* PBOC report says it's good time to open up capital account
* PBOC report says housing, capital mkts to fully open in
5-10 yrs
* PBOC report not a policy announcement, indicates reform
debate
(Updates with details direct from report, context)
BEIJING, Feb 23 (Reuters) - China should seize the
opportunity to free-up capital account controls as the rewards
of liberalisation outweigh the risks, said a report by the
People's Bank of China statistics department published on
Thursday.
The reforms should take place over the next five to 10 years
and give foreigners more freedom to buy Chinese property, stocks
and bonds at the same time as allowing direct access by Chinese
nationals to overseas property and asset markets, it said.
The report, although not a policy announcement, provides one
of the most detailed roadmaps yet of capital account reform from
a government institution, underlining the high level debate
underway in Beijing.
China should take advantage of what the report called "a
period of strategic opportunity" for opening up its capital
markets, giving Chinese firms the chance to buy Western
companies at bargain prices with stock valuations in many cases
depressed by successive international financial crises.
The report argued that China should free-up the capital
account in three stages, the first in one to three years
allowing more outbound investment.
The second step, in three to five years, would see Chinese
banks lending yuan to overseas borrowers with overseas yuan
holders also able to lend yuan in the mainland market.
The opening of housing, bond and stock investments is the
third step, after which derivatives and other asset markets
could be opened.
But it advocated that China permanently keep control of some
items, including short-term foreign debt.
Chinese government officials, including the head of China's
foreign exchange watchdog, have repeatedly said there is no
timetable to make the yuan convertible under the capital
account, though analysts expect most controls to go by 2020.
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The central bank's research team argues for a swifter move.
"If we want to see a free interest rate system, a free
exchange rate regime, and an international yuan before opening
up the capital account, we may never find the right timing," the
report said.
"We must be cautious in opening up the capital account, but
that does not mean we must wait endlessly," it added.
Beijing has been wary of giving too much freedom to private
investments abroad.
The local government of Wenzhou, a cradle of private
enterprise in China, decided in early 2011 to let local
residents make direct investment abroad, but the central
government intervened swiftly to call an end to it.
China has also maintained tight control over capital flows,
only permitting portfolio flows under a quota system dubbed the
Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor (QFII) scheme for
inflows and outflows under a programme called the Qualified
Domestic Institutional Investor (QDII) scheme.
Those controls have helped shield China from some of the
impact of global financial turmoil, but they also constrict the
flow of capital to where it is needed, even as the country has
amassed the world's biggest store foreign exchange reserves.
China has about $3.2 trillion in foreign exchange reserves.
In 2011, it chalked up a current account surplus of $201.1
billion, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE)
said earlier this month.
Liberalising controls would promote the shift from
labour-intensive to more value-added industries, and encourage
domestic consumption by giving households more avenues to invest
and accumulate wealth, said the PBOC study.
(Reporting by Chris Buckley and Zhou Xin; Editing by Nick
Edwards)
First Published: 2012-02-23 02:18:40
Updated 2012-02-23 05:51:43

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