* Won down on offshore funds; no yen/won short-covering seen
* Baht may head to 30.20/dlr, Japanese insurance flows eyed
* Maybank recommends selling New Zealand dlr/ringgit
(Adds details, updates prices)
By Jongwoo Cheon
SINGAPORE, Feb 23 (Reuters) - Hopes for further
inflows helped some emerging Asian currencies recover from
initial losses on Wednesday that were rooted in concerns about a
slowing global economy and high oil prices.
Sluggish global growth and the European debt crisis are
likely to keep clouds over many regional currencies, given the
high reliance of their economies on exports to the West.
Rising oil prices amid escalating Iran's nuclear dispute are
also expected to exert pressure as most of the regional
economies are net fuel importers. Asian importers bought dollars
for settlements, dealers said.
Still, sustained inflows to Asia are seen offsetting such
downward pressures, although higher oil prices may reduce
incoming money, dealers and analysts said.
"Asia ex-Japan currencies are still receiving capital
inflows and there is a lag between high oil and the growth
impact," said Callum Henderson, global head of FX research with
Standard Chartered Bank in Singapore.
"For now, risk appetite in general is still supported by
huge liquidity injections from G4 central banks," he said.
The Bank of Japan's recent policy easing bolstered chances
to use the yen as a funding currency to invest in the regional
units.
As a result, some currencies have strengthened against the
yen. On Thursday, the Thai baht rose to its highest
versus the Japanese currency in six months. The baht was also
supported by Japanese insurance payments for flood claims,
dealers said.
Other emerging Asian currencies experienced some corrections
against the yen, but many investors still maintained their bets,
dealers said.
"We are getting close to levels where we need to be
cautious. But I don't see big possibilities of huge short-yen
covering yet," said a European bank dealer in Seoul.
But inflows to emerging Asia may slow down as rising oil
prices will eventually accelerate inflation in the region,
analysts said.
"If oil prices eventually pass through into goods and
services costs, as well as business costs, there will be policy
responses," said Saktiandi Supaat, head of FX Research at
Maybank in Singapore.
WON
Dollar/won rose on demand from offshore funds and
a weaker share market, but exporters prevented the pair from
rising above 1,130, dealers said.
Foreign investors turned into net sellers in Seoul shares
.
Meanwhile, yen/won edged up from a four-month low
with a technical indicator showing the pair is excessively sold.
Its 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has stayed below
the 30 threshold.
But few investors were seen covering short positions as they
saw more carry trades funded in the Japanese currency.
BAHT
Dollar/baht breached support at 30.47-30.53 and is
seen heading to 30.20, the 76.4 percent Fibonacci retracement of
its July-January rises.
Investors were keeping an eye on flows linked to Japanese
insurance cover for the recent Thai floods.
On Wednesday, dollar/baht fell below a 200-day moving
average on the flows linked to the insurance claims, dealers
said.
A European bank dealer in Singapore said there was market
talk of some 900 billion yen/baht flows from Japanese insurers
earlier this week.
Yen/baht on Thursday hit its lowest level since
August, while other yen/Asian currencies slightly rose.
RINGGIT
Maybank recommended selling New Zealand dollar/ringgit
as the ringgit is seen rising further while the New
Zealand dollar is being offered against most major currencies.
The bank advised selling the cross pair at 2.5200 for a
target of 2.4820 with stop at 2.25525. It has a 200-day moving
average around 2.4800.
The cross-pair dipped 0.1 percent to 2.5058.
Dollar/ringgit rose on a firm euro.
CURRENCIES VS U.S. DOLLAR
Change on the day at 0750 GMT
Currency Latest bid Previous day Pct Move
Japan yen 80.10 80.30 +0.25
Sing dlr 1.2565 1.2585 +0.16
Taiwan dlr 29.573 29.582 +0.03
Korean won 1126.85 1126.00 -0.08
Baht 30.38 30.58 +0.66
Peso 42.80 42.62 -0.42
Rupiah 9050.00 9045.00 -0.06
Rupee 49.24 49.22 -0.04
Ringgit 3.0165 3.0260 +0.31
Yuan 6.2992 6.2960 -0.05
Change so far in 2012
Currency Latest bid End prev year Pct Move
Japan yen 80.10 76.92 -3.97
Sing dlr 1.2565 1.2969 +3.22
Taiwan dlr 29.573 30.290 +2.42
Korean won 1126.85 1151.80 +2.21
Baht 30.38 31.55 +3.85
Peso 42.80 43.84 +2.43
Rupiah 9050.00 9060.00 +0.11
Rupee 49.24 53.08 +7.80
Ringgit 3.0165 3.1685 +5.04
Yuan 6.2992 6.2940 -0.08
(Additional reporting by Ye-na Park in SEOUL and Reuters FX
Analyst Krishna Kumar; Editing by Richard Borsuk)
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Philippine peso Korean won
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First Published: 2012-02-23 06:43:50
Updated 2012-02-23 09:53:28

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