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SAP - Sappi Limited - Unaudited Results for the quarter ended December 2006

Release Date: 01/02/2007 09:00
Code(s): SAP
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SAP - Sappi Limited - Unaudited Results for the quarter ended December 2006 Sappi Limited (Registration number 1936/008963/06) Issuer Code: SAVVI JSE Code: SAP ISIN Code: ZAE000006284 Unaudited Results for the quarter ended December 2006 - EPS 13 US cents - Demand for coated fine paper firm - Coated paper prices do not reflect high operating rates - Prices boost Forest Products performance - Input cost pressure abates, except in Europe Summary Quarter ended Dec Sept Dec
2006 2006 2005 Sales (US$ million) 1,267 1,296 1,175 Operating profit (US$ million) 92 51 49 Operating profit to sales (%) 7.3 3.9 4.2 EBITDA ** (US$ million) * 187 151 146 EBITDA ** to sales (%) * 14.8 11.7 12.4 Operating profit to average net assets (%) * 9.4 5.2 4.8 EPS (US cents) 13 18 - Return on average equity (ROE) (%) * 8.4 11.7 - Net debt (US$ million) * 2,278 2,113 2,072 Net debt to total capitalisation (%) * 46.7 46.4 42.3 * Refer to Supplemental Information for the definition of the term. ** The EBITDA calculation has been amended. Refer to note 2 additional information in Supplemental information for the effects of the change. Comment The group operating result improved in the quarter compared to the prior quarter and the equivalent quarter last year. The Forest Products business, supported by strong pulp prices and a slightly weaker currency, generated most of the operating profit. The Fine Paper business, while profitable, has not yet achieved acceptable margins and returns. Demand for coated fine paper globally was firm in the quarter; however, apparent consumption growth in Europe and North America was lower than in recent periods. Raw material input costs remain high. There has been some moderation in North America and Southern Africa but upward pressure continues in Europe. Coated fine paper prices in Europe have drifted downwards for the last 5 years and despite concerted reductions in our operating costs, the combination of higher prices for our inputs and lower selling prices has depressed margins. To counteract this we implemented a price increase on stock orders in Europe in December and continue to implement increases on all other graphic paper business in January. Group sales were approximately US$1.3 billion for the quarter, an increase of 7.8% compared to a year ago as a result of a 3% increase in sales of pulp and paper, improved pricing and currency movement which resulted in an increase in the European business` sales when reported in US Dollars. The operating profit for the quarter increased to US$92 million, largely as a result of the contribution of the Forest Products business. The plantation fair value price adjustment for the quarter was a pre-tax gain of US$29 million compared to US$10 million a year ago. Finance costs for the quarter were US$37 million, which was at the same level as the prior quarter but up US$10 million year on year as a result of higher interest paid (higher debt and floating rates) and the change in fair value of financial instruments. The high effective tax rate is a result of unrelieved tax losses in certain countries; in addition taxation for the quarter included Secondary Tax on Companies of US$8.5 million which relates to the dividend declared during the quarter. The profit after tax for the quarter was US$30 million compared to a break- even in the equivalent quarter last year. Earnings per share were 13 US cents for the quarter. Cash flow and debt Cash generated by operations was US$152 million for the quarter, approximately 25% up on a year ago. We recorded a US$39 million increase in working capital which was significantly less than the US$80 million increase last year. Capital expenditure increased to US$138 million for the quarter. We had a number of upfront payments in respect of the Saiccor expansion in the quarter. We aim to manage capital expenditure over the full year to avoid a material increase in debt over the year. Net debt increased by US$165 million to approximately US$2.3 billion during the quarter of which US$73 million was a result of currency translations. Net debt to total capitalisation increased to 46.7% in December from 46.4% in September. Operating Review for the Quarter Sappi Fine Paper Quarter ended Dec 2006 Dec 2005 % Sept 2006 US$ million US$ million change US$ million
Sales 1,044 943 10.7 1,029 Operating profit (loss) 16 15 6.7 (40) Operating profit (loss) to sales (%) 1.5 1.6 - (3.9) EBITDA 94 95 (1.1) 43 EBITDA to sales (%) 9.0 10.1 - 4.2 RONOA pa (%) 2.1 1.9 - (5.2) Each of the Fine Paper businesses generated operating profits during the quarter; however, the returns are still far from acceptable. Our focus is on reducing unit costs and achieving appropriate price increases. Europe Quarter ended Dec 2006 Dec 2005
US$ million US$ million Sales 587 520 Operating profit (loss) 13 14 Operating profit (loss) to sales (%) 2.2 2.7 EBITDA 61 61 EBITDA to sales (%) 10.4 11.7 RONOA pa (%) 2.8 3.2 % change % change Sept 2006 (US$) (Euro) US$ million
Sales 12.9 4.1 569 Operating profit (loss) (7.1) (14.4) (48) Operating profit (loss) to sales (%) - - (8.4) EBITDA - (7.8) 1 EBITDA to sales (%) - - 0.2 RONOA pa (%) - - (10.8) Our sales volume for the quarter grew approximately 6% year on year. The average price achieved in Euro terms was only marginally up on the prior quarter despite the December stock price increase as a result of product and geographic mix. The Euro strengthened 8.5% relative to the equivalent period last year. The upward pressure on many of our input costs has continued in the quarter. In particular pulpwood costs have continued to rise sharply as a result of demand for wood for use as subsidised "green" fuel. Higher prices for purchased pulp had an impact of US$7 million on operating profit for the quarter compared to the equivalent quarter last year. (This is a regional impact as the group as a whole is a net seller of pulp.) North America Quarter ended
Dec 2006 Dec 2005 % Sept 2006 US$ million US$ million change US$ million Sales 374 345 8.4 373 Operating profit 2 1 100 7 Operating profit to sales (%) 0.5 0.3 - 1.9 EBITDA 28 31 (9.7) 37 EBITDA to sales (%) 7.5 9.0 - 9.9 RONOA pa (%) 0.7 0.3 - 2.5 The volume of paper sold increased by approximately 5% for the quarter. In addition we achieved strong growth in pulp sales compared to a year ago, resulting in an overall increase of 8%. Market conditions remain very competitive with continued pressure on prices. Average prices achieved were marginally up compared to a year earlier. Although input costs remain high, we have achieved reductions in wood, energy and certain other input costs. Fine Paper South Africa Quarter ended
Dec 2006 Dec 2005 US$ million US$ million Sales 83 78 Operating profit 1 - Operating profit to sales (%) 1.2 - EBITDA 5 3 EBITDA to sales (%) 6.0 3.8 RONOA pa (%) 2.5 - % change % change Sept 2006 (US$) (Rand) US$ million
Sales 6.4 20.4 87 Operating profit - - 1 Operating profit to sales (%) - - 1.1 EBITDA 66.7 88.5 5 EBITDA to sales (%) - - 5.7 RONOA pa (%) - - 2.5
The business had strong demand for its products and sales volumes for the quarter increased 10% year on year. Average prices achieved in Rand terms have increased over the last year partly due to the weaker Rand.
Margins remain under pressure as a result of high input costs, particularly purchased pulp. Forest Products Quarter ended
Dec 2006 Dec 2005 US$ million US$ million Sales 223 232 Operating profit 78 37 Operating profit to sales (%) 35.0 15.9 EBITDA 95 53 EBITDA to sales (%) 42.6 22.8 RONOA pa (%) 23.4 10.9 Plantation fair value Gain (Loss) 29 10
% change % change Sept 2006 (US$) (Rand) US$ million Sales (3.9) 8.8 267 Operating profit 110.8 138.7 85 Operating profit to sales (%) - - 31.8 EBITDA 79.2 102.9 102 EBITDA to sales (%) - - 38.2 RONOA pa (%) - - 26.4 Plantation fair value Gain (Loss) - - (10) The forest products business had a strong performance despite the lower sales volume compared to the equivalent quarter last year. Part of the shortfall in volume is the result of timing of export shipments relative to the period end and lower sales by the Kraft business. We expect to catch up some volume in the next quarter. The strong pulp prices and weaker currency contributed to the operating profit. Operating profit also included US$29 million of plantation fair value price adjustment compared to US$10 million a year ago. The manufacturing performance of the Kraft business has improved and has considerable scope for further gains. Usutu Mill continued to perform well during the quarter. Demand for chemical cellulose remains strong and Saiccor continues to perform well. Good progress has been made on the expansion at Saiccor Mill; however, there has been pressure on civil construction costs because of high demand in the South African construction industry. Directors Klaas de Kluis retired as a non-executive director of the group in December 2006 on reaching the mandatory retirement age. Outlook The industry continues to record high global operating rates for coated fine paper. The combination of strong expected consumption growth, capacity closures and limited new capacity additions indicate that operating rates should remain high. We have implemented price increases in Europe which are essential to restore margins after 5 years of declining coated fine paper prices and 2 years of input cost escalations. Pulp prices continue to be strong. We expect earnings in the next quarter to improve compared to this quarter (excluding unpredictable fair value adjustments).
This report is unaudited. On behalf of the Board
E van As M R Thompson Director Director 1 February 2007 Sappi Limited (Registration number 1936/008963/06) Issuer Code: SAVVI JSE Code: SAP ISIN Code: ZAE 000006284 forward-looking statements Certain statements in this release that are neither reported financial results nor other historical information, are forward-looking statements, including but not limited to statements that are predictions of or indicate future earnings, savings, synergies, events, trends, plans or objectives. Undue reliance should not be placed on such statements because, by their nature, they are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties and can be affected by other factors, that could cause actual results and company plans and objectives to differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements (or from past results). Such risks, uncertainties and factors include, but are not limited to the highly cyclical nature of the pulp and paper industry (and the factors that contribute to such cyclicality, such as levels of demand, production capacity, production, input costs including raw material, energy and employee costs, and pricing), adverse changes in the markets for the group`s products, consequences of substantial leverage, changing regulatory requirements, unanticipated production disruptions, economic and political conditions in international markets, the impact of investments, acquisitions and dispositions (including related financing), any delays, unexpected costs or other problems experienced with integrating acquisitions and achieving expected savings and synergies and currency fluctuations. The company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any of these forward-looking statements, whether to reflect new information or future events or circumstances or otherwise. summary December 2006 Quarter ended
Dec Sept Dec 2006 2006 2005 Sales (US$ million) 1,267 1,296 1,175 Operating profit (US$ million) 92 51 49 Operating profit to sales (%) 7.3 3.9 4.2 EBITDA ** (US$ million) * 187 151 146 EBITDA ** to sales (%) * 14.8 11.7 12.4 Operating profit to average net assets (%) * 9.4 5.2 4.8 EPS (US cents) 13 18 - Return on average equity (ROE) (%) * 8.4 11.7 - Net debt (US$ million) * 2,278 2,113 2,072 Net debt to total capitalisation (%) * 46.7 46.4 42.3 * Refer Supplemental Information for the definition of the term. ** The EBITDA calculation has been amended to eliminate the adjustment for fellings which previously resulted in fellings being added back in the calculation as part of amortisation. Refer to note 2 Additional Information in Supplemental Information for the effects of the change. Financial results (unaudited) group income statement Quarter Quarter
ended ended Dec 2006 Dec 2005 US$ million US$ million % change
Sales 1,267 1,175 7.8 Cost of sales 1,091 1,042 Gross profit 176 133 32.3 Selling, general & administrative expenses 88 83 88 50 Other operating (income) expenses (4) 1 Operating profit 92 49 87.8 Net finance costs 37 27 Net paid 36 32 Capitalised (1) (1) Net foreign exchange gains (2) (1) Change in fair value of financial instruments 4 (3) Profit before tax 55 22 150.0 Taxation - current 6 8 - deferred 19 14 Profit for the period 30 - - Basic earnings per share (US cents) 13 - Weighted average number of shares in issue (millions) 227.0 225.9 Diluted earnings per share (US cents) 13 - Weighted average number of shares on fully diluted basis (millions) 229.9 226.7 Note: Refer to notes to the group results for Headline Earnings and calculation thereof.
group balance sheet Dec 2006 Sept 2006 US$ million US$ million ASSETS Non-current assets 4,323 3,997 Property, plant and equipment 3,319 3,129 Plantations 607 520 Deferred taxation 79 74 Other non-current assets 318 274 Current assets 1,556 1,500 Inventories 764 699 Trade and other receivables 560 577 Cash and cash equivalents 232 224 Assets held for sale 21 20 Total assets 5,900 5,517
EQUITY AND LIABILITIES Shareholders` equity Ordinary shareholders` interest 1,467 1,386 Non-current liabilities 2,528 2,465 Interest-bearing borrowings 1,625 1,634 Deferred taxation 387 336 Other non-current liabilities 516 495 Current liabilities 1,905 1,666 Interest-bearing borrowings 818 694 Bank overdraft 67 9 Other current liabilities 841 862 Taxation payable 111 101 Shareholders for dividend 68 - Total equity and liabilities 5,900 5,517 Number of shares in issue at balance sheet date (millions) 227.7 227.0
group cash flow statement Quarter Quarter ended ended Dec 2006 Dec 2005
US$ million US$ million Operating profit 92 49 Depreciation, fellings and other amortisation 112 114 Other non-cash items (including impairment charges) (52) (41) Cash generated by operations 152 122 Movement in working capital (39) (80) Net finance costs (46) (45) Taxation paid (4) (7) Cash retained (utilised) from operating activities 63 (10) Cash effects of investing activities (155) (74) Cash utilised before financing activities (92) (84) Cash effects of financing activities 94 94 Net movement in cash and cash equivalents 2 10 group statement of recognised income and expense Quarter Quarter ended ended
Dec 2006 Dec 2005 US$ million US$ million Pension fund asset not recognised (2) (1) Valuation allowance against deferred tax asset on actuarial losses recognised (1) - Exchange differences on translation of foreign operations 113 (11) Net expense recorded directly in equity 110 (12) Profit for the period 30 - Recognised income (expense) for the period 140 (12)
Sappi Limited notes to the group results 1. Basis of preparation The condensed quarterly financial statements have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) including International Accounting Standard (IAS) 34 Interim Financial Reporting. The accounting policies used in the preparation of the quarterly results are compliant with IFRS and consistent with those used in the annual financial statements for September 2006. A recent accounting interpretation IFRIC 4: Determining whether an arrangement contains a lease, is still being evaluated. No changes to previous disclosures on application of this interpretation have been made. At this stage it is not envisaged that the impact of any adjustment required will be material to the results of operations.
2. Reconciliation of movement in shareholders` equity Quarter Quarter ended ended
Dec 2006 Dec 2005 US$ million US$ million Balance - beginning of year 1,386 1,589 Total recognised income (expense) for the period 140 (12) Dividends declared (68) (68) Transfers to participants of the share purchase trust 7 1 Share Based Payment Reserve 2 2 Balance - end of period 1,467 1,512
Quarter Quarter ended ended Dec 2006 Dec 2005 US$ million US$ million
3. Operating profit Included in operating profit are the following non-cash items:
Depreciation of property, plant and equipment 95 97 95 97 Fair value adjustment on plantations (included in cost of sales) Changes in volume Fellings 17 17 Growth (17) (14) - 3 Changes in fair value (29) (10) (29) (7) 4. Headline earnings per share Headline earnings per share (US cents) * 13 1 Weighted average number of shares in issue (millions) 227.0 225.9 Diluted headline earnings per share (US cents) * 13 1 Weighted average number of shares on fully 229.9 226.7 diluted basis (millions) Calculation of Headline earnings * Profit for the period 30 - Write-off of assets - 1 Impairment of property, plant & equipment - 1 Headline earnings 30 2
* Headline earnings disclosure is a listings requirement by the JSE Limited. 5. Capital expenditure Property, plant and equipment 138 72 Dec 2006 Sept 2006 US$ million US$ million
6. Capital commitments Contracted but not provided 201 294 Approved but not contracted 340 255 541 549
7. Contingent liabilities Guarantees and suretyships 61 52 Other contingent liabilities 11 11
Supplemental Information definitions
Average - averages are calculated as the sum of the opening and closing balances for the relevant period divided by two * EBITDA - earnings before interest (net finance costs), tax, depreciation and amortisation * EBITDA to sales - EBITDA divided by sales Fellings - the amount charged against the income statement representing the standing value of the plantations harvested Headline earnings - as defined in Circular 7/2002 issued by the South African Institute of Chartered Accountants, separates from earnings all items of a capital nature. It is not necessarily a measure of sustainable earnings. It is a listing requirement of the JSE Limited to disclose headline earnings per share NBSK - Northern Bleached Softwood Kraft pulp. One of the main varieties of market pulp, mainly produced from spruce trees in Scandinavia, Canada and north eastern USA. The NBSK is a benchmark widely used in pulp and paper industry for comparative purposes * Net assets - total assets less current liabilities * Net asset value - shareholders` equity plus net deferred tax * Net asset value per share - net asset value divided by the number of shares in issue at balance sheet date * Net debt - current and non-current interest-bearing borrowings, and bank overdrafts (net of cash, cash equivalents and short-term deposits) * Net debt to total capitalisation - Net debt divided by shareholders` equity plus minority interest, non-current liabilities, current interest- bearing borrowings and overdraft * ROE - return on average equity. Profit (loss) for the period divided by average shareholders` equity * RONA - operating profit divided by average net assets * RONOA - operating profit divided by average net operating assets. Net operating assets are total assets (excluding deferred taxation and cash) less current liabilities (excluding interest-bearing borrowings and bank overdraft) * SG&A - selling, general and administrative expenses * The above financial measures, other than headline earnings per share, are presented to assist our shareholders and the investment community in interpreting our financial results. These financial measures are regularly used and compared between companies in our industry. Supplemental Information additional information Quarter Quarter ended ended Dec 2006 Dec 2005
US$ million US$ million Profit for the period to EBITDA(1) reconciliation Profit for the period 30 - Net finance costs 37 27 Taxation - current 6 8 - deferred 19 14 Depreciation 95 97 EBITDA(1) (2) 187 146 Dec 2006 Sept 2006 US$ million US$ million
Net debt (US$ million)(3) 2,278 2,113 Net debt to total capitalisation (%)(3) 46.7 46.4 Net asset value per share (US$)(3) 7.80 7.26
(1)In connection with the U.S. Securities Exchange Commission ("SEC") rules relating to "Conditions for Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures", we have reconciled EBITDA to net profit rather than operating profit. As a result our definition retains non-trading profit/loss and minority interest as part of EBITDA. EBITDA represents earnings before interest (net finance costs), taxation, depreciation and amortisation. Net finance costs includes: gross interest paid; interest received; interest capitalised; net foreign exchange gains; and net fair value adjustments on interest rate financial instruments. See the Group income statement for an explanation of the computation of net finance costs. We use EBITDA as an internal measure of performance to benchmark and compare performance, both between our own operations and as against other companies. EBITDA is a measure used by the group, together with measures of performance under IFRS and US GAAP, to compare the relative performance of operations in planning, budgeting and reviewing the performances of various businesses. We believe EBITDA is a useful and commonly used measure of financial performance in addition to net profit, operating profit and other profitability measures under IFRS or US GAAP because it facilitates operating performance comparisons from period to period and company to company. By eliminating potential differences in results of operations between periods or companies caused by factors such as depreciation and amortization methods, historic cost and age of assets, financing and capital structures and taxation positions or regimes, we believe EBITDA can provide a useful additional basis for comparing the current performance of the underlying operations being evaluated. For these reasons, we believe EBITDA and similar measures are regularly used by the investment community as a means of comparison of companies in our industry. Different companies and analysts may calculate EBITDA differently, so making comparisons among companies on this basis should be done very carefully. EBITDA is not a measure of performance under IFRS or US GAAP and should not be considered in isolation or construed as a substitute for operating profit or net profit as an indicator of the company`s operations in accordance with IFRS or US GAAP. (2)The EBITDA calculation has been amended to eliminate the adjustment for fellings which previously resulted in fellings being added back in the calculation as part of amortisation. Given the current accounting treatment of plantations, management has concluded that eliminating such an adjustment would be more appropriate in determining the EBITDA performance measure in future both for internal and reporting purposes. Prior year figures have been recalculated for comparison purposes as follows: December 2005 quarter: decrease by US$17 million; September 2006 quarter: decrease by US$19 million. (3)Refer to Supplemental Information for the definition of the term. Supplemental Information regional information Quarter Quarter ended ended Dec 2006 Dec 2005
Metric tons Metric tons (000`s) (000`s) % change Sales volumes Fine Paper - North America 372 344 8.1 Europe 635 602 5.5 Southern Africa 87 79 10.1 Total 1,094 1,025 6.7
Forest Products - Pulp and paper operations 331 355 (6.8) Forestry
operations 271 376 (27.9) Total 1,696 1,756 (3.4) Quarter Quarter
ended ended Dec 2006 Dec 2005 US$ million US$ million % change Sales Fine Paper - North America 374 345 8.4 Europe 587 520 12.9 Southern Africa 83 78 6.4
Total 1,044 943 10.7 Forest Products - Pulp and paper operations 207 212 (2.4)
Forestry operations 16 20 (20.0) Total 1,267 1,175 7.8
Operating profit Fine Paper - North America 2 1 100.0 Europe 13 14 (7.1) Southern
Africa 1 - - Total 16 15 6.7 Forest Products 78 37 110.8 Corporate (2) (3) - Total 92 49 87.8 Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation charges *
Fine Paper - North America 28 31 (9.7) Europe 61 61 - Southern Africa 5 3 66.7 Total 94 95 (1.1)
Forest Products 95 53 79.2 Corporate (2) (2) - Total 187 146 28.1
Net operating assets Fine Paper - North America 1,106 1,173 (5.7) Europe 1,867 1,748 6.8 Southern Africa 170 171 (0.6)
Total 3,143 3,092 1.6 Forest Products 1,474 1,389 6.1 Corporate and other (48) (23) - Total 4,569 4,458 2.5 * The EBITDA calculation has been amended to eliminate the adjustment for fellings which previously resulted in fellings being added back in the calculation as part of amortisation. Refer to note 2 Additional Information in Supplemental Information for the effects of the change. Supplemental Information summary rand convenience translation Quarter Quarter
ended ended Dec Dec % 2006 2005 change Sales (ZAR million) 9,294 7,613 22.1 Operating profit (ZAR million) 675 317 112.9 Profit for the period (ZAR million) 220 - - EBITDA (ZAR million) * 1,372 946 45.0 Operating profit to sales (%) 7.3 4.2 EBITDA to sales (%) * 14.8 12.4 Operating profit to average net assets (%) 9.3 4.9 EPS (SA cents) 95 - - Net debt (ZAR million) * 15,963 13,111 Net debt to total capitalisation (%) * 46.7 42.3 Cash generated by operations (ZAR million) 1,115 790 41.1 Cash retained from operating activities (ZAR million) 462 (65) - Net movement in cash and cash equivalents (ZAR million) 15 65 - * Refer to Supplemental Information for the definition of the term. Supplemental Information exchange rates Dec Sept June March Dec 2006 2006 2006 2006 2005 Exchange rates: Period end rate: US$ 1 = ZAR 7.0076 7.7738 7.1700 6.1655 6.3275 Average rate for the Quarter: US$ 1 = ZAR 7.3358 7.2475 6.4658 6.1858 6.4795 Average rate for the YTD: US$ 1 = ZAR 7.3358 6.6039 6.4031 6.3334 6.4795 Period end rate: EUR 1 = US$ 1.3199 1.2672 1.2789 1.2119 1.1843 Average rate for the Quarter: EUR 1 = US$ 1.2926 1.2744 1.2570 1.1983 1.1915 Average rate for the YTD: EUR 1 = US$ 1.2926 1.2315 1.2191 1.1964 1.1915 The financial results of entities with reporting currencies other than the US Dollar are translated into US Dollars as follows: - Assets and liabilities at rates of exchange ruling at period end; and - Income, expenditure and cash flow items at average exchange rates. Other interested parties can obtain printed copies of this report from: South Africa: United States United Kingdom: Computershare Investor ADR Depository: Capita Registrars Services 2004 Limited The Bank of New York The Registry 70 Marshall Street Investor Relations 34 Beckenham Road Johannesburg 2001 PO Box 11258 Beckenham, Kent PO Box 61051 Church Street Station BR3 4TU, DX 91750 Marshalltown 2107 New York, NY 10286-1258 Beckenham West Tel +27 (0)11 370 5000 Tel +1 610 382 7836 Tel +44 (0)208 639 2157 Date: 01/02/2007 09:00:01 Supplied by www.sharenet.co.za Produced by the JSE SENS Department.