SAPPI LIMITED (REGISTRATION NUMBER 05/08963/06)
UNAUDITED QUARTERLY REVIEW FOR THE 3 MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 1998 ABBREVIATED INCOME STATEMENT
3 MONTHS TO 3 MONTHS TO 3 MONTHS TO DECEMBER 1998 DECEMBER 1997 DECEMBER 1998 R MILLION R MILLION US$ MILLION** SALES 5718 3747 989
OPERATING INCOME 484 389 84
NET INCOME 87 156 15 EARNINGS PER SHARE
- HEADLINE EARNINGS (CENTS) 58 63 10
- BASIC (CENTS) 29 65 5
- DILUTED (CENTS)* 29 65 5
* RESTRICTED BY THE ACCOUNTING STANDARD AC104 TO A LEVEL NO GREATER THAN BASIC EPS.
** TRANSLATION TO US$ HAS BEEN CALCULATED AT AN AVERAGE RATE OF US$1 : ZAR 5.7819 FOR THIS PERIOD. TRADING CONDITIONS
MANY OF THE REGIONS IN WHICH WE OPERATE HAD SLOWER ECONOMIC GROWTH IN THE QUARTER EXCEPT THE UNITED STATES WHICH HAS PROVED TO BE STRONGER THAN MANY ANALYSTS EXPECTED. UNDERLYING DEMAND FOR THE GROUP'S PAPER PRODUCTS CONTINUED STEADILY IN OUR MAJOR MARKETS. SURPLUS EUROPEAN CAPACITY FOR COATED WOODFREE PAPER CONTINUED TO OVERHANG THE MARKET AND ONGOING MATCHING OF SUPPLY TO DEMAND IS REQUIRED BY THE INDUSTRY IN ORDER TO AVOID EXCESSIVE BUILD UP OF
INVENTORIES. ORDER INFLOW IN EUROPE SINCE THE BEGINNING OF JANUARY HAS HOWEVER BEEN BETTER THAN A YEAR AGO. PULP MARKETS REMAINED WEAK BUT PRODUCER
INVENTORIES DECLINED FURTHER IN DECEMBER, AND ALTHOUGH ANNOUNCED PRICE INCREASES IN JANUARY DID NOT HOLD, PRICES HAVE STABILISED AND MIGHT START TO MOVE UP IN THE SECOND HALF. RESULTS
AS FORECAST IN THE 1998 PRELIMINARY RESULTS ANNOUNCEMENT, ALTERNATIVE MINIMUM TAX IN THE UNITED STATES AND A COINCIDENCE OF PLANNED MAINTENANCE SEVERELY DEPRESSED EARNINGS PER SHARE IN THE 3 MONTHS TO DECEMBER 1998. THIS WAS FURTHER AGGRAVATED BY SUBSTANTIAL COMMERCIAL CURTAILMENT IN EUROPE DURING THE QUARTER. EARNINGS BEFORE EXCEPTIONAL ITEMS (HEADLINE EARNINGS) PER SHARE WERE 58 CENTS (1997 63 CENTS). BASIC AND DILUTED EARNINGS PER SHARE WERE 29 CENTS (1997 65 CENTS). THE MAIN DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HEADLINE AND BASIC EPS RELATE TO A CHANGE IN PROVISIONS AND THE ADJUSTMENT OF GOODWILL FOLLOWING THE SALE OF THE USA TIMBERLANDS.
NET CASH EARNINGS (NET EARNINGS PLUS NON CASH ITEMS) PER SHARE, HOWEVER, WERE MAINTAINED AT THE SAME LEVEL AS THE COMPARATIVE QUARTER LAST YEAR (R2,93 PER SHARE).
CONSOLIDATED SALES FOR THE QUARTER ENDED 31 DECEMBER 1998 INCREASED BY 53% ON 1997. THE INCREASE RELATES MAINLY TO THE INCLUSION OF KNP LEYKAM (NOT INCLUDED IN 1997) AND TO THE WEAKENING OF THE RAND DURING 1998.
FINE PAPER BUSINESS - THE OPERATING INCOME INCREASED BY 38% TO R412 MILLION (1997 R299 MILLION) MAINLY AS A RESULT OF THE INCLUSION OF KNP LEYKAM. SAPPI FINE PAPER EUROPE INCREASED ITS OPERATING INCOME BY 168% TO R155 MILLION; THE NORTH AMERICAN BUSINESS BY 6% TO R226 MILLION BUT IN SOUTHERN AFRICA OPERATING INCOME DECLINED BY 26% TO R36 MILLION.
FOREST PRODUCTS BUSINESS - THE OPERATING INCOME IN FOREST PRODUCTS DECLINED BY 9% TO R60 MILLION LARGELY AS A RESULT OF WEAKER PULP MARKETS.
TRADING - SAPPI TRADING'S OPERATING INCOME ALSO FELT THE EFFECTS OF THE WEAKER PULP MARKETS AND DECLINED BY 10% TO R23 MILLION.
OVERALL GROUP OPERATING INCOME INCREASED BY 24% TO R484 MILLION.
GROUP TAXATION INCREASED TO R85,8 MILLION (1997 R32,1 MILLION) PRIMARILY AS A RESULT OF AN ACCRUAL OF AMT (ALTERNATIVE MINIMUM TAX) IN THE UNITED STATES. THE SALE OF THE TIMBERLANDS IN THE UNITED STATES FOR $180 MILLION WAS COMPLETED IN NOVEMBER. THE PROFIT ON THE SALE OF THE TIMBERLANDS RECORDED IN THE NORTH AMERICAN COMPANY'S ACCOUNTS, WAS SET OFF AGAINST AN ADJUSTMENT TO THE GOODWILL ARISING IN SAPPI'S ACCOUNTS.
UNDERLYING DEMAND FOR PAPER REMAINS FIRM AND PRODUCERS APPEAR TO BE TRYING TO MATCH THEIR OUTPUT TO DEMAND. COATED WOODFREE PAPER PRICES HAVE THEREFORE ONLY DECLINED MARGINALLY SINCE THE MIDDLE OF LAST YEAR. THE ORDER POSITION IN EUROPE HAS IMPROVED SIGNIFICANTLY SINCE JANUARY AND EUROPEAN PRICES HAVE RECENTLY RECOVERED SOMEWHAT AND ARE EXPECTED TO BE REASONABLY STABLE FOR THE BALANCE OF THE YEAR. THE GROUP SHOULD, HOWEVER, BENEFIT FROM CONTINUED TIGHT MANAGEMENT OF COSTS, THE ACHIEVEMENT OF SYNERGIES FROM MERGING THE EUROPEAN BUSINESSES AND FROM THE SIGNIFICANT COST REDUCTION ACHIEVED OVER THE PAST TWO YEARS IN THE UNITED STATES. THE WEAKER SOUTH AFRICAN RAND SHOULD ALSO HELP THE SOUTHERN AFRICAN BUSINESS AS MOST OF ITS SALES ARE EITHER DENOMINATED IN OR INFLUENCED BY US$ PRICES. DESPITE THE WEAK START TO THE YEAR AND PROVIDED ECONOMIC CONDITIONS DO NOT DETERIORATE FURTHER WE EXPECT SECOND QUARTER EARNINGS PER SHARE TO IMPROVE OVER THE FIRST QUARTER BUT TO BE SOMEWHAT LOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS SECOND QUARTER. FULL YEAR EPS SHOULD, HOWEVER, BE SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS YEAR. FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS
CERTAIN STATEMENTS IN THIS MEDIA RELEASE THAT ARE NEITHER REPORTED FINANCIAL RESULTS NOR OTHER HISTORICAL INFORMATION, ARE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO STATEMENTS THAT ARE PREDICTIONS OF OR INDICATE FUTURE EVENTS, TRENDS, PLANS OR OBJECTIVES. UNDUE RELIANCE SHOULD NOT BE PLACED ON SUCH STATEMENTS BECAUSE, BY THEIR NATURE, THEY ARE SUBJECT TO KNOWN AND UNKNOWN RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES AND CAN BE AFFECTED BY OTHER FACTORS, THAT COULD CAUSE ACTUAL RESULTS AND COMPANY PLANS AND OBJECTIVES TO DIFFER
MATERIALLY FROM THOSE EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED IN THE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS (OR FROM THE PAST RESULTS). THE COMPANY UNDERTAKES NO OBLIGATION TO PUBLICLY UPDATE OR REVISE ANY OF THESE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS, WHETHER TO REFLECT NEW INFORMATION OR FUTURE EVENTS OF CIRCUMSTANCES OR OTHERWISE. CONTACT : ROBERT HOPE SAPPI LIMITED JOHANNESBURG TEL: +27 11 407 8111 FAX: +27 11 403 1493