ALREADY HAVE MARCH YEAR ENDS AND WILL BE UNAFFECTED BY THE CHANGE.
HEADLINE EARNINGS FOR THE 12 MONTH PERIOD ENDING 31 MARCH 2000 AS COMPARED TO THE PREVIOUS YEAR ARE EXPECTED TO SHOW REAL GROWTH. HOWEVER, GROWTH IN HEADLINE EARNINGS PER SHARE WILL BE AFFECTED BY THE INCREASE IN THE AVERAGE NUMBER OF SHARES IN ISSUE FOLLOWING THE ACQUISITION OF MONITOR SUGAR IN JULY 1999, BUT IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE POSITIVE.

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