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SAPPI LIMITED - RESULTS FOR THE FOURTH QUARTER AND YEAR ENDED SEPTEMBER 2002

Release Date: 07/11/2002 09:00
Code(s): SAP
Wrap Text

SAPPI LIMITED - RESULTS FOR THE FOURTH QUARTER AND YEAR ENDED SEPTEMBER 2002 sappi limited The word for fine paper (Registration number 1936/008963/06) JSE Code: SAP ISIN Code: ZAE 000006284 Results for the fourth quarter and year ended September 2002 Headline EPS - Quarter 30 US cents - Year 98 US cents Strong cash flow US business improves Dividend increased to 28 US cents summary Quarter ended Year ended Sept. June Sept. Sept. Sept. 2002 2002 2001 2002 2001
Sales 1,052 974 998 3,729 4,184 (US$ million) Operating profit 122 97 91 389 446 (US$ million) EBITDA 219 188 175 741 797 (US$ million) Operating profit 11.6 10.0 9.1 10.4 10.7 to sales (%) EBITDA to sales 20.8 19.3 17.5 19.9 19.0 (%) Operating profit 13.0 11.8 11.1 11.3 13.1 to average net assets (%) EPS before 30 28 23 98 113 exceptional items (Headline) (US cents) EPS (US cents) 32 29 20 95 59 Return on 18.6 18.2 9.9* 14.2 15.9* equity (%) Net debt 1,419 1,572 1,126 1,419 1,126 (US$ million) *Before Mobile restructuring charge comment During the last two years the group`s revenues have shrunk partly as a result of management`s actions to close underperforming facilities and largely due to lower overall demand, sharply declining prices, particularly in North America, and the weakening of the Euro and the Rand relative to the US dollar. It is pleasing therefore to be able to report that, helped by the acquisition of Potlatch`s coated fine paper business in the USA, our sales have increased in the past two quarters in spite of the continuing weak prices. The company is in a strong position to return to a growth path. Demand for coated fine paper as measured by shipments from producers plus the net of imports and exports was 6.8% higher than the equivalent quarter last year in the USA and flat in Europe. For the full year, demand was flat in both markets. Inventories have declined in the customer chain over the last two years but appear to have reached a trough and started to stabilise. European industry exports of coated fine paper increased 26% compared to the previous full year. Published data indicates that bench mark coated fine paper prices dropped sharply in the USA and in September 2002 were 8.6% below a year earlier (Coated # 3 Web) whilst Europe recorded a 1.9% decline over the same period (100gsm sheets Germany). We continued to curtail production and in the quarter reduced our output of paper and pulp by approximately 130,000 tons. North American and Scandinavian pulp inventories increased during the quarter but remain at 1.6 million tons, a reasonable level after the quiet summer period, representing only 27 days of supply. Pulp prices started moving upwards in the second calendar quarter but dropped again slightly in the third calendar quarter. Against this background, sales for the quarter increased 5% compared to a year earlier to US$1.1 billion. Net profit before exceptional items of US$69 million was up 30% compared to the equivalent quarter last year. Earnings per share before exceptional items were 30 US cents, 2 US cents up on the previous quarter. Basic earnings per share were 32 US cents. Return on equity for the quarter was 18.6%. Selling, general and administrative expenses declined by US$22 million compared with the same quarter last year. US$4 million was due to better management of expenses. The difference arose both from the reversal of accruals after the withdrawal of pending litigation and the reduction of accruals related to an over-cautious response to higher insurance deductibles post September 11, 2001. Group operating profit increased 34% and the operating profit margin increased to 11.6% from 9.1% in the equivalent quarter last year. Although our North American business returned to profitability in the final quarter as a result of stronger demand and the benefits of the Cloquet acquisition, its margins remain under pressure. Net finance costs of US$29 million were 19% below the equivalent quarter last year despite increased debt following the Cloquet acquisition. Foreign exchange losses and the marking to market of financial instruments included in net finance costs were US$5 million for the quarter compared to US$15 million last year. Sales for the year were US$3.7 billion, 11% lower than last year. Operating profit of US$389 million was 13% lower reflecting the pressure on margins experienced during the year. For the full year, net profit before exceptional items was US$226 million, down 14% compared to the previous year. The year`s earnings per share before exceptional items were 98 US cents and basic earnings per share were 95 US cents. Return on equity for the year was 14.2%. Net finance costs for the year of US$74 million were 20% lower than last year, despite the Cloquet acquisition, US$4 million lower interest capitalised and a net increase of US$8 million in respect of foreign exchange movements and marking to market of financial instruments. Last quarter, we indicated that we would enter into interest rate swaps in respect of a portion of our fixed long-term debt to variable rates to reduce our interest cost. To date we have not swapped into variable rates because, while it would be prudent to buy a collar, the requirement that such instruments be marked to market would likely result in excessive volatility in quarterly earnings caused by the changes in interest rates. We will continue to monitor interest rate developments and take action when appropriate. cash flow and debt EBITDA for the quarter was US$219 million, 25.1% higher than last year. Free cash flow for the year, after all cash charges and Capex, but prior to dividends and the acquisition of assets, was US$150 million for the quarter and US$292 million for the year. Working capital was well managed and declined by US$50 million in the quarter and a total of US$89 million over the last two quarters. During the quarter we repurchased approximately 984,000 shares at an average price of R119.48 per share (US$11.40) and a cost of US$11.2 million. Since December 2000 we have repurchased 13.0 million shares or approximately 5.5% of total shares in issue, at an average price of R64.16, some of which have been utilised by the share incentive scheme to meet its obligations. Capital expenditure for the full year on fixed assets and plantations was US$205 million, which was well below the aggregate of depreciation, amortisation and fellings. Capital commitments have increased from US$162 million last quarter to US$228 million at the end of September 2002 and assuming the business outlook continues to improve, we expect capital expenditure to approach the level of depreciation next year. We continue rigorously to apply our existing criteria for capital allocations to all new capital expenditure projects. Net debt declined by US$153 million in the quarter to US$1,419 million at the end of September 2002. Net debt to total capitalisation is 37.0%. We now have a very good debt maturity profile with the average maturity at approximately 10 years. The group has reviewed its pension funds to take account of the recent significant changes in the performance and outlook of financial markets. Using revised and lower discount rates and assumed rates of return, the pension funds in our European businesses are adequately funded. There is a surplus in the South African fund (which has not been brought to account) but, in the UK and USA funds, a shortfall is projected. It is anticipated that the projected future additional annual charges required to correct the projected shortfall in those funds will be approximately 5 US cents per share and this situation will continue to be reviewed annually. The estimated surplus of the South African defined benefit plan has not been reflected on the group`s balance sheet pending the outcome of the statutory allocation analysis of the surplus between the company and the members of the fund. operating review for the quarter sappi fine paper Quarter ended Sept. 2002 Sept. 2001 % US$ million US$ million change Sales 905 826 9.6 Operating profit 78 65 20.0 Operating margin (%) 8.6 7.9 - EBITDA 156 130 20.0 EBITDA Margin (%) 17.2 15.7 - RONOA p.a. (%) 10.4 10.5 - Advertising spend and more specifically advertising print pages, which are key drivers of our performance have been slow to pick up. Since July 2002 we have seen a gradual improvement from a very low base and the outlook is that this should continue. Our European and South African businesses performed well, but there is scope for improvement in our North American business - we saw the beginning of this in the last quarter. Operating profit increased 20% to US$78 million, a return on net operating assets of 10.4%. Europe Despite overcapacity in the market and difficult market conditions, our European business continued to report solid results. Sales volume was about 2% up on a year earlier and 3% up on the previous quarter due to better exports. Domestic shipments remained flat. Average prices realised in the domestic market held up well throughout the year and were only 2% lower in Euro compared to the equivalent quarter last year. Operating profit was 7% lower than a year earlier and the return on net operating assets was lower at 14.6 %. Quarter ended
Sept. 2002 Sept. 2001 % change % change US$ million US$ million (US$) (Euro) Sales 459 444 3.4 (6.7) Operating profit 53 57 (7.0) (16.1) Operating margin (%) 11.5 12.8 - - EBITDA 96 94 2.1 (7.8) EBITDA Margin (%) 20.9 21.1 - - RONOA p.a. (%) 14.6 17.0 - - North America Our North American business returned to profitability, benefiting from seasonally strong demand, the recent start of a pick-up in print advertising and the benefits of the Cloquet acquisition and integration. The Cloquet integration is on track and we achieved the targeted benefits in the quarter. We remain confident that the announced synergies will be fully realised and that the acquisition will be accretive by 20 US cents per share in 2003. There is still significant opportunity to improve the performance of our North American business including improving operating efficiencies at all of the mills. Quarter ended Sept. 2002 Sept. 2001 %
US$ million US$ million change Sales 388 323 20.1 Operating profit 15 0 - Operating margin (%) 3.9 0 - EBITDA 47 26 80.8 EBITDA Margin (%) 12.1 8.0 - RONOA p.a. (%) 4.2 0 - Fine Paper SA The Southern African fine paper order book remains strong. Compared to a year earlier, average prices realised declined slightly in Dollar terms but were up 26% in Rand terms. We are focusing on cost control to avoid inflationary pressure following the sharp weakening of the Rand last year. Return on net operating assets was 46.0%. Quarter ended Sept. 2002 Sept. 2001 % change % change US$ million US$ million (US$) (Rand)
Sales 58 59 (1.7) 22.8 Operating profit 10 8 25.0 56.2 Operating margin (%) 17.2 13.6 - - EBITDA 13 10 30.0 62.5 EBITDA Margin (%) 22.4 16.9 - - RONOA p.a. (%) 46.0 32.3 - - forest products Demand in South Africa for packaging papers and newsprint remained firm on the back of solid GDP growth and continued import replacement. International demand for pulp, including dissolving pulp, improved slightly. Although NBSK pulp prices declined about US$20 during the quarter, they remain US$35 above the trough level of March/April 2002. Dissolving pulp markets continued to be oversupplied leading to difficult trading conditions. The sharp decline in the Rand at the end of 2001 has resulted in upward pressure on domestic costs, particularly of imported goods. We will continue to maintain very tight control on all of our input costs to ensure we maintain our very competitive cost base. Operating profit increased 22.6% compared to the equivalent quarter last year. Return on net operating assets was 21.3 %. Quarter ended Sept. 2002 Sept. 2001 % change % change US$ million US$ million (US$) (Rand) Sales 147 172 (14.5) 6.8 Operating profit 38 31 22.6 53.2 Operating margin (%) 25.8 18.0 - - EBITDA 57 50 14.0 42.5 EBITDA Margin (%) 38.8 29.1 - - RONOA p.a. (%) 21.3 14.4 - - dividend The Board has declared a dividend of 28 US cents for the year ended September 2002. A dividend of 26 US cents was paid in the previous year. outlook There are signs that advertising spending is at last recovering. We also believe that the inventory reduction throughout the coated fine paper customer chain in our major markets has come to an end. As a result of these factors we expect apparent demand for coated fine paper to resume growth next year even if world economic growth is muted. The industry capacity for coated fine paper in Europe remains above consumption and we therefore expect further growth in exports. The closure of 600,000 tons of US coated finepaper capacity over the last six months should tighten the supply-demand balance in the US and we expect a modest improvement in operating rates and prices, an expectation supported by the late but healthy demand for catalogues this season. In both regions we will continue to match our output to customer demand. Pulp prices, which had strengthened since the beginning of the second calendar quarter, declined in recent weeks as global inventories increased. We do not expect this decline to be a long-term trend. Provided there is reasonable economic growth as predicted by most analysts in the year ahead, we would expect pulp demand to increase and pulp prices to rise modestly in the second half of the year. Overall we are cautiously optimistic that, barring a major shock in the world economy, our earnings will show reasonable growth in the next year. On behalf of the Board E van As D G Wilson Director Director 7 November 2002 dividend announcement The Board has declared a dividend (number 79) of 28 US cents per share for the year ended September 2002. In compliance with the requirements of STRATE, the JSE Securities Exchange`s electronic settlement system which is applicable to Sappi, the salient dates in respect of the dividend will be as follows: Last day to trade cum dividend: Friday 3 January 2003 Date on which shares commence trading ex-dividend: Monday 6 January 2003 Record date: Friday 10 January 2003 Payment date: Monday 13 January 2003 Dividends payable from the Johannesburg transfer office will be paid in South African rands (except that nominee shareholders, including the nominees of the US ADR depositary bank, who are nominees for South African non-residents may elect, on or before Wednesday 8 January 2003, to receive payment in United States dollars) and dividends payable from the London transfer office will be paid in British pounds sterling or in the case of shareholders with registered addresses in the USA, in United States dollars. Dividends payable other than in United States dollars will be calculated at the respective rates of exchange ruling on Monday 23 December 2002. Those rates will be announced on 24 December 2002. There will not be any dematerialisation nor rematerialisation of Sappi Limited share certificates from 6 January to 10 January 2003, both days inclusive. Sappi Management Services (Pty) Limited Secretaries Per D J O`Connor 7 November 2002 forward-looking statements Certain statements in this release that are neither reported financial results nor other historical information, are forward-looking statements, including but not limited to statements that are predictions of or indicate future earnings, savings, synergies, events, trends, plans or objectives. Undue reliance should not be placed on such statements because, by their nature, they are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties and can be affected by other factors, that could cause actual results and company plans and objectives to differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements (or from past results). Such risks, uncertainties and factors include, but are not limited to the highly cyclical nature of the pulp and paper industry (and the factors that contribute to such cyclicality, such as levels of demand, production capacity, production and pricing), adverse changes in the markets for the group`s products, consequences of substantial leverage, changing regulatory requirements, unanticipated production disruptions, economic and political conditions in international markets, the impact of investments, acquisitions and dispositions (including related financing), any delays, unexpected costs or other problems experienced with integrating acquisitions and achieving expected savings and synergies and currency fluctuations. The company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any of these forward-looking statements, whether to reflect new information or future events or circumstances or otherwise. definitions Debt/total capitalisation - current and non-current interest-bearing borrowings, and bank overdrafts (net of cash, cash equivalents and short-term deposits), divided by shareholders` equity plus minority interest, non-current liabilities, current interest-bearing borrowings and overdraft EBITDA - earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, amortisation and fellings (before non-trading profit/loss) EBITDA Margin - EBITDA divided by sales Fellings - the amount charged against the income statement representing the standing cost of the plantations harvested Net asset value - shareholders` equity plus net deferred tax Net assets - total assets less current liabilities NOPAT - net operating profit after current tax ROE - return on average equity. Net profit divided by average shareholders` equity RONA - operating profit divided by average net assets RONOA - operating profit divided by average net operating assets, which are total assets (excluding deferred taxation and cash) less current liabilities (excluding interest-bearing borrowings and bank overdraft) Financial results for the fourth quarter and year ended September 2002 group income statement Reviewed Reviewed Reviewed Audited
Quarter Quarter Year Year ended ended ended ended Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. 2002 2001 2002 2001
US$ US$ % US$ US$ % million million change million million change Sales 1,052 998 5.4 3,729 4,184 (10.9)
Cost of sales 861 816 3,008 3,375 Gross profit 191 182 4.9 721 809 (10.9) Selling, general 69 91 332 363 and administrative expenses Operating profit 122 91 34.1 389 446 (12.8) Non-trading (2) 3 17 207 (profit) loss Net finance 29 36 74 92 costs Net paid 30 27 96 126 Capitalised (6) (6) (29) (33) Net foreign 1 13 (4) (1) exchange losses (gains) Mark to market 4 2 11 - of financial instruments Profit before 95 52 298 147 taxation Taxation 28 47 52 88 - current - deferred (6) (42) 26 (79) Net profit for 73 47 55.3 220 138 59.4 the period EBITDA 219 175 25.1 741 797 (7.0) Basic earnings 32 20 95 59 per share (US cents) Earnings before exceptional items (Headline 30 23 98 113 earnings) per share (US cents) Weighted average 230.2 229.6 230.2 232.8 number of shares in issue (millions) Diluted earnings 31 20 94 59 per share (US cents) Diluted earnings before exceptional items (Headline 30 23 97 112 earnings) per share (US cents) Weighted average 233.4 232.6 233.4 235.2 number of shares on fully diluted basis (millions) Calculation of earnings before exceptional items (Headline) net of tax Net profit for 73 47 220 138 the period (Profit) loss on (1) 4 1 4 disposal of business and fixed assets Mill closure 1 (2) 6 118 costs and asset impairment Debt - - 6 - restructuring costs Deferred finance - 5 - 5 fees written off on early settlement of loans Decrease in (4) (1) (7) (2) provisions Earnings before 69 53 226 263 exceptional items (Headline) group balance sheet Reviewed Audited Sept. 2002 Sept. 2001 US$ million US$ million ASSETS Non-current assets 3,639 3,344 Property, plant and equipment 3,189 2,890 Plantations 298 324 Deferred taxation 6 4 Other non-current assets 146 126 Current assets 1,002 1,160 Cash and cash equivalents 161 445 Trade and other receivables 320 202 Inventories 521 513 Total assets 4,641 4,504 EQUITY AND LIABILITIES Shareholders` equity Ordinary shareholders` interest 1,601 1,503 Minority interest 2 3 Non-current liabilities 2,110 1,638 Interest-bearing borrowings 1,455 1,012 Deferred taxation 399 385 Other non-current liabilities 256 241 Current liabilities 928 1,360 Interest-bearing borrowings and bank 125 559 overdraft Other current liabilities 803 801 Total equity and liabilities 4,641 4,504 Number of shares in issue (millions) 230.2 229.5 Net debt (US$ million) 1,419 1,126 Net debt to total capitalisation (%) 37.0 30.4 Net asset value per share (US$) 8.66 8.21 group cash flow statement Reviewed Reviewed Reviewed Audited Quarter Quarter Year Year ended ended ended ended Sept. 2002 Sept. 2001 Sept. 2002 Sept. 2001
US$ million US$ million US$ million US$ million Cash generated 226 164 744 771 by operations Movement in 50 177 (42) 51 working capital Net finance (35) (42) (103) (125) costs Taxation paid (26) (41) (89) (94) Dividends paid - - (60) (60) Cash retained 215 258 450 543 from operating activities Cash effects (60) (81) (701) (303) of investing activities Normal (65) (81) (218) (303) investing activities Acquisition of 5 - (483) - net assets 155 177 (251) 240 Cash effects (189) 40 (29) (90) of financing activities Net movement (34) 217 (280) 150 in cash and cash equivalents group statement of changes in shareholders` equity Reviewed Audited Year Year
ended ended Sept. 2002 Sept. 2001 US$ million US$ million Balance - beginning of year 1,503 1,618 Net profit for the year 220 138 Foreign currency translation reserve (62) (118) Revaluation of derivative instruments 3 8 Dividends paid - US$0.26 (2001: US$0.25) (60) (60) per share Net transfers to share purchase trust (3) (83) (share buybacks) Balance - end of year 1,601 1,503 notes to the group results 1. Basis of preparation The group results have been prepared in conformity with South African Statements of Generally Accepted Accounting Practice. The same accounting policies have been followed as in the annual financial statements for September 2001. The financial results for the quarter have been reviewed by the group`s auditors, Deloitte & Touche. Their report is available for inspection at the company`s registered offices. Reviewed Reviewed Reviewed Audited Quarter Quarter Year Year ended ended ended ended Sept. 2002 Sept. 2001 Sept. 2002 Sept. 2001
US$ million US$ million US$ million US$ million 2. Operating profit Included in operating profit are: Depreciation 85 73 310 300 Fellings 7 6 26 30 Amortisation 5 5 16 21 97 84 352 351 3. Capital expenditure Fixed assets 180 293 (excluding Cloquet assets acquired) Plantations 25 28 205 321 4. Capital commitments Contracted but 55 78 not provided Approved but 173 109 not contracted 228 187 5. Contingent liabilities Guarantees and 66 79 suretyships Other 14 27 contingent liabilities regional information Reviewed Reviewed Reviewed Audited Quarter Quarter Year Year ended ended ended ended
Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. 2002 2001 2002 2001 US$ US$ % US$ US$ % million million change million million change
Sales - Metric tons (000`s) Fine North 398 287 38.7 1,163 1,238 (6.1) Paper - America Europe 560 551 1.6 2,180 2,168 0.6 Southern 76 78 (2.6) 310 288 7.6 Africa Total 1,034 916 12.9 3,653 3,694 (1.1) Forest 605 585 3.4 2,434 2,412 0.9 Products Total 1,639 1,501 9.2 6,087 6,106 (0.3) Sales Fine North 388 323 20.1 1,197 1,442 (17.0) Paper - America Europe 459 444 3.4 1,744 1,781 (2.1) Southern 58 59 (1.7) 215 229 (6.1) Africa Total 905 826 9.6 3,156 3,452 (8.6) Forest 147 172 573 732 (21.7) Products (14.5) Total 1,052 998 5.4 3,729 4,184 (10.9) Operating profit Fine North 15 - - (21) 40 - Paper - America Europe 53 57 (7.0) 217 177 22.6 Southern 10 8 25.0 34 31 9.7 Africa Total 78 65 20.0 230 248 (7.3) Forest 38 31 22.6 141 194 (27.3) Products Corporate 6 (5) - 18 4 350.0 Total 122 91 34.1 389 446 (12.8) Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation charges * Fine North 47 26 80.8 89 150 (40.7) Paper - America Europe 96 94 2.1 378 325 16.3 Southern 13 10 30.0 42 38 10.5 Africa Total 156 130 20.0 509 513 (0.8) Forest 57 50 14.0 214 280 (23.6) Products Corporate 6 (5) - 18 4 350.0 Total 219 175 25.1 741 797 (7.0) Net operating assets Fine North 1,483 1,009 47.0 1,483 1,009 47.0 Paper - America Europe 1,420 1,333 6.5 1,420 1,333 6.5 Southern 90 100 90 100 (10.0) Africa (10.0) Total 2,993 2,442 22.6 2,993 2,442 22.6 Forest 714 825 714 825 (13.5) Products (13.5) Corporate (36) (13) 176.9 (36) (13) 176.9 Total 3,671 3,254 12.8 3,671 3,254 12.8 * before non-trading (profit) loss convenience translation into rands Unaudited Unaudited Unaudited Unaudited Quarter Quarter Year Year ended ended ended ended Sept. Sept. % Sept. Sept. %
2002 2001 change 2002 2001 change Sales 11,027 8,370 31.7 39,301 33,294 18.0 (ZAR million) Operating 1,279 763 67.6 4,100 3,549 15.5 profit (ZAR million) Profit after 765 394 94.2 2,319 1,098 111.2 taxation (ZAR million) EBITDA 2,296 1,468 56.4 7,810 6,342 23.1 (ZAR million) Operating 11.6 9.1 10.4 10.7 profit to sales (%) EBITDA to 20.8 17.5 19.9 19.0 sales (%) Operating 13.1 11.0 12.2 13.0 profit to average net assets (%) EPS before 314 193 62.7 1,033 899 14.9 exceptional items (Headline) (SA cents) Basic EPS 335 168 99.4 1,001 469 113.4 (SA cents) EBITDA per 997 639 56.0 3,393 2,724 24.6 share (SA cents) Net debt 14,956 10,065 48.6 (ZAR million) Net debt to 37.0 30.4 total capitalisation (%) Cash generated 2,369 1,375 72.3 7,841 6,135 27.8 by operations (ZAR million) Cash retained 2,254 2,164 4,743 4,321 from operating activities (ZAR million) Net movement (356) 1,820 (2,951) 1,194 in cash and cash equivalents (ZAR million) Exchange rates: Period end 10.5400 8.9386 10.5400 8.9386 rate: US$1 = ZAR Average rate: 10.4818 8.3871 10.5393 7.9574 US$1 = ZAR Period end 1.0216 1.0909 1.0216 1.0909 rate: US$1 = EUR Average rate: 1.0153 1.1251 1.0884 1.1293 US$1 = EUR This report is available on the Sappi website - www.sappi.com Other interested parties can obtain printed copies of this report from: South Africa: Computershare Investor Services Limited, 8th Floor, 11 Diagonal Street, Johannesburg, 2001 PO Box 1053, Johannesburg, 2000. Tel +27 (0)11 370-5000. United Kingdom: Capita IRG plc, Bourne House, 34 Beckenham Road, Beckenham, Kent, BR3 4TU, DX 91750, Beckenham West. Tel +44 (0)208 639-2157. United States ADR Depositary: Bank of New York, ADR Department, 101 Barclay Street, New York, NY 10286. Tel +1 212 815-5800. www.sappi.com Date: 07/11/2002 09:00:00 AM Supplied by www.sharenet.co.za Produced by the JSE SENS Department